Duratec Limited (DURCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Duratec Limited $1.55, price $1.56, upside -0.6%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
27‑month range $0.6989 – $1.95 · fair‑value band $1.04 – $3.08 · the $1.56 price screens above the $1.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Duratec Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of assessment, protection, remediation, and refurbishment services to a range of assets primarily for steel and concrete infrastructure in Australia. It operates through Defence, Mining & Industrial, Building & Façade, and Energy segments.
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Duratec Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of assessment, protection, remediation, and refurbishment services to a range of assets primarily for steel and concrete infrastructure in Australia. It operates through Defence, Mining & Industrial, Building & Façade, and Energy segments. The Defence segment delivers capital facilities, infrastructure, and estate works program projects. The Mining & Industrial segment offers preventative maintenance programmes. The Building & Facade segment provides facade condition assessments and restorations services. The Energy segment is involved in the operation of non-defence capital facilities, remediation, and refurbishment of critical assets. The company also offers asset protection, laboratory services, waterproofing, fitout and refurbishment, infrastructure maintaining and upgrading, facade remediation and cladding replacement, durability engineering, specialist access systems, construction, petrography lab serviced, spatial integration, and jack up barge hire solutions. The company serves defense, mining, transport, marine, energy, building and façade, heritage, property, industrial, and water infrastructure industries. Duratec Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Wangara, Australia.
Stock analysis
Duratec Limited (DURCF) currently trades at $1.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.55, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.6%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $1.52 per share, and 3 of the 20 models we run sit above the $1.56 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.4900, and 17 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $1.04 (bear) to $3.08 (bull), the price of $1.56 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Duratec Limited reported revenue of A$573M in FY2025 versus A$236M in FY2021, a compound +24.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$22.8M in FY2025, compounding +33.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $503M · P/E ratio 26.0 · P/S ratio 1.04 · EPS (TTM) $0.0600 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 30.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −1%, DURCF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.04Fair Value $1.55Bull $3.08
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0350 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.7%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+26.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 4%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in AUD, Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.6% a year for the price and +7.0% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 789 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside−5.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)30.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)4.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Duratec Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DURCF
Frequently asked questions
Is Duratec Limited (DURCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.55 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.56, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DURCF?
Our model-based fair value for Duratec Limited is $1.55 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $1.56.
What is the quality score of DURCF?
Duratec Limited has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.55 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.04, optimistic scenario $3.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Duratec Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.55, about −1% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.56 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $1.04, optimistic scenario $3.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
Duratec Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$559M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Duratec Limited pay a dividend?
Duratec Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.60% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Duratec Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +12.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +24.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DURCF use?
Our models discount Duratec Limited at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.46, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Duratec Limited that is +12.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Duratec Limited (DURCF) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Duratec Limited grew +24.9 % a year. The price currently implies +12.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Duratec Limited (DURCF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Duratec Limited (+12.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.89 %: that much free cash flow Duratec Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Duratec Limited it is $1.55 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.56. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Duratec Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DURCF trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.56, fair value $1.55, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DURCF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.56); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.55). For Duratec Limited the two are $0.0100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Duratec Limited worth?
The market values Duratec Limited at about $503M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.56; our models calculate a fair value of $1.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DURCF?
Our models span a range for Duratec Limited: cautious scenario $1.04, base $1.55, optimistic $3.08 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.56). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DURCF?
Duratec Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.55 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 9.8, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 18.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Duratec Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 30.6%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DURCF from its 52-week high?
Duratec Limited trades at $1.56, about 20% below its 52-week high of $1.95 and 64% above the low of $0.9499 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Duratec Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Duratec Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.56, calculated fair value $1.55 (−1%), Quality Score 53/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DURCF calculated?
We run Duratec Limited through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Duratec Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $1.56. Our model-based fair value is $1.55, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Duratec Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($1.04 to $3.08). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Key figures of Duratec Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
The market capitalisation of Duratec Limited is $503M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Duratec Limited is 1.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
Earnings per share at Duratec Limited are $0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
The dividend yield of Duratec Limited is 1.6% (payout 41.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
The net margin of Duratec Limited is 4.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Duratec Limited is 30.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Duratec Limited is 9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
The operating margin of Duratec Limited is 4.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
Revenue at Duratec Limited is growing −4.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Duratec Limited (DURCF)?
Earnings per share at Duratec Limited are growing +1.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026