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Element 25 Ltd (E25) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Element 25 Ltd A$0.06, price A$0.24, upside -75.2%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000012098

E2 Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Element 25 Ltd

E25 · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Fair value A$0.0595 · Strongly overvalued (−75.2%)
Quality 32/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +103.7 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 7/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$2.22 A$0.1900 Fair Value A$0.0595 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1900 – A$2.22 · fair‑value band A$0.0340 – A$0.0680 · the A$0.2400 price screens above the A$0.0595 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Element 25 Limited engages in the exploration of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for manganese, iron, aluminum, and lithium deposits. It owns a 100% interest in the Butcherbird manganese project located in the Western Australia; and the Lake Johnston Lithium Project located in the Perth, Western Australia.

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Element 25 Limited engages in the exploration of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for manganese, iron, aluminum, and lithium deposits. It owns a 100% interest in the Butcherbird manganese project located in the Western Australia; and the Lake Johnston Lithium Project located in the Perth, Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Montezuma Mining Company Limited and changed its name to Element 25 Limited in May 2018. Element 25 Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Osborne Park, Australia.

Stock analysis

Element 25 Ltd (E25) currently trades at A$0.2400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0595, 75.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0340 (bear) to A$0.0680 (bull), the price of A$0.2400 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Element 25 Ltd reported revenue of A$1.9M in FY2025 versus A$34.9K in FY2021, a compound +170.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.1M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$78.7M (≈ $54.6M) · P/S ratio 39.9 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.7% · Revenue (TTM) A$1.9M · Revenue growth (YoY) −78.5% · Free cash flow −A$10.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −75%, E25 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0340 Fair Value A$0.0595 Bull A$0.0680
Price A$0.2400 · Upside -75.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1200 A$0.1700 A$0.2500 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1200 A$0.1700 A$0.2500 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 7
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−85.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−55.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+103.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +21.8% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−8,737.4% (2020) → −339.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

E25 screens overvalued: fair value 75% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 380 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Below median
Fair Value upside −74.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −78.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.65× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 27.84× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 61.10 SAR 67.21 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.08 ¥19.15 +12%
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Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹588.95 ₹647.85 +10%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥57.18 ¥29.56 −48%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Boliden AB BOL kr 521.00 kr 464.45 −11%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥35.19 ¥38.71 +10%
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$12.06 C$4.46 −63%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥46.90 ¥23.62 −50%

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Element 25 Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0595 −75%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Element 25 Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/E25

Frequently asked questions

Is Element 25 Ltd (E25) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0595 versus a price of A$0.2400, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of E25?
Our model-based fair value for Element 25 Ltd is A$0.0595 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2400.
What is the quality score of E25?
Element 25 Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Element 25 Ltd (E25)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0595 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0340, optimistic scenario A$0.0680. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Element 25 Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0595, about −75% upside versus a price of A$0.2400 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0340, optimistic scenario A$0.0680. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Element 25 Ltd (E25)?
Element 25 Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.9M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Element 25 Ltd (E25)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Element 25 Ltd it is A$0.0595 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.2400. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Element 25 Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, E25 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.2400, fair value A$0.0595, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of E25?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0595). For Element 25 Ltd the two are A$0.1805 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Element 25 Ltd worth?
The market values Element 25 Ltd at about A$78.7M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2400; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0595 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about E25?
Our models span a range for Element 25 Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0340, base A$0.0595, optimistic A$0.0680 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price A$0.2400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Element 25 Ltd (E25)?
Balance-sheet figures for Element 25 Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −3.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is E25 from its 52-week high?
Element 25 Ltd trades at A$0.2400, about 47% below its 52-week high of A$0.4500 and 20% above the low of A$0.2000 (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0595 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Element 25 Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Fortescue Ltd, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Element 25 Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price A$0.2400, calculated fair value A$0.0595 (−75%), Quality Score 32/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of E25 calculated?
We run Element 25 Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0595, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Element 25 Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Element 25 Ltd (E25)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was A$0.2400. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0595, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Element 25 Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0680). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0340 to A$0.0680) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Element 25 Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Element 25 Ltd (E25)?
The market capitalisation of Element 25 Ltd is A$78.7M (≈ $54.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Element 25 Ltd (E25)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Element 25 Ltd is 39.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Element 25 Ltd (E25)?
Earnings per share at Element 25 Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Element 25 Ltd (E25)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Element 25 Ltd is −3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Element 25 Ltd (E25)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Element 25 Ltd is −22.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Element 25 Ltd (E25)?
Revenue at Element 25 Ltd is growing −78.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −55.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Element 25 Ltd (E25) generate?
The free cash flow of Element 25 Ltd is −A$10.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Element 25 Ltd (E25) hold?
Element 25 Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$18.2M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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