ECB S.A. (ECB) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · PL · Market cap 68.2M PLN
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 5.17 PLN to 4.86 PLN (−6.0%) since Jul 10, 2026. Share price +6.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but trading 337% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.92 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.68 PLN – 156.90 PLN · fair‑value band 4.11 PLN – 5.92 PLN · the 21.25 PLN price screens above the 4.86 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
ECB S.A. (ECB) currently trades at 21.25 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.86 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 77.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ECB S.A. generated revenue of 87.2M PLN at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 13.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.7%. Net debt stands at 18.1M PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 4.11 PLN (bear case) to 5.92 PLN (bull case); at 21.25 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -77%, ECB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (25.69 PLN) versus Asset-Based (4.79 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
ECB S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of electricity and heat through renewable sources in Poland. The company operates heating plants, coal-fired and gas-fired CHP plants, and waste treatment plants. It is also involved in the storage of electrical and thermal energy, as well as the wholesale of fuel.
Full company description
ECB S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of electricity and heat through renewable sources in Poland. The company operates heating plants, coal-fired and gas-fired CHP plants, and waste treatment plants. It is also involved in the storage of electrical and thermal energy, as well as the wholesale of fuel. The company was formerly known as EC Bedzin S.A. and changed its name to ECB S.A. in May 2025. ECB S.A. was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Bedzin, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ECB S.A. reported revenue of 87.2M PLN in FY2025 versus 244M PLN in FY2021, a compound −22.7%/yr. Reported net income was 4.1M PLN in FY2025.
ECB screens 77% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $85.78 | $32.94 | -62% |
| The Southern Company SO | $92.52 | $58.81 | -36% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $123.99 | $74.89 | -40% |
| National Grid plc NGG | $80.68 | $63.94 | -21% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $126.35 | $77.23 | -39% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $66.60 | $46.34 | -30% |
| Entergy Corporation ETR | $108.08 | $52.92 | -51% |
| Xcel Energy Inc XEL | $76.30 | $44.64 | -41% |
| Exelon Corporation EXC | $43.78 | $37.60 | -14% |
| Endesa, S.A ELE | €41.57 | €25.72 | -38% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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