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Eurocell plc (ECEL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GB · Market cap 109M GBX

EP Eurocell plc ECEL · LSE
Price£1.11
Fair Value£2.05
Upside+84.7%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.87% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range £1.53 – £2.56 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +8.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 85% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (£1.53). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£2.09 £0.8659 Fair Value £2.05 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.8659 – £2.09 · fair‑value band £1.53 – £2.56 · the £1.11 price screens below the £2.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Eurocell plc (ECEL) currently trades at £1.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2.05, implying the stock looks roughly 84.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Eurocell plc generated revenue of £404M at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue grew 15.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at £97.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £1.53 (bear case) to £2.56 (bull case); at £1.11, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 85%, ECEL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £2.77 £4.04 £5.61 80
Residual Income £0.8300 £0.8800 £0.9300 76
Rev-Margin DCF £2.28 £3.62 £5.24 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £2.79 £4.18 £6.02 38
Owner Earnings £1.96 £2.96 £4.29 31
5Y Revenue Exit £2.28 £3.60 £5.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £3.67 £6.29 £9.42 41
5Y P/E Exit £1.85 £2.76 £3.72 38
10Y Revenue Exit £2.41 £3.58 £5.17 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £3.23 £5.21 £7.95 37
10Y P/E Exit £2.22 £3.07 £4.11 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.6600 £2.45 £3.30 54
Lynch FV £0.5900 £0.8400 £1.09 50
PEG = 1.0 £0.5900 £0.8400 £1.09 46
EPV £1.34 £1.53 £1.68 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.4400 £0.7300 £0.9500 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.4400 £0.7000 £0.7900 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £1.53 £2.05 £2.56 63
P/S Multiple £1.24 £1.66 £2.07 58
P/B Multiple £1.24 £1.66 £2.07 55
EV/EBIT £2.90 £3.94 £4.98 53
EV/EBITDA £4.88 £6.58 £8.27 54
EV/Revenue £2.01 £2.96 £3.92 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.5300 £0.7100 £1.06 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £2.77 £4.04 £5.61 80
Rev-Margin DCF £2.28 £3.62 £5.24 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.8300 £0.8800 £0.9300 76
ROIC Compounder £1.40 £1.73 £2.10 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £1.09 £1.56 £2.03 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (£3.62) versus Dividend Discount (£0.7000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 404M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.4%
Net margin 2.4%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow 34.2M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 12.3
More key figures
Operating margin 5.3%
EPS (TTM) £0.0900
Dividend yield 6.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +47.8%
Net debt 97.5M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Eurocell plc engages in manufacturing, distribution, and recycling of building products in the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland. The company operates through Profiles, Corporate, Alune, and Building Plastics segments.

Full company description

Eurocell plc engages in manufacturing, distribution, and recycling of building products in the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland. The company operates through Profiles, Corporate, Alune, and Building Plastics segments. It offers fascias and soffits boards; decking, fencing, and balustrade; fascia and capping boards, finishing trims, soffit boards, ventilators, and accessories; UPVC and roof windows; UPVC and contemporary conservatories; roof lanterns; window and door hardware; window trims and boards; composite, UPVC, French, bi-fold, patio, and internal door; door architrave; composite, UPVC, coastline, forma composite, shiplap PVC, and todor board cladding; guttering and drainage solutions; pitched and flat roofing, insulation, dry verge, roof lanterns, and glazing; skirting and architrave, finishing trims, and flooring solutions; window boards and worktops; silicones, adhesives, cleaners, and soudal; and garden room and outdoor living products. The company is also involved in the manufacture and sale of building plastic materials; manufacture and sale of doors; recycling of PVC windows; and manufacture and distribute garage doors, as well as distribute aluminum windows. Eurocell plc was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Alfreton, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Eurocell plc reported revenue of £404M in FY2025 versus £340M in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was £9.6M in FY2025, compounding −17.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£404M
Latest YoY
+12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 £340M
FY22 £381M
FY23 £365M
FY24 £358M
FY25 £404M
Net income −17.9%/yr
FY21 £21.1M
FY22 £19.7M
FY23 £9.6M
FY24 £10.5M
FY25 £9.6M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −5.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.3 pp

of which total revenue +8.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.9 pp

EBIT margin −10.1 pp
Tax rate +0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eurocell plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ECEL

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +85% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 15% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.41× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.37× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 3
FUTURE 77 · sector 9
PAST 37 · sector 23
HEALTH 87 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $469.98 $212.34 -55%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $142.81 $45.65 -68%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $68.61 $17.35 -75%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €76.62 €101.60 +33%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 523.20 CHF 307.66 -41%
Lennox International Inc LII $543.93 $363.09 -33%
Kingspan Group KRX €87.30 €70.76 -19%
Masco Corporation MAS $78.04 $54.36 -30%
PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC 1,420 IDR 179.76 IDR -87%
NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB kr 36.03 kr 25.37 -30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Eurocell plc (ECEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £2.05 versus a price of £1.11, about +85% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ECEL?
Our model-based fair value for Eurocell plc is £2.05 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £1.11.
What is the quality score of ECEL?
Eurocell plc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Eurocell plc (ECEL)?
Eurocell plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £404M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ECEL?
The net profit margin of Eurocell plc is about 2.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Eurocell plc pay a dividend?
Eurocell plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.15% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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