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Central Costanera S.A (EDCFF) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $140M

CC Central Costanera S.A logo Central Costanera S.A EDCFF · US
Price$0.2000
Fair Value$0.1800
Upside-10.0%
Quality50/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/10)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range $0.1300 – $0.2200 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $0.2200 to $0.1800 (−18.2%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 10% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $0.1300 (bear) to $0.2200 (bull), base $0.1800. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.9434 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.1800 Jul 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.9434 · fair‑value band $0.1300 – $0.2200 · the $0.2000 price screens above the $0.1800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Central Costanera S.A (EDCFF) currently trades at $0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1800, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Central Costanera S.A generated revenue of $194B at a net margin of 13.9%. Revenue grew 84.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. Net debt stands at $49.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1300 (bear case) to $0.2200 (bull case); at $0.2000, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -10%, EDCFF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.2085 $0.3565 $0.5878 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2071 $0.3818 $0.7479 74
ROIC Compounder $0.0393 $0.0479 $0.0549 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.2248 $0.3281 $0.6296 38
Owner Earnings $0.1967 $0.4176 $0.8030 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1854 $0.3298 $0.6309 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.3267 $0.6150 $1.18 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.1462 $0.3152 $0.5369 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.1933 $0.4214 $0.5554 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.2876 $0.6807 $1.37 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.1749 $0.3495 $0.6173 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0680 $0.4742 $0.6655 54
Lynch FV $0.2450 $0.3500 $0.4550 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.2450 $0.3500 $0.4550 46
EPV $0.0393 $0.0479 $0.0549 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.1350 $0.1800 $0.2250 63
P/S Multiple $0.1275 $0.1700 $0.2125 58
P/B Multiple $0.1275 $0.1700 $0.2125 55
EV/EBIT $0.1934 $0.2686 $0.3439 53
EV/EBITDA $0.3820 $0.5201 $0.6583 54
EV/Revenue $0.1502 $0.2285 $0.3067 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0954 $0.1279 $0.1908 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.2085 $0.3565 $0.5878 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2071 $0.3818 $0.7479 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.1322 $0.1289 $0.1094 61
ROIC Compounder $0.0393 $0.0479 $0.0549 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.3062 $0.4374 $0.5686 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($0.4374) versus Economic Profit ($0.0479). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $194B
Revenue growth (YoY) +84.0%
Net margin 13.9%
Return on equity 14.8%
Free cash flow $21.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 20.0
More key figures
Operating margin 48.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) +78.1%
Net debt $49.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 9
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Central Costanera S.A. generates, transports, trades, and distributes electrical energy in Argentina. It owns and operates four conventional turbo steam units with an installed capacity of 661 MW; two cycles energy plant with an installed capacity of 851 MW; a gas turbine; and a BTH steam turbine with an installed capacity of 277 MW.

Full company description

Central Costanera S.A. generates, transports, trades, and distributes electrical energy in Argentina. It owns and operates four conventional turbo steam units with an installed capacity of 661 MW; two cycles energy plant with an installed capacity of 851 MW; a gas turbine; and a BTH steam turbine with an installed capacity of 277 MW. The company provides engineering, consultancy, and management services for operation of electrical power plants. The company was formerly known as Enel Generación Costanera S.A. and changed its name to Central Costanera S.A. in March 2023. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. The company operates as a subsidiary of Enel Argentina S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Central Costanera S.A reported revenue of $161B in FY2025 versus $10.1B in FY2021, a compound +100.0%/yr. Reported net income was $9.8B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$161B
Latest YoY
+46.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+125.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+77.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+31.7%
Revenue +100.0%/yr
FY21 $10.1B
FY22 $14.1B
FY23 $46.6B
FY24 $110B
FY25 $161B
Net income
FY21 −$5.7B
FY22 $3.3B
FY23 −$54.0B
FY24 $6.4B
FY25 $9.8B

EDCFF screens 10% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Central Costanera S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EDCFF

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 48% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 84% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.0× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 20 · sector 7
FUTURE 100 · sector 32
PAST 59 · sector 39
HEALTH 91 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Central Costanera S.A (EDCFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1800 versus a price of $0.2000, about −10% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EDCFF?
Our model-based fair value for Central Costanera S.A is $0.1800 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.2000.
What is the quality score of EDCFF?
Central Costanera S.A has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Central Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
Central Costanera S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $194B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EDCFF?
The net profit margin of Central Costanera S.A is about 13.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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