Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Enel Generación Costanera S.A $0.37, price $0.20, upside +85.0%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.9434 · fair‑value band $0.2100 – $0.5600 · the $0.2000 price screens below the $0.3700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Central Costanera S.A. generates, transports, trades, and distributes electrical energy in Argentina. It owns and operates four conventional turbo steam units with an installed capacity of 661 MW; two cycles energy plant with an installed capacity of 851 MW; a gas turbine; and a BTH steam turbine with an installed capacity of 277 MW.
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Central Costanera S.A. generates, transports, trades, and distributes electrical energy in Argentina. It owns and operates four conventional turbo steam units with an installed capacity of 661 MW; two cycles energy plant with an installed capacity of 851 MW; a gas turbine; and a BTH steam turbine with an installed capacity of 277 MW. The company provides engineering, consultancy, and management services for operation of electrical power plants. The company was formerly known as Enel Generación Costanera S.A. and changed its name to Central Costanera S.A. in March 2023. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. The company operates as a subsidiary of Enel Argentina S.A.
Stock analysis
Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF) currently trades at $0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3700, implying the stock looks roughly 45.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $0.4259 per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the $0.2000 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.0467, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2100 (bear) to $0.5600 (bull), the price of $0.2000 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Enel Generación Costanera S.A reported revenue of 161B ARS in FY2025 versus 10.1B ARS in FY2021, a compound +100.0%/yr. Reported net income was 9.8B ARS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $140M · P/E ratio 20.0 · P/S ratio 1.22 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Net margin 6.1% · Return on equity 14.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.1% · Operating margin 48.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 85%, EDCFF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2100Fair Value $0.3700Bull $0.5600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0073 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+46.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+125.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+77.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +60.6% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in ARS (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in ARS: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+44.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+44.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.34% vs 39%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 12%
2025 sits 102% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in ARS, Argentina: IMF forecast 13.8% a year to 2030) that is about −9.7% a year for the price.
Compare Enel Generación Costanera S.A with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 159 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Above median
Fair Value upside+85% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)14% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)48% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth84% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.17× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
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Is Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3700 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.2000, about +85% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EDCFF?
Our model-based fair value for Enel Generación Costanera S.A is $0.3700 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): $0.2000.
What is the quality score of EDCFF?
Enel Generación Costanera S.A has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3700 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2100, optimistic scenario $0.5600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Enel Generación Costanera S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3700, about +85% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.2000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.2100, optimistic scenario $0.5600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
Enel Generación Costanera S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 194B ARS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Enel Generación Costanera S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +2.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +77.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EDCFF use?
Our models discount Enel Generación Costanera S.A at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Enel Generación Costanera S.A that is +2.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Enel Generación Costanera S.A grew +77.1 % a year. The price currently implies +2.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Enel Generación Costanera S.A (+2.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.00 %: that much free cash flow Enel Generación Costanera S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Enel Generación Costanera S.A it is $0.3700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.2000. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Enel Generación Costanera S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, EDCFF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2000, fair value $0.3700, a gap of about +85% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EDCFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3700). For Enel Generación Costanera S.A the two are $0.1700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Enel Generación Costanera S.A worth?
The market values Enel Generación Costanera S.A at about $140M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.2000; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EDCFF?
Our models span a range for Enel Generación Costanera S.A: cautious scenario $0.2100, base $0.3700, optimistic $0.5600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.2000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EDCFF?
Enel Generación Costanera S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.3700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 3.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Enel Generación Costanera S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.8%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EDCFF from its 52-week high?
Enel Generación Costanera S.A trades at $0.2000, at its 52-week high of $0.2000 and at the low of $0.2000 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Enel Generación Costanera S.A?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Enel Generación Costanera S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.2000, calculated fair value $0.3700 (+85%), Quality Score 50/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EDCFF calculated?
We run Enel Generación Costanera S.A through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Enel Generación Costanera S.A currently trades 85 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at $0.2000. Our model-based fair value is $0.3700, about +85% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Enel Generación Costanera S.A right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($0.2100 to $0.5600). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Enel Generación Costanera S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
The market capitalisation of Enel Generación Costanera S.A is $140M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Enel Generación Costanera S.A is 1.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
Earnings per share at Enel Generación Costanera S.A are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
The net margin of Enel Generación Costanera S.A is 6.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Enel Generación Costanera S.A is 14.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Enel Generación Costanera S.A is −2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
The operating margin of Enel Generación Costanera S.A is 48.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
Revenue at Enel Generación Costanera S.A is growing +84.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +125%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF)?
Earnings per share at Enel Generación Costanera S.A are growing +78.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Enel Generación Costanera S.A (EDCFF) carry?
The net debt of Enel Generación Costanera S.A is 49.7B ARS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026