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Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Empire Energy Group Limited $0.04, price $0.20, upside -78.7%, quality 22 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · US

EE Empire Energy Group Limited logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Empire Energy Group Limited

EEGUF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.0425 · Strongly overvalued (−79%)
!Quality 22/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −33.2 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/6)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.3300 $0.0011 Fair Value $0.0425 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0011 – $0.3300 · fair‑value band $0.0340 – $0.0595 · the $0.1995 price screens above the $0.0425 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited, together its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of oil and natural gas in Australia. It holds a 100% working interest in approximately 28 million acres of exploration tenements located in the Beetaloo Sub-basin, Northern Territory, Australia.

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Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited, together its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of oil and natural gas in Australia. It holds a 100% working interest in approximately 28 million acres of exploration tenements located in the Beetaloo Sub-basin, Northern Territory, Australia. The company was formerly known as Empire Energy Group Limited and changed its name to Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited and changed its name to in June 2025. Beetaloo Energy Australia Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

Stock analysis

Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF) currently trades at $0.1995, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0425, implying the stock looks roughly 369.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0340 (bear) to $0.0595 (bull), the price of $0.1995 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Empire Energy Group Limited reported revenue of A$1.0M in FY2024 versus A$6.5M in FY2020, a compound −36.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$19.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $290M · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Return on equity −13.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.4% · Operating margin −1,582% · Revenue (TTM) $544K · Revenue growth (YoY) −61.7% · Free cash flow −$66.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −79%, EEGUF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0340 Fair Value $0.0425 Bull $0.0595
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0500 $0.0700 $0.1000 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0500 $0.0700 $0.1000 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−83.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−50.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−33.2%
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−65.3% (2019) → −1,990.4% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

EEGUF screens 369% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 307 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −62% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.90× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.68 HK$39.95 +69%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $125.27 $90.15 −28%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.77 $52.55 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.52 $165.02 +18%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.31 $33.34 −41%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $184.50 $242.64 +32%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $46.93 $51.62 +10%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.13 A$23.59 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $50.81 $55.89 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $355.24 $318.28 −10%

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Empire Energy Group Limited · Fair Value
$0.0425 −369%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Empire Energy Group Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EEGUF

Frequently asked questions

Is Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0425 versus a price of $0.1995, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EEGUF?
Our model-based fair value for Empire Energy Group Limited is $0.0425 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1995.
What is the quality score of EEGUF?
Empire Energy Group Limited has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0425 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0340, optimistic scenario $0.0595. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Empire Energy Group Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0425, about −79% upside versus a price of $0.1995 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0340, optimistic scenario $0.0595. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF)?
Empire Energy Group Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $544K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Empire Energy Group Limited it is $0.0425 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.1995. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Empire Energy Group Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, EEGUF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.1995, fair value $0.0425, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EEGUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1995); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0425). For Empire Energy Group Limited the two are $0.1570 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Empire Energy Group Limited worth?
The market values Empire Energy Group Limited at about $290M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.1995; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0425 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EEGUF?
Our models span a range for Empire Energy Group Limited: cautious scenario $0.0340, base $0.0425, optimistic $0.0595 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.1995). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Empire Energy Group Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −13.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EEGUF from its 52-week high?
Empire Energy Group Limited trades at $0.1995, about 28% below its 52-week high of $0.2773 and 47% above the low of $0.1356 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0425 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Empire Energy Group Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Empire Energy Group Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.1995, calculated fair value $0.0425 (−79%), Quality Score 22/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EEGUF calculated?
We run Empire Energy Group Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0425, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Empire Energy Group Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $0.1995. Our model-based fair value is $0.0425, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Empire Energy Group Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0595). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Empire Energy Group Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF)?
The market capitalisation of Empire Energy Group Limited is $290M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF)?
Earnings per share at Empire Energy Group Limited are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Empire Energy Group Limited is −13.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Empire Energy Group Limited is −7.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF)?
The operating margin of Empire Energy Group Limited is −1,582% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF)?
Revenue at Empire Energy Group Limited is growing −61.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −50.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF) generate?
The free cash flow of Empire Energy Group Limited is −$66.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Empire Energy Group Limited (EEGUF) carry?
The net debt of Empire Energy Group Limited is $7.9M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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