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Eagle Bancorp, Inc (EGBN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $842M

EB Eagle Bancorp, Inc logo Eagle Bancorp, Inc EGBN · US
Price$27.71
Fair Value$28.00
Upside+1.1%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.72% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Low Range $25.35 – $30.66 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +5.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$52.31 $14.66 Fair Value $28.00 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $14.66 – $52.31 · fair‑value band $25.35 – $30.66 · the $27.71 price screens below the $28.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Eagle Bancorp, Inc (EGBN) currently trades at $27.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.00, implying the stock looks roughly 1.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $21.4M. Revenue grew 35.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $584M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $25.35 (bear case) to $30.66 (bull case); at $27.71, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 1%, EGBN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $27.77 $32.89 $40.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF $27.00 $32.04 $38.89 74
NCAV (Graham) $18.71 $25.07 $37.42 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $27.98 $33.83 $44.02 38
5Y Revenue Exit $27.00 $32.19 $39.39 39
10Y Revenue Exit $27.07 $31.96 $39.77 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue $26.50 $29.16 $31.81 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.71 $25.07 $37.42 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $27.77 $32.89 $40.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF $27.00 $32.04 $38.89 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($32.19) versus Asset-Based ($25.07). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $21.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +35.3%
Return on equity -10.5%
Free cash flow $20.8M FY2025
Operating margin 35.6%
EPS (TTM) $-4.13
More key figures
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +768%
Net cash $584M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Eagle Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for EagleBank that provides commercial and consumer banking services primarily in the United States.

Full company description

Eagle Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for EagleBank that provides commercial and consumer banking services primarily in the United States. The provide deposit services including business and personal checking accounts; and other deposit services, including cash management services, business sweep accounts, lock boxes, remote deposit captures, account reconciliation services, merchant card services, safety deposit boxes, and automated clearing house origination, as well as after-hours depositories and ATM services. It also offers various commercial and consumer lending products comprising commercial loans for working capital, equipment purchases, real estate lines of credit, and government contract financing; asset based lending and accounts receivable financing; construction and commercial real estate loans; business equipment financing; consumer home equity lines of credit, personal lines of credit, and term loans; consumer installment loans, such as auto and personal loans; and personal credit cards. In addition, the company provides online and mobile banking services; insurance products and services through a referral program; and treasury management services. The company serves sole proprietors, small, medium, and middle-sized businesses, partnerships, corporations, and non-profit organizations and associations, as well as investors. Eagle Bancorp, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Eagle Bancorp, Inc reported revenue of $634M in FY2025 versus $405M in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$128M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 42/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$634M
Latest YoY
−10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y)
+26.8%
Revenue +11.9%/yr
FY21 $405M
FY22 $448M
FY23 $647M
FY24 $708M
FY25 $634M
Net income
FY21 $177M
FY22 $141M
FY23 $101M
FY24 −$47.0M
FY25 −$128M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eagle Bancorp, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EGBN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +1% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 36% · Below median
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.74× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 39.38× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 40.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.71× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 35 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 0 · sector 41
HEALTH 97 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Eagle Bancorp, Inc (EGBN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.00 versus a price of $27.71, about +1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of EGBN?
Our model-based fair value for Eagle Bancorp, Inc is $28.00 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $27.71.
What is the quality score of EGBN?
Eagle Bancorp, Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Eagle Bancorp, Inc (EGBN)?
Eagle Bancorp, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $21.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EGBN?
The net profit margin of Eagle Bancorp, Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Eagle Bancorp, Inc pay a dividend?
Eagle Bancorp, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.72% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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