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Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Eagle Bancorp Inc $56.04, price $28.06, upside +99.7%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · US · ISIN US2689481065

EB Eagle Bancorp Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Eagle Bancorp Inc

EGBN · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $56.04 · Strongly undervalued (+100%)
!Quality 45/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -20.2% net margin (FY2025)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.69% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 14 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$52.31 $14.66 Fair Value $56.04 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $14.66 – $52.31 · fair‑value band $44.96 – $70.32 · the $28.06 price screens below the $56.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Eagle Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for EagleBank that provides commercial and consumer banking services primarily in the United States.

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Eagle Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for EagleBank that provides commercial and consumer banking services primarily in the United States. The provide deposit services including business and personal checking accounts; and other deposit services, including cash management services, business sweep accounts, lock boxes, remote deposit captures, account reconciliation services, merchant card services, safety deposit boxes, and automated clearing house origination, as well as after-hours depositories and ATM services. It also offers various commercial and consumer lending products comprising commercial loans for working capital, equipment purchases, real estate lines of credit, and government contract financing; asset based lending and accounts receivable financing; construction and commercial real estate loans; business equipment financing; consumer home equity lines of credit, personal lines of credit, and term loans; consumer installment loans, such as auto and personal loans; and personal credit cards. In addition, the company provides online and mobile banking services; insurance products and services through a referral program; and treasury management services. The company serves sole proprietors, small, medium, and middle-sized businesses, partnerships, corporations, and non-profit organizations and associations, as well as investors. Eagle Bancorp, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

Stock analysis

Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN) currently trades at $28.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $56.04, implying the stock looks roughly 49.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $101.62 per share, and 6 of the 7 models we run sit above the $28.06 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $25.07, and 1 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $44.96 (bear) to $70.32 (bull), the price of $28.06 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Eagle Bancorp Inc reported revenue of $634M in FY2025 versus $405M in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$128M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $849M · P/S ratio 39.4 · EPS (TTM) $−4.13 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −20.2% · Return on equity −10.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% · Operating margin 35.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 100%, EGBN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $44.96 Fair Value $56.04 Bull $70.32
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $120.51 $197.08 $330.16 78
Growth DCF $117.78 $184.74 $285.94 77
5Y Revenue Exit $60.00 $72.42 $85.94 74
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $120.51 $197.08 $330.16 78
5Y Revenue Exit $60.00 $72.42 $85.94 74
10Y Revenue Exit $81.44 $101.62 $127.61 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue $26.50 $29.16 $31.81 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.71 $25.07 $37.42 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $117.78 $184.74 $285.94 77
Rev-Margin DCF $60.00 $73.83 $92.62 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 42/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.5% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
40.4% (2020) → −26.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−27.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −29.5% a year for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−32.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)−32.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)−28.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)−24.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)−19.8%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1074 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 36% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.74× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 39.71× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 40.9× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.71× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 77.80 SGD 40.48 SGD −48%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$51.65 HK$64.29 +24%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.73 €4.04 −40%
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹738.60 ₹418.52 −43%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €101.30 €105.99 +5%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €83.28 €77.62 −7%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.87 $6.75 −38%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,340 ₹636.31 −53%
The PNC Financial Services Group PNC $227.96 $159.52 −30%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 32.14 SGD 19.80 SGD −38%

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Eagle Bancorp Inc · Fair Value
$56.04 +50%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eagle Bancorp Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EGBN

Frequently asked questions

Is Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $56.04 versus a price of $28.06, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EGBN?
Our model-based fair value for Eagle Bancorp Inc is $56.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $28.06.
What is the quality score of EGBN?
Eagle Bancorp Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $56.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $44.96, optimistic scenario $70.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Eagle Bancorp Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $56.04, about +100% upside versus a price of $28.06 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $44.96, optimistic scenario $70.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Eagle Bancorp Inc pay a dividend?
Eagle Bancorp Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Eagle Bancorp Inc would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EGBN use?
Our models discount Eagle Bancorp Inc at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.97, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Eagle Bancorp Inc that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Eagle Bancorp Inc grew +7.8 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Eagle Bancorp Inc (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.45 %: that much free cash flow Eagle Bancorp Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Eagle Bancorp Inc it is $56.04 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $28.06. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Eagle Bancorp Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, EGBN trades below its calculated fair value: price $28.06, fair value $56.04, a gap of about +100% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EGBN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($28.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($56.04). For Eagle Bancorp Inc the two are $27.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Eagle Bancorp Inc worth?
The market values Eagle Bancorp Inc at about $849M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $28.06; our models calculate a fair value of $56.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EGBN?
Our models span a range for Eagle Bancorp Inc: cautious scenario $44.96, base $56.04, optimistic $70.32 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $28.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of EGBN?
The PEG ratio of Eagle Bancorp Inc is 1.71 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Eagle Bancorp Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −10.5%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EGBN from its 52-week high?
Eagle Bancorp Inc trades at $28.06, about 4% below its 52-week high of $29.13 and 78% above the low of $15.79 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $56.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Eagle Bancorp Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A, HDFC Bank Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Eagle Bancorp Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $28.06, calculated fair value $56.04 (+100%), Quality Score 45/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EGBN calculated?
We run Eagle Bancorp Inc through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $56.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Eagle Bancorp Inc currently trades 100 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $28.06. Our model-based fair value is $56.04, about +100% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Eagle Bancorp Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($44.96). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Eagle Bancorp Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
The market capitalisation of Eagle Bancorp Inc is $849M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Eagle Bancorp Inc is 39.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
Earnings per share at Eagle Bancorp Inc are $−4.13. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
The dividend yield of Eagle Bancorp Inc is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
The net margin of Eagle Bancorp Inc is −20.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Eagle Bancorp Inc is −10.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Eagle Bancorp Inc is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
The operating margin of Eagle Bancorp Inc is 35.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
Revenue at Eagle Bancorp Inc is growing +35.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN)?
Earnings per share at Eagle Bancorp Inc are growing +768% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Eagle Bancorp Inc (EGBN) hold?
Eagle Bancorp Inc holds more cash than debt, $584M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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