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Elco Ltd (ELCO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Il · Market cap 3.9B ILA

EL Elco Ltd ELCO · TA
Price123.50 ILA
Fair Value15.26 ILA
Upside-87.6%
Quality46/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.1% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: Medium Range 11.45 ILA – 19.08 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 12.36 ILA to 15.26 ILA (+23.5%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price −15.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (19.08 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

266.26 ILA 86.91 ILA Fair Value 15.26 ILA Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 86.91 ILA – 266.26 ILA · fair‑value band 11.45 ILA – 19.08 ILA · the 123.50 ILA price screens above the 15.26 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Elco Ltd (ELCO) currently trades at 123.50 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.26 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 87.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Elco Ltd generated revenue of 23.1B ILA at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue grew 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. Net debt stands at 10.7B ILA. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 11.45 ILA (bear case) to 19.08 ILA (bull case); at 123.50 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -88%, ELCO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 54.07 ILA 50.65 ILA 35.87 ILA 76
Gordon GGM 21.84 ILA 43.52 ILA 65.90 ILA 70
P/E Multiple 11.45 ILA 15.26 ILA 19.08 ILA 63
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4.94 ILA 21.22 ILA 29.00 ILA 54
Lynch FV 5.43 ILA 7.76 ILA 10.09 ILA 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 21.84 ILA 43.52 ILA 65.90 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 21.84 ILA 37.61 ILA 45.93 ILA 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 11.45 ILA 15.26 ILA 19.08 ILA 63
P/B Multiple 9.27 ILA 12.36 ILA 15.45 ILA 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 40.04 ILA 53.65 ILA 80.07 ILA 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 54.07 ILA 50.65 ILA 35.87 ILA 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (53.65 ILA) versus Earnings-Based (7.76 ILA). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 23.1B ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.1%
Net margin 0.1%
Return on equity 2.2%
Free cash flow −19.0M ILA FY2025
P/E ratio 193.0
More key figures
Operating margin 3.5%
EPS (TTM) 0.6400 ILA
Dividend yield 0.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -59.3%
Net debt 10.7B ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Elco Ltd. operates in the construction, infrastructure, consumer electronics, telecommunications, entertainment, and real estate sectors in Israel and internationally. It operates through Electra; Electra Consumer Products; Electra Real Estate; Electra Power; and Others segments.

Full company description

Elco Ltd. operates in the construction, infrastructure, consumer electronics, telecommunications, entertainment, and real estate sectors in Israel and internationally. It operates through Electra; Electra Consumer Products; Electra Real Estate; Electra Power; and Others segments. The company develops, constructs, operates, manages, and maintains various projects; installs and provides services for central air-conditioning systems, elevators, sanitation, and infrastructure; executes and constructs national infrastructure facilities; offers security and protection, electricity and piping, public transportation, and shuttle services; and supervises and manages real estate properties. It is also involved in the operation in the food retail and investment property field; import, marketing, and sale of air conditioning and electronic home appliances; manufacture, market, sale, and distribution of electrical consumer products; operation and management of multi-family complexes; and content and distribution, leisure, and cinema businesses. In addition, the company markets, supplies, and distributes LPG, LPG consuming products, natural gas, CNG, and thermal energy to private households, as well as industrial, commercial, and transportation sectors. The company was incorporated in 1949 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel. Elco Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of G. Salkind Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Elco Ltd reported revenue of 22.6B ILA in FY2025 versus 14.8B ILA in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was 19.0M ILA in FY2025, compounding −56.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
22.6B ILS
Latest YoY
+9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.5%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.9%
Revenue +11.1%/yr
FY21 14.8B ILA
FY22 18.7B ILA
FY23 18.7B ILA
FY24 20.6B ILA
FY25 22.6B ILA
Net income −56.8%/yr
FY21 545M ILA
FY22 430M ILA
FY23 −289M ILA
FY24 −118M ILA
FY25 19.0M ILA

ELCO screens 88% overvalued. Compare with ITOCHU Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elco Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELCO.TA

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 385 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 2.29× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 193.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.63× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 27
FUTURE 55 · sector 17
PAST 9 · sector 18
HEALTH 0 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Elco Ltd (ELCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15.26 ILA versus a price of 123.50 ILA, about −88% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ELCO?
Our model-based fair value for Elco Ltd is 15.26 ILA (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 123.50 ILA.
What is the quality score of ELCO?
Elco Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Elco Ltd (ELCO)?
Elco Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 23.1B ILS (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ELCO?
The net profit margin of Elco Ltd is about 0.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Elco Ltd pay a dividend?
Elco Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.02% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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