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ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of ElringKlinger AG $3.25, price $3.22, upside +0.9%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
ElringKlinger AG
ELLRY · USLow PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.
·Fair value $3.25 · Fairly valued (+0.9%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓4.7% dividend yield · Cash covered
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.98 – $9.14 · fair‑value band $1.62 – $5.06 · the $3.22 price screens below the $3.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
ElringKlinger AG develops, manufactures, and sells components, modules, and systems for the automotive industry in Germany, rest of Europe, North America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Original Equipment, Aftermarket, Engineered Plastics, and Other.
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ElringKlinger AG develops, manufactures, and sells components, modules, and systems for the automotive industry in Germany, rest of Europe, North America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Original Equipment, Aftermarket, Engineered Plastics, and Other. The company offers components made of thermoplastics for drivetrain, body, and underbody applications; seals and gasket; transmission control plates and complex formed parts; stamped/punched and formed metal components, as well as assemblies for electromobility; customized shielding packages with thermal, acoustic, and/or aerodynamic functions for entire vehicle; and supplies components, modules, and systems for battery and fuel cell technology. It also provides gaskets, gasket sets and service parts for the repair of engines, transmissions, exhaust systems, and auxiliary units in cars and commercial vehicles under the Elring " Das Original brand. In addition, the company develops, manufactures, and markets customized products made from various plastics for the mechanical engineering sector, medical, chemical, energy, and vehicle industries. Further, it is involved in the provision of order picking, restaurant, and catering services. ElringKlinger AG was founded in 1879 and is headquartered in Dettingen an der Erms, Germany.
Stock analysis
ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY) currently trades at $3.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.25, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $3.60 per share, and 6 of the 13 models we run sit above the $3.22 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.8800, and 7 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1.62 (bear) to $5.06 (bull), the price of $3.22 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
ElringKlinger AG reported revenue of €1.6B in FY2025 versus €1.6B in FY2021, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€5.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $408M · P/S ratio 0.26 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0600 · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin −0.4% · Return on equity 0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% · Operating margin 6.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 1%, ELLRY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.62
Fair Value $3.25
Bull $5.06
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$1.63
$3.33
$5.43
78
Growth DCF
$1.71
$3.26
$5.09
77
5Y EBITDA Exit
$3.71
$7.71
$12.18
73
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$1.63
$3.33
$5.43
78
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.2800
$1.62
$3.22
66
5Y EBITDA Exit
$3.71
$7.71
$12.18
73
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.7400
$1.98
$3.43
63
10Y EBITDA Exit
$2.77
$5.74
$9.38
66
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.6300
$0.9800
$1.32
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.6300
$0.8800
$1.12
67
Multiples
EV/EBIT
$0.8300
$2.19
$3.56
61
EV/EBITDA
$6.43
$9.66
$12.89
66
EV/Revenue
n/a
$0.6700
$1.86
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$2.69
$3.60
$5.37
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$1.71
$3.26
$5.09
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.2800
$1.70
$3.26
66
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
46/100
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Profitability
26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
23
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
92
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
’14
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’21
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.9% (2020) → 2.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.4% a year for the price and +3.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+5.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.7%
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Compare ElringKlinger AG with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 661 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $86.07 | $49.20 | −43% |
| AutoZone, Inc AZO | $2,819 | $2,468 | −12% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 383,500 KRW | 638,183 KRW | +66% |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥52.47 | ¥78.11 | +49% |
| Knorr-Bremse AG KBX | €99.20 | €72.88 | −27% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹165.71 | ₹96.97 | −41% |
| Genuine Parts Company GPC | $126.95 | $57.98 | −54% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $64.46 | $69.37 | +8% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹48,250 | ₹25,213 | −48% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥46.44 | ¥28.28 | −39% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.25 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $3.22, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ELLRY?
Our model-based fair value for ElringKlinger AG is $3.25 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $3.22.
What is the quality score of ELLRY?
ElringKlinger AG has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.25 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.62, optimistic scenario $5.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ElringKlinger AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.25, about +1% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $3.22 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $1.62, optimistic scenario $5.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
ElringKlinger AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does ElringKlinger AG pay a dividend?
ElringKlinger AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.66% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ElringKlinger AG would have to grow free cash flow by +13.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ELLRY use?
Our models discount ElringKlinger AG at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.95, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ElringKlinger AG that is +13.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ElringKlinger AG grew +1.3 % a year. The price currently implies +13.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ElringKlinger AG (+13.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.71 %: that much free cash flow ElringKlinger AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ElringKlinger AG it is $3.25 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $3.22. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ElringKlinger AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ELLRY trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.22, fair value $3.25, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ELLRY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.25). For ElringKlinger AG the two are $0.0300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ElringKlinger AG worth?
The market values ElringKlinger AG at about $408M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $3.22; our models calculate a fair value of $3.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ELLRY?
Our models span a range for ElringKlinger AG: cautious scenario $1.62, base $3.25, optimistic $5.06 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $3.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
Balance-sheet figures for ElringKlinger AG (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.2%, debt of 0.79 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ELLRY from its 52-week high?
ElringKlinger AG trades at $3.22, about 5% below its 52-week high of $3.40 and 38% above the low of $2.34 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ElringKlinger AG?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ElringKlinger AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $3.22, calculated fair value $3.25 (+1%), Quality Score 46/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ELLRY calculated?
We run ElringKlinger AG through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. ElringKlinger AG currently trades 1 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $3.22. Our model-based fair value is $3.25, about +1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ElringKlinger AG right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($1.62 to $5.06). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Key figures of ElringKlinger AG
How large is the market capitalisation of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
The market capitalisation of ElringKlinger AG is $408M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ElringKlinger AG is 0.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
Earnings per share at ElringKlinger AG are $−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
The dividend yield of ElringKlinger AG is 4.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
The net margin of ElringKlinger AG is −0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ElringKlinger AG is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ElringKlinger AG is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
The operating margin of ElringKlinger AG is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
Revenue at ElringKlinger AG is growing +1.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY)?
Earnings per share at ElringKlinger AG are growing +322% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does ElringKlinger AG (ELLRY) carry?
The net debt of ElringKlinger AG is €291M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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