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AB Electrolux (publ) (ELX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of AB Electrolux (publ) €0.95, price €2.17, upside -56.3%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026
Thin data
Sep 23, 2026
AB Electrolux (publ)
ELX · BEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value €0.9471 · Strongly overvalued (−56.3%)
!Quality 50/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +2.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.7% net margin (FY2025)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range €0.6823 to €1.99
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.17 – €18.35 · fair‑value band €0.6823 – €1.99 · the €2.17 price screens above the €0.9471 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Company profile
There is no Profile data available for ELX.BE.
Stock analysis
AB Electrolux (publ) (ELX) currently trades at €2.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.9471, 56.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €1.45 per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the €2.17 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.1900, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €0.6823 (bear) to €1.99 (bull), the price of €2.17 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
AB Electrolux (publ) reported revenue of 131B SEK in FY2025 versus 126B SEK in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was 878M SEK in FY2025, compounding −34.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €5.9B · Net margin 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Free cash flow −2.2B SEK · Net debt 24.2B SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −56%, ELX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (€0.1900 to €2.81). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear €0.6823
Fair Value €0.9471
Bull €1.99
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings
€0.9500
€1.45
€2.39
75
Residual Income
€0.2500
€0.2700
€0.3200
71
EPV
€0.1700
€0.2700
€0.3600
70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
€0.9500
€1.45
€2.39
75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
€0.1900
€0.2600
€0.3000
67
EPV
€0.1700
€0.2700
€0.3600
70
Multiples
P/E Multiple
€0.4700
€0.6200
€0.7800
63
P/S Multiple
€0.3600
€0.4800
€0.6000
58
P/B Multiple
€0.3600
€0.4800
€0.6000
55
EV/EBIT
€0.7500
€1.17
€1.58
65
EV/EBITDA
€1.98
€2.81
€3.63
67
EV/Revenue
€0.3500
€0.7100
€1.07
51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€0.1400
€0.1900
€0.2800
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
€0.2500
€0.2700
€0.3200
71
ROIC Compounder
€0.1700
€0.2700
€0.3900
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
€0.3300
€0.4700
€0.6100
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
50/100
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0
Profitability
40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
25/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−35.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−35.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 2%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.1%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
ELX screens overvalued: fair value 56% below the price. Compare with Midea Group →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (33 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
- Nomination Committee appointed for AB Electrolux Annual General Meeting 2027
- AB Electrolux (OM:ELUX B) On Mobile Payments Deal And A Valuation Question
- Change in the number of shares and votes in AB Electrolux
- Electrolux Group Interim report Q3 2025
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 303 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midea Group 000333 | ¥82.65 | ¥129.21 | +56% |
| King Slide Works Co 2059 | 12,350 TWD | 4,427 TWD | −64% |
| Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 | ¥38.50 | ¥97.62 | +154% |
| Haier Smart Home Co 600690 | ¥20.14 | ¥45.72 | +127% |
| SharkNinja, Inc SN | $177.74 | $100.43 | −43% |
| Somnigroup International Inc SGI | $62.75 | $31.80 | −49% |
| Mohawk Industries, Inc MHK | $125.12 | $107.31 | −14% |
| De'Longhi S.p.A DLG | €38.86 | €40.11 | +3% |
| Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 | ¥26.36 | ¥41.56 | +58% |
| COWAY Co 021240 | 99,800 KRW | 74,673 KRW | −25% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is AB Electrolux (publ) (ELX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.9471 versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of €2.17, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ELX?
Our model-based fair value for AB Electrolux (publ) is €0.9471 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): €2.17.
What is the quality score of ELX?
AB Electrolux (publ) has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AB Electrolux (publ) (ELX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.9471 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.6823, optimistic scenario €1.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AB Electrolux (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.9471, about −56% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of €2.17 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.6823, optimistic scenario €1.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of AB Electrolux (publ) (ELX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AB Electrolux (publ) it is €0.9471 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €2.17. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AB Electrolux (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ELX trades above its calculated fair value: price €2.17, fair value €0.9471, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ELX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€2.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.9471). For AB Electrolux (publ) the two are €1.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AB Electrolux (publ) worth?
The market values AB Electrolux (publ) at about €5.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €2.17; our models calculate a fair value of €0.9471 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ELX?
Our models span a range for AB Electrolux (publ): cautious scenario €0.6823, base €0.9471, optimistic €1.99 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €2.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of AB Electrolux (publ) (ELX)?
Balance-sheet figures for AB Electrolux (publ) (as of Sep 23, 2026): debt of 3.57 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ELX from its 52-week high?
AB Electrolux (publ) trades at €2.17, about 66% below its 52-week high of €6.34 and at the low of €2.17 (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.9471 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AB Electrolux (publ)?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, King Slide Works Co, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AB Electrolux (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €2.17, calculated fair value €0.9471 (−56%), Quality Score 50/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ELX calculated?
We run AB Electrolux (publ) through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.9471, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. AB Electrolux (publ) itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AB Electrolux (publ) (ELX)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at €2.17. Our model-based fair value is €0.9471, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AB Electrolux (publ) right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€1.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (€0.6823 to €1.99). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of AB Electrolux (publ)
How large is the market capitalisation of AB Electrolux (publ) (ELX)?
The market capitalisation of AB Electrolux (publ) is €5.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the net margin of AB Electrolux (publ) (ELX)?
The net margin of AB Electrolux (publ) is 0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AB Electrolux (publ) (ELX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AB Electrolux (publ) is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does AB Electrolux (publ) (ELX) generate?
The free cash flow of AB Electrolux (publ) is −2.2B SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does AB Electrolux (publ) (ELX) carry?
The net debt of AB Electrolux (publ) is 24.2B SEK (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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