The Eastern Company (EML) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $143M
The Eastern Company
EML · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($16.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $14.87 – $33.21 · fair‑value band $10.43 – $16.36 · the $24.90 price screens above the $13.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
The Eastern Company (EML) currently trades at $24.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.43, implying the stock looks roughly 46.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Eastern Company generated revenue of $245M at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue declined 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at $46.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.43 (bear case) to $16.36 (bull case); at $24.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -46%, EML screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($17.39) versus Growth DCF ($4.05). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Eastern Company designs, manufactures, and sells engineered solutions to industrial markets in the United States and North America.
Full company description
The Eastern Company designs, manufactures, and sells engineered solutions to industrial markets in the United States and North America. The company offers turnkey returnable packaging solutions, which are used in the assembly processes of vehicles, aircraft, and durable goods, as well as in production processes of plastic packaging products, packaged consumer goods, and pharmaceuticals; injection blow mold tooling products; design, develops, and manufactures 2-step stretch blow molds, and related components for the stretch blow molding industry; and supplies blow molds and change parts to the food, beverage, healthcare, and chemical industries. It also provides rotary latches, compression latches, draw latches, hinges, camlocks, key switches, padlocks, and handles; and development and program management services for custom electromechanical and mechanical systems for original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and customer applications. In addition, the company designs and manufactures proprietary vision technology for OEMs and aftermarket applications, as well as offers aftermarket components to the heavy- and medium-duty truck, motorhome, and bus markets. The Eastern Company was founded in 1858 and is based in Shelton, Connecticut.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Eastern Company reported revenue of $249M in FY2025 versus $247M in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was $5.1M in FY2025, compounding −14.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
EML screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Eastern Soars 41% Year to Date: Should You Buy the Stock?
- The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Citigroup, TotalEnergies, AppLovin, The Eastern and Acorn Energy
- Eastern Stock Falls 8% as Q1 Earnings Decline Year Over Year
- Eastern (EML) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$129.60 | HK$81.05 | -37% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $410.99 | $350.46 | -15% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $595.49 | $184.29 | -69% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $252.58 | $154.80 | -39% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $88.22 | $54.24 | -39% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 258.90 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $139.47 | $66.33 | -52% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $94.42 | $69.71 | -26% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 140.00 | CHF 118.30 | -16% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥29.33 | ¥35.72 | +22% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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