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Emmis Communications Corp (EMMS) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $26.8M · ISIN US2915254005

EC Emmis Communications Corp logo Emmis Communications Corp EMMS · US
Price$1.60
Fair Value$2.29
Upside+42.9%
Quality66/100
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Strengths

Trades 30% below our fair value of $2.29
Highly profitable · 127.1% net margin
Ranks above peers (7/11)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −30.1 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −30.1 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 127.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Evidence: Medium Range $1.71 – $2.86 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $2.11 to $2.29 (+8.2%) since Jul 16, 2026.

A solid business, trading 30% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.71). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$5.25 $0.7194 Fair Value $2.29 Dec 2019 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7194 – $5.25 · fair‑value band $1.71 – $2.86 · the $1.60 price screens below the $2.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Emmis Communications Corp (EMMS) currently trades at $1.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.29, implying the stock looks roughly 42.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $39.7M. Revenue grew 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $27.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.71 (bear case) to $2.86 (bull case); at $1.60, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at 43%, EMMS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM best evidence $3.01 $3.22 $3.52 69
Graham-Dodd $28.24 $34.51 $38.83 67
DDM Multi-Stage $3.01 $3.48 $4.08 67
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $28.24 $34.51 $38.83 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM best evidence $3.01 $3.22 $3.52 69
DDM Multi-Stage $3.01 $3.48 $4.08 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $68.52 $91.36 $114.20 63
P/S Multiple $8.57 $11.43 $14.29 58
P/B Multiple $25.90 $34.53 $43.16 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.93 $6.61 $9.86 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.21 $43.92 $574.05 64
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $48.30 $69.00 $89.70 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($69.00) versus Dividend Discount ($3.22). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.67 TTM
EPS (TTM) $-1.61
Net margin 127% FY2020
Return on equity -22.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3% avg 5y
Operating margin -26.7% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $39.7M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.9% 3y avg -43.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +71.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$13.0M FY2020
Net cash $27.6M FY2020

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Emmis Corporation, a diversified media company, engages in radio broadcasting activities in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Radio and Publishing. It operates 4 FM and 2 AM radio stations in New York and Indianapolis, as well as publishes Indianapolis Monthly magazine.

Full company description

Emmis Corporation, a diversified media company, engages in radio broadcasting activities in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Radio and Publishing. It operates 4 FM and 2 AM radio stations in New York and Indianapolis, as well as publishes Indianapolis Monthly magazine. The company also offers dynamic pricing consulting services; and sound masking solutions for offices and other commercial applications. The company was formerly known as Emmis Communications Corporation and changed its name to Emmis Corporation in August 2022. Emmis Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2016 – FY2020 · reported fiscal years

Emmis Communications Corp reported revenue of $39.7M in FY2020 versus $231M in FY2016, a compound −35.6%/yr. Reported net income was $50.5M in FY2020, compounding +121.1%/yr from FY2016. FY2016 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 11/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2020)
$39.7M
Latest YoY
−0.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−43.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−30.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+14.6% (14.6 + 0.0)
Revenue −35.6%/yr
FY16 $231M
FY17 $215M
FY18 $148M
FY19 $39.9M
FY20 $39.7M
Net income +121.1%/yr
FY16 $2.1M
FY17 $13.1M
FY18 $82.1M
FY19 $23.4M
FY20 $50.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Emmis Communications Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EMMS

Peer Group

Broadcasting · 72 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +43% · Above median
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 127% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -27% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 19.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.40× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE91 · sector 33
FUTURE80 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 2
HEALTH80 · sector 96
DIVIDEND100 · sector 71

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nexstar Media Group NXST $185.52 $151.97 -18%
SES S.A SESG €4.90 €18.90 +286%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 500.00 IDR 1,094 IDR +119%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB €3.62 €5.38 +49%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.10 ¥1.14 -63%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹487.90 ₹586.58 +20%
MBC Group 4072 20.41 SAR 19.24 SAR -6%
Métropole Télévision S.A MMT €12.04 €15.96 +33%
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 ¥7.15 ¥3.64 -49%
PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA 216.00 IDR 198.19 IDR -8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Emmis Communications Corp (EMMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.29 versus a price of $1.60, about +43% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EMMS?
Our model-based fair value for Emmis Communications Corp is $2.29 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.60.
What is the quality score of EMMS?
Emmis Communications Corp has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Emmis Communications Corp (EMMS)?
Emmis Communications Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $39.7M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EMMS?
The net profit margin of Emmis Communications Corp is about 127.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 127.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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