Emmis Communications Corp (EMMS) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $26.8M · ISIN US2915254005
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $2.11 to $2.29 (+8.2%) since Jul 16, 2026.
A solid business, trading 30% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.71). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7194 – $5.25 · fair‑value band $1.71 – $2.86 · the $1.60 price screens below the $2.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Emmis Communications Corp (EMMS) currently trades at $1.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.29, implying the stock looks roughly 42.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $39.7M. Revenue grew 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $27.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.71 (bear case) to $2.86 (bull case); at $1.60, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at 43%, EMMS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($69.00) versus Dividend Discount ($3.22). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Emmis Corporation, a diversified media company, engages in radio broadcasting activities in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Radio and Publishing. It operates 4 FM and 2 AM radio stations in New York and Indianapolis, as well as publishes Indianapolis Monthly magazine.
Full company description
Emmis Corporation, a diversified media company, engages in radio broadcasting activities in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Radio and Publishing. It operates 4 FM and 2 AM radio stations in New York and Indianapolis, as well as publishes Indianapolis Monthly magazine. The company also offers dynamic pricing consulting services; and sound masking solutions for offices and other commercial applications. The company was formerly known as Emmis Communications Corporation and changed its name to Emmis Corporation in August 2022. Emmis Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2016 – FY2020 · reported fiscal years
Emmis Communications Corp reported revenue of $39.7M in FY2020 versus $231M in FY2016, a compound −35.6%/yr. Reported net income was $50.5M in FY2020, compounding +121.1%/yr from FY2016. FY2016 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Watch EMMS: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Broadcasting · 72 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nexstar Media Group NXST | $185.52 | $151.97 | -18% |
| SES S.A SESG | €4.90 | €18.90 | +286% |
| PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK | 500.00 IDR | 1,094 IDR | +119% |
| MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB | €3.62 | €5.38 | +49% |
| Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 | ¥3.10 | ¥1.14 | -63% |
| Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV | ₹487.90 | ₹586.58 | +20% |
| MBC Group 4072 | 20.41 SAR | 19.24 SAR | -6% |
| Métropole Télévision S.A MMT | €12.04 | €15.96 | +33% |
| Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 | ¥7.15 | ¥3.64 | -49% |
| PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA | 216.00 IDR | 198.19 IDR | -8% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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