Empress Royalty Corp (EMPR) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$113M
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price +10.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 34% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.7800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (C$0.3800 to C$0.7800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.1650 – C$1.26 · fair‑value band C$0.3800 – C$0.7800 · the C$0.9500 price screens above the C$0.6300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Empress Royalty Corp (EMPR) currently trades at C$0.9500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.6300, implying the stock looks roughly 33.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Empress Royalty Corp generated revenue of C$23.5M at a net margin of 43.8%. Revenue grew 231.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 41.2%. Net debt stands at C$4.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.3800 (bear case) to C$0.7800 (bull case); at C$0.9500, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -34%, EMPR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$2.40) versus Asset-Based (C$0.1400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Empress Royalty Corp. engages in creating and investing in a portfolio of precious metal royalty and streaming interests in Canada. It focuses on small to mid-tier producing or development stage mining companies. The company explores gold and silver deposits. Empress Royalty Corp. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Empress Royalty Corp reported revenue of C$17.2M in FY2025 versus C$1.8M in FY2022, a compound +111.1%/yr. Reported net income was C$7.4M in FY2025.
EMPR screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Fresnillo plc →
Peer Group
Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresnillo plc FRES | 579.75 MXN | 558.30 MXN | -4% |
| Hecla Mining Company HL | $14.52 | $8.15 | -44% |
| Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN | $29.82 | $29.96 | +0% |
| Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW | $8.12 | $9.90 | +22% |
| China Gold International Resources Corp CGG | C$24.78 | C$18.48 | -25% |
| Artemis Gold Inc ARTG | C$32.98 | C$21.86 | -34% |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM | $28.10 | $16.03 | -43% |
| Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 | ¥21.01 | ¥13.23 | -37% |
| Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA | C$26.10 | C$5.85 | -78% |
| Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 | ¥13.15 | ¥2.84 | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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