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Emetals Ltd (EMT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Emetals Ltd A$0.04, price A$0.04, upside -0.7%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000076200

EL Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Emetals Ltd

EMT · AU

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value A$0.0417 · Fairly valued (−0.7%)
!Quality 43/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +72.1 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (2/5)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2200 A$0.0300 Fair Value A$0.0417 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0300 – A$0.2200 · fair‑value band A$0.0331 – A$0.0417 · the A$0.0420 price screens above the A$0.0417 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

eMetals Limited engages in the mineral exploration activities in Australia. The company explores for gold, rare earths elements, precious, and base metals.

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eMetals Limited engages in the mineral exploration activities in Australia. The company explores for gold, rare earths elements, precious, and base metals. It holds interests in the Mubende Gold Project has exploration license EL00379 covers 202 square kilometres in the Mubende region west of Kampala, Uganda; the Meka Project located in the Murchison Region; and the Salmon Gums Project holds four exploration licenses E63/2049, E63/2066, E63/2127 and three exploration license applications E63/2477, E63/2478, E63/2479 covering an area of 436 blocks of the Eucla Basin in the Albany Fraser Range Province of southern Western Australia. eMetals Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Emetals Ltd (EMT) currently trades at A$0.0420, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0417, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.7%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0331 (bear) to A$0.0417 (bull), the price of A$0.0420 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Emetals Ltd reported revenue of A$98.6K in FY2025 versus A$7.9K in FY2021, a compound +87.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$4.3M (≈ $3.0M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −24.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −21.8% · Operating margin 392,265% · Revenue (TTM) −A$362 · Revenue growth (YoY) +6.9% · Free cash flow −A$994K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −1%, EMT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0331 Fair Value A$0.0417 Bull A$0.0417
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 46
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+66.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+72.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +95.0% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+95.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−17,270.0% (2020) → −533.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 431 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/4 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Above median
Fair Value upside −0.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −19.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6.9% · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)32 · sector 6
FUTURE (revenue growth)35 · sector 63
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 61.10 SAR 67.21 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.08 ¥19.15 +12%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹588.95 ₹647.85 +10%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥57.18 ¥29.56 −48%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Boliden AB BOL kr 521.00 kr 464.45 −11%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥35.19 ¥38.71 +10%
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$12.06 C$4.46 −63%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥46.90 ¥23.62 −50%
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹266.35 ₹655.92 +146%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Emetals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EMT

Frequently asked questions

Is Emetals Ltd (EMT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0417 versus a price of A$0.0420, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of EMT?
Our model-based fair value for Emetals Ltd is A$0.0417 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0420.
What is the quality score of EMT?
Emetals Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Emetals Ltd (EMT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0417 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0331, optimistic scenario A$0.0417. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Emetals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0417, about −1% upside versus a price of A$0.0420 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0331, optimistic scenario A$0.0417. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Emetals Ltd (EMT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Emetals Ltd it is A$0.0417 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of A$0.0420. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Emetals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, EMT trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0420, fair value A$0.0417, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EMT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0420); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0417). For Emetals Ltd the two are A$0.0003 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Emetals Ltd worth?
The market values Emetals Ltd at about A$4.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0420; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0417 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EMT?
Our models span a range for Emetals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0331, base A$0.0417, optimistic A$0.0417 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price A$0.0420). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Emetals Ltd (EMT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Emetals Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −24.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EMT from its 52-week high?
Emetals Ltd trades at A$0.0420, about 65% below its 52-week high of A$0.1200 and 5% above the low of A$0.0400 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0417 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Emetals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Emetals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price A$0.0420, calculated fair value A$0.0417 (−1%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EMT calculated?
We run Emetals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0417, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Emetals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Emetals Ltd (EMT)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was A$0.0420. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0417, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Emetals Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Emetals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Emetals Ltd (EMT)?
The market capitalisation of Emetals Ltd is A$4.3M (≈ $3.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Emetals Ltd (EMT)?
Earnings per share at Emetals Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Emetals Ltd (EMT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Emetals Ltd is −24.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Emetals Ltd (EMT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Emetals Ltd is −21.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Emetals Ltd (EMT)?
The operating margin of Emetals Ltd is 392,265% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Emetals Ltd (EMT) generate?
Emetals Ltd generates revenue of −A$362 (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Emetals Ltd (EMT)?
Revenue at Emetals Ltd is growing +6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +66.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Emetals Ltd (EMT) generate?
The free cash flow of Emetals Ltd is −A$994K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Emetals Ltd (EMT) hold?
Emetals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$2.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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