Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A BRL 66.51, price BRL 39.00, upside +70.5%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$32.30 – R$80.78 · fair‑value band R$46.56 – R$86.46 · the R$39.00 price screens below the R$66.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A operates as an electricity distributor in Mato Grosso. The company was formerly known as Centrais Elétricas Matogrossenses and changed its name to Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A in February 2015. The company was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Cuiabá, Brazil.
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Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A operates as an electricity distributor in Mato Grosso. The company was formerly known as Centrais Elétricas Matogrossenses and changed its name to Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A in February 2015. The company was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Cuiabá, Brazil. Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A is a subsidiary of Rede Energia Participações S.A.
Stock analysis
Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3) currently trades at R$39.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$66.51, implying the stock looks roughly 41.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of R$83.16 per share, and 13 of the 16 models we run sit above the R$39.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$12.03, and 3 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: R$46.56 (bear) to R$86.46 (bull), the price of R$39.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A reported revenue of R$9.0B in FY2025 versus R$6.8B in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was R$871M in FY2025, compounding −3.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$8.5B (≈ $1.7B) · P/E ratio 11.6 · P/S ratio 1.13 · EPS (TTM) R$3.12 · Dividend yield 9.0% · Net margin 9.7% · Return on equity 18.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 71%, ENMT3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$46.56Fair Value R$66.51Bull R$86.46
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+14.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5% vs 20%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 20%
Compare Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 157 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+76% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)18% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)19% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)9.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.09× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ENMT3
Frequently asked questions
Is Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$66.51 versus a price of R$39.00, about +71% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ENMT3?
Our model-based fair value for Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A is R$66.51 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$39.00.
What is the quality score of ENMT3?
Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$66.51 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$46.56, optimistic scenario R$86.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$66.51, about +71% upside versus a price of R$39.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R$46.56, optimistic scenario R$86.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$9.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A pay a dividend?
Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.95% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A it is R$66.51 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of R$39.00. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ENMT3 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$39.00, fair value R$66.51, a gap of about +71% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ENMT3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$39.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$66.51). For Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A the two are R$27.51 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A worth?
The market values Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A at about R$8.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is R$39.00; our models calculate a fair value of R$66.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ENMT3?
Our models span a range for Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A: cautious scenario R$46.56, base R$66.51, optimistic R$86.46 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price R$39.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ENMT3?
Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$66.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 7.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 18.4%, debt of 2.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ENMT3 from its 52-week high?
Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A trades at R$39.00, about 34% below its 52-week high of R$59.02 and 21% above the low of R$32.30 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$66.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price R$39.00, calculated fair value R$66.51 (+71%), Quality Score 39/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ENMT3 calculated?
We run Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$66.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A currently trades 71 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was R$39.00. Our model-based fair value is R$66.51, about +71% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$46.56). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (R$46.56 to R$86.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A
How large is the market capitalisation of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
The market capitalisation of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A is R$8.5B (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A is 1.13 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
Earnings per share at Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A are R$3.12 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
The dividend yield of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A is 9.0% (payout 112%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
The net margin of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A is 9.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A is 18.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A is 13.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
The operating margin of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A is 19.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
Revenue at Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A is growing +16.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3)?
Earnings per share at Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A are growing −49.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3) generate?
The free cash flow of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A is −R$1.1B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A (ENMT3) carry?
The net debt of Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A is R$8.5B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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