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EON Resources Inc. (EONR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of EON Resources Inc. $0.33, price $0.51, upside -35.2%, quality 2 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
EON Resources Inc.
EONR · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $0.3315 · Strongly overvalued (−35%)
!Quality 2/100
!Weak Growth (revenue YoY −24.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -12.2% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/11)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
54‑month range $0.2750 – $12.12 · fair‑value band $0.3315 – $0.3740 · the $0.5116 price screens above the $0.3315 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
EON Resources Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the Permian Basin.
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EON Resources Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the Permian Basin. It holds a 100% working interest in the property that consists of 342 producing wells, as well as 207 water injection wells and one water source well covering an area of approximately 13,700 acres. The company was formerly known as HNR Acquisition Corp and changed its name atop EON Resources Inc. in September 2024. EON Resources Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Stock analysis
EON Resources Inc. (EONR) currently trades at $0.5116, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3315, implying the stock looks roughly 54.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $0.8500 per share, and 2 of the 4 models we run sit above the $0.5116 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.0400, and 2 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.3315 (bear) to $0.3740 (bull), the price of $0.5116 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 2/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
EON Resources Inc. reported revenue of $20.3M in FY2024 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$9.1M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap $30.8M · P/S ratio 1.78 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6000 · Net margin −44.8% · Return on equity −5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0% · Operating margin −38.5% · Revenue (TTM) $17.3M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −35%, EONR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.3315
Fair Value $0.3315
Bull $0.3740
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.5400
$0.8400
$1.32
76
Growth DCF
$0.5700
$0.8500
$1.27
75
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
n/a
$0.0400
66
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.5400
$0.8400
$1.32
76
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
n/a
$0.0400
66
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.2200
$0.2800
$0.3200
65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0300
$0.0400
$0.0600
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.5700
$0.8500
$1.27
75
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
2/100
Of which business quality 9 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Profitability
7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
3
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
4
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
7/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+76.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +72.3% a year for the price.
EONR screens 54% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Compare EON Resources Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 307 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 0883 | HK$23.68 | HK$39.95 | +69% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $125.27 | $90.15 | −28% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $47.77 | $52.55 | +10% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.52 | $165.02 | +18% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $56.31 | $33.34 | −41% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $184.50 | $242.64 | +32% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $46.93 | $51.62 | +10% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$31.13 | A$23.59 | −24% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $50.81 | $55.89 | +10% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $355.24 | $318.28 | −10% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is EON Resources Inc. (EONR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3315 versus a price of $0.5116, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EONR?
Our model-based fair value for EON Resources Inc. is $0.3315 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5116.
What is the quality score of EONR?
EON Resources Inc. has a Quality Score of 2/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3315 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3315, optimistic scenario $0.3740. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EON Resources Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3315, about −35% upside versus a price of $0.5116 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3315, optimistic scenario $0.3740. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
EON Resources Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, EON Resources Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +76.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew -29.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EONR use?
Our models discount EON Resources Inc. at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For EON Resources Inc. that is +76.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has EON Resources Inc. (EONR) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at EON Resources Inc. grew -29.0 % a year. The price currently implies +76.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of EON Resources Inc. (EONR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into EON Resources Inc. (+76.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.45 %: that much free cash flow EON Resources Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EON Resources Inc. it is $0.3315 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.5116. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is EON Resources Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, EONR trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.5116, fair value $0.3315, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EONR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5116); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3315). For EON Resources Inc. the two are $0.1801 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EON Resources Inc. worth?
The market values EON Resources Inc. at about $30.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.5116; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3315 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EONR?
Our models span a range for EON Resources Inc.: cautious scenario $0.3315, base $0.3315, optimistic $0.3740 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.5116). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
Balance-sheet figures for EON Resources Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −5.0%, debt of 10.98 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 2/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EONR from its 52-week high?
EON Resources Inc. trades at $0.5116, about 68% below its 52-week high of $1.58 and 92% above the low of $0.2670 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3315 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to EON Resources Inc.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EON Resources Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.5116, calculated fair value $0.3315 (−35%), Quality Score 2/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EONR calculated?
We run EON Resources Inc. through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3315, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. EON Resources Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.5116. Our model-based fair value is $0.3315, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with EON Resources Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3740). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (2/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band ($0.3315 to $0.3740), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of EON Resources Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
The market capitalisation of EON Resources Inc. is $30.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of EON Resources Inc. is 1.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
Earnings per share at EON Resources Inc. are $−0.6000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
The net margin of EON Resources Inc. is −44.8% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EON Resources Inc. is −5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EON Resources Inc. is 6.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
The operating margin of EON Resources Inc. is −38.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
Revenue at EON Resources Inc. is growing −16.0% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at EON Resources Inc. (EONR)?
Earnings per share at EON Resources Inc. are growing −57.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does EON Resources Inc. (EONR) carry?
The net debt of EON Resources Inc. is $40.3M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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