Earlypay Limited (EPY) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · AU · Market cap A$30.8M
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price −4.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 25% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1050 – A$0.5148 · fair‑value band A$0.1100 – A$0.1900 · the A$0.1200 price screens below the A$0.1500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Earlypay Limited (EPY) currently trades at A$0.1200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1500, implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Earlypay Limited generated revenue of A$50.7M at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue declined 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. Net debt stands at A$199M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.1100 (bear case) to A$0.1900 (bull case); at A$0.1200, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 25%, EPY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (A$0.2000) versus DCF Models (A$0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Earlypay Limited engages in the provision of financial solutions to businesses in Australia. It offers invoice finance, such as debtor and trade finance; invoice factoring and discounting, and clean energy finance services, as well as business line of credit.
Full company description
Earlypay Limited engages in the provision of financial solutions to businesses in Australia. It offers invoice finance, such as debtor and trade finance; invoice factoring and discounting, and clean energy finance services, as well as business line of credit. The company also provides equipment finance services for old and new equipment, such as sale back of owned or partially owned equipment, private sales, and mid-term refinancing. In addition, it offers payroll and trade finance services, and asset finance. Additionally, it offers supplier early payment platform solutions and ATO tax debt services. The company was formerly known as CML Group Limited and changed its name to Earlypay Limited in November 2020. Earlypay Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Earlypay Limited reported revenue of A$50.9M in FY2025 versus A$42.5M in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$2.9M in FY2025, compounding −20.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −7.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −10.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch EPY: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Credit Services · 331 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visa Inc V | $348.97 | $204.19 | -41% |
| Mastercard Incorporated MA | $537.70 | $221.87 | -59% |
| American Express Company AXP | $358.44 | $206.40 | -42% |
| Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE | ₹1,056 | ₹397.61 | -62% |
| Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN | ₹1,024 | ₹553.83 | -46% |
| Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN | ₹1,808 | ₹796.52 | -56% |
| Tata Capital Limited TATACAP | ₹360.60 | ₹229.85 | -36% |
| Power Finance Corporation PFC | ₹405.10 | ₹810.20 | +100% |
| Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN | ₹3,129 | ₹3,463 | +11% |
| Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC | ₹88.41 | ₹69.72 | -21% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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