Equita Group SpA (EQUI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Equita Group SpA €8.89, price €5.89, upside +50.9%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.85 – €6.22 · fair‑value band €4.59 – €11.74 · the €5.89 price screens below the €8.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Equita Group S.p.A. engages in providing sales and trading, investment banking, and alternative asset management services for investors, financial institution, corporates, and entrepreneurs in Italy and internationally.
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Equita Group S.p.A. engages in providing sales and trading, investment banking, and alternative asset management services for investors, financial institution, corporates, and entrepreneurs in Italy and internationally. The company offers merger and acquisition, debt, and real estate advisory services; equity and debt capital markets; and corporate broking services. It also provides proprietary desk and market making services, such as trading on equities, bonds, exchange traded funds, derivatives, and certificates, as well as retail hub services. In addition, it offers private debt, private equity, investment and investment management in renewable assets, and liquid strategies services. Further, the company provides research solutions, including research and periodic reports; meetings between listed companies and financial community; and debt advisory services. Equita Group S.p.A. was founded in 2017 and is based in Milan, Italy.
Stock analysis
Equita Group SpA (EQUI) currently trades at €5.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.89, implying the stock looks roughly 33.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €9.23 per share, and 7 of the 11 models we run sit above the €5.89 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.50, and 4 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €4.59 (bear) to €11.74 (bull), the price of €5.89 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Equita Group SpA reported revenue of €119M in FY2025 versus €98.7M in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was €24.3M in FY2025, compounding +3.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €300M · P/E ratio 12.5 · P/S ratio 2.55 · EPS (TTM) €0.4700 · Dividend yield 6.8% · Net margin 20.3% · Return on equity 21.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 51%, EQUI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €4.59Fair Value €8.89Bull €11.74
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0514 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+38.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+15.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12% vs 7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 28%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 460 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+51% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)20% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)25% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.60× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Equita Group SpA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EQUI
Frequently asked questions
Is Equita Group SpA (EQUI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €8.89 versus a price of €5.89, about +51% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EQUI?
Our model-based fair value for Equita Group SpA is €8.89 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.89.
What is the quality score of EQUI?
Equita Group SpA has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €8.89 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario €4.59, optimistic scenario €11.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Equita Group SpA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €8.89, about +51% upside versus a price of €5.89 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €4.59, optimistic scenario €11.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
Equita Group SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €121M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Equita Group SpA pay a dividend?
Equita Group SpA currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.79% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Equita Group SpA would have to grow free cash flow by -2.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EQUI use?
Our models discount Equita Group SpA at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Equita Group SpA that is -2.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Equita Group SpA (EQUI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Equita Group SpA grew +9.9 % a year. The price currently implies -2.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Equita Group SpA (EQUI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Equita Group SpA (-2.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 19.94 %: that much free cash flow Equita Group SpA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Equita Group SpA it is €8.89 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €5.89. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Equita Group SpA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, EQUI trades below its calculated fair value: price €5.89, fair value €8.89, a gap of about +51% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EQUI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.89); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€8.89). For Equita Group SpA the two are €3.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Equita Group SpA worth?
The market values Equita Group SpA at about €300M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €5.89; our models calculate a fair value of €8.89 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EQUI?
Our models span a range for Equita Group SpA: cautious scenario €4.59, base €8.89, optimistic €11.74 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €5.89). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EQUI?
Equita Group SpA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €8.89 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 14.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Equita Group SpA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 21.0%, debt of 1.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EQUI from its 52-week high?
Equita Group SpA trades at €5.89, about 5% below its 52-week high of €6.22 and 16% above the low of €5.08 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €8.89 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Equita Group SpA?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Equita Group SpA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €5.89, calculated fair value €8.89 (+51%), Quality Score 65/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EQUI calculated?
We run Equita Group SpA through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €8.89, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Equita Group SpA currently trades 51 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €5.89. Our model-based fair value is €8.89, about +51% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Equita Group SpA right now?
Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€4.59 to €11.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Equita Group SpA
How large is the market capitalisation of Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
The market capitalisation of Equita Group SpA is €300M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Equita Group SpA is 2.55 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
Earnings per share at Equita Group SpA are €0.4700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
The dividend yield of Equita Group SpA is 6.8% (payout 85.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
The net margin of Equita Group SpA is 20.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Equita Group SpA is 21.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Equita Group SpA is 7.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
The operating margin of Equita Group SpA is 24.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Equita Group SpA (EQUI)?
Revenue at Equita Group SpA is growing +7.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Equita Group SpA (EQUI) carry?
The net debt of Equita Group SpA is €73.6M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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