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Equita Group (EQUI) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IT · Market cap €294M

EG Equita Group EQUI · MI
Price€5.83
Fair Value€3.14
Upside-46.1%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 20.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
7.03% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range €2.35 – €3.92 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −2.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€3.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€6.22 €1.76 Fair Value €3.14 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.76 – €6.22 · fair‑value band €2.35 – €3.92 · the €5.83 price screens above the €3.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Equita Group (EQUI) currently trades at €5.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.14, implying the stock looks roughly 46.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Equita Group generated revenue of €121M at a net margin of 20.0%. Revenue grew 7.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.0%. Net debt stands at €73.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €2.35 (bear case) to €3.92 (bull case); at €5.83, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -46%, EQUI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €8.57 €12.17 €16.48 80
Residual Income €2.41 €3.20 €9.07 76
Rev-Margin DCF €4.72 €7.01 €9.61 74
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €2.86 €4.64 €6.93 31
5Y P/E Exit €5.28 €7.93 €10.64 38
10Y P/E Exit €6.64 €9.12 €12.06 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €3.20 €10.97 €14.73 54
Lynch FV €2.53 €3.61 €4.69 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple €4.59 €6.12 €7.65 63
P/B Multiple €2.35 €3.14 €3.92 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.12 €1.50 €2.24 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €8.57 €12.17 €16.48 80
Rev-Margin DCF €4.72 €7.01 €9.61 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €2.41 €3.20 €9.07 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€7.93) versus Asset-Based (€1.50). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €121M
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.2%
Net margin 20.0%
Return on equity 21.0%
Free cash flow €59.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.1
More key figures
Operating margin 24.8%
EPS (TTM) €0.4700
Dividend yield 7.0%
Net debt €73.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 58
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Equita Group S.p.A. engages in providing sales and trading, investment banking, and alternative asset management services for investors, financial institution, corporates, and entrepreneurs in Italy and internationally.

Full company description

Equita Group S.p.A. engages in providing sales and trading, investment banking, and alternative asset management services for investors, financial institution, corporates, and entrepreneurs in Italy and internationally. The company offers merger and acquisition, debt, and real estate advisory services; equity and debt capital markets; and corporate broking services. It also provides proprietary desk and market making services, such as trading on equities, bonds, exchange traded funds, derivatives, and certificates, as well as retail hub services. In addition, it offers private debt, private equity, investment and investment management in renewable assets, and liquid strategies services. Further, the company provides research solutions, including research and periodic reports; meetings between listed companies and financial community; and debt advisory services. Equita Group S.p.A. was founded in 2017 and is based in Milan, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Equita Group reported revenue of €119M in FY2025 versus €98.7M in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was €24.3M in FY2025, compounding +3.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€119M
Latest YoY
+38.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.8%
Revenue +4.8%/yr
FY21 €98.7M
FY22 €93.5M
FY23 €95.2M
FY24 €86.2M
FY25 €119M
Net income +3.0%/yr
FY21 €21.5M
FY22 €15.2M
FY23 €16.1M
FY24 €14.0M
FY25 €24.3M

EQUI screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Equita Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EQUI

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 423 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.60× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.80× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 5.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 36 · sector 96
PAST 84 · sector 30
HEALTH 20 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Equita Group (EQUI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.14 versus a price of €5.83, about −46% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EQUI?
Our model-based fair value for Equita Group is €3.14 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €5.83.
What is the quality score of EQUI?
Equita Group has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Equita Group (EQUI)?
Equita Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €121M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EQUI?
The net profit margin of Equita Group is about 20.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Equita Group pay a dividend?
Equita Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.03% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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