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Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, (ES) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $28.0B

EE Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, logo Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, ES · US
Price$72.06
Fair Value$67.56
Upside-6.2%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.6% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
4.08% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range $47.29 – $87.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $66.85 to $67.56 (+1.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($47.29 to $87.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$79.24 $46.21 Fair Value $67.56 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $46.21 – $79.24 · fair‑value band $47.29 – $87.82 · the $72.06 price screens above the $67.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, (ES) currently trades at $72.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $67.56, implying the stock looks roughly 6.2% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, generated revenue of $13.9B at a net margin of 12.6%. Revenue grew 9.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. Net debt stands at $30.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $47.29 (bear case) to $87.82 (bull case); at $72.06, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -6%, ES screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $38.60 $42.98 $61.90 76
Rev-Margin DCF $9.42 $43.03 74
ROIC Compounder $7.63 $17.56 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $9.46 $48.55 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.63 $60.44 $121.53 41
5Y P/E Exit $9.42 $40.90 38
10Y Revenue Exit $31.07 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $31.42 $84.68 37
10Y P/E Exit $25.45 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $30.60 $75.86 $98.32 54
PEG = 1.0 $13.77 $19.67 $25.56 46
EPV $7.63 $17.56 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $32.73 $60.69 $98.64 70
DDM Multi-Stage $32.73 $49.40 $67.53 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $67.50 $90.00 $112.50 63
P/S Multiple $57.38 $76.50 $95.63 58
P/B Multiple $57.38 $76.50 $95.63 55
EV/EBIT $35.44 $71.20 $106.96 53
EV/EBITDA $46.31 $85.69 $125.07 54
EV/Revenue $18.21 $45.23 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $21.53 $28.86 $43.07 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF $9.42 $43.03 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $38.60 $42.98 $61.90 76
ROIC Compounder $7.63 $17.56 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $52.08 $74.41 $96.73 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($76.50) versus Economic Profit ($7.63). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $13.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.4%
Net margin 12.6%
Return on equity 10.9%
Free cash flow $1.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 14.7
More key figures
Operating margin 24.9%
EPS (TTM) $4.67
Dividend yield 4.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.4%
Net debt $30.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 51
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, engages in the energy delivery business. The company operates through Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Natural Gas Distribution, and Water Distribution segments. It is involved in the transmission and distribution of electricity; solar power facilities; and distribution of natural gas.

Full company description

Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, engages in the energy delivery business. The company operates through Electric Distribution, Electric Transmission, Natural Gas Distribution, and Water Distribution segments. It is involved in the transmission and distribution of electricity; solar power facilities; and distribution of natural gas. The company also operates regulated water utilities that provides water services to residential, commercial, industrial, municipal and fire protection, and other customers in Connecticut, Massachusetts, and New Hampshire. The company was formerly known as Northeast Utilities and changed its name to Eversource Energy in April 2015. Eversource Energy was incorporated in 1927 and is headquartered in Springfield, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, reported revenue of $13.5B in FY2025 versus $9.9B in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1.7B in FY2025, compounding +8.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$13.5B
Latest YoY
+13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+4.8%
Revenue +8.3%/yr
FY21 $9.9B
FY22 $12.3B
FY23 $11.9B
FY24 $11.9B
FY25 $13.5B
Net income +8.5%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 −$442M
FY24 $812M
FY25 $1.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ES

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.68× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.73× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.01× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 23.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.16× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 25 · sector 9
FUTURE 47 · sector 32
PAST 44 · sector 39
HEALTH 16 · sector 53
DIVIDEND 82 · sector 56

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, (ES) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $67.56 versus a price of $72.06, about −6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ES?
Our model-based fair value for Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, is $67.56 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $72.06.
What is the quality score of ES?
Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, has a Quality Score of 48/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, (ES)?
Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ES?
The net profit margin of Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, is about 12.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, pay a dividend?
Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.46% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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