eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of eToro Group Ltd. $44.86, price $27.18, upside +65.0%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
16‑month range $24.76 – $75.97 · fair‑value band $18.79 – $61.59 · the $27.18 price screens below the $44.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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eToro Group Ltd. engages in the trading business. Its multi-asset platform supports trading and investing in equities, crypto assets, commodities, currencies, and options, which can be traded either as assets or as derivatives related to various underlying asset types.
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eToro Group Ltd. engages in the trading business. Its multi-asset platform supports trading and investing in equities, crypto assets, commodities, currencies, and options, which can be traded either as assets or as derivatives related to various underlying asset types. The company also operates eToro Club, a membership program providing a range of services and tools to enhance a user's investment experience; eToro Academy, an education hub to improve users' understanding of financial markets; and eToro Money, a money management solution that enables users to make deposits and withdrawals, as well as to trade local stocks in local currencies. In addition, it provides various investment tools and services, including charting and analysis tools and extended-hours trading. Further, the company offers CopyTrader, Pro Investor, and Smart Portfolios program to follow and replicate the trading activities of other users or portfolios. eToro Group Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Bnei Brak, Israel.
Stock analysis
eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) currently trades at $27.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.86, implying the stock looks roughly 39.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $53.41 per share, and 7 of the 11 models we run sit above the $27.18 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $9.82, and 4 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $18.79 (bear) to $61.59 (bull), the price of $27.18 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
eToro Group Ltd. reported revenue of $926M in FY2025 versus $945M in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was $216M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $3.1B · P/E ratio 16.3 · P/S ratio 3.80 · EPS (TTM) $2.40 · Net margin 23.3% · Return on equity 21.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8% · Operating margin 2.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 65%, ETOR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $18.79Fair Value $44.86Bull $61.59
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.76 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−11.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 28%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−15.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −17.1% a year for the price and +4.9% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 463 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+65% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Return on assets15% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−36% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "eToro Group Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ETOR
Frequently asked questions
Is eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $44.86 versus a price of $27.18, about +65% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ETOR?
Our model-based fair value for eToro Group Ltd. is $44.86 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $27.18.
What is the quality score of ETOR?
eToro Group Ltd. has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $44.86 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $18.79, optimistic scenario $61.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the eToro Group Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $44.86, about +65% upside versus a price of $27.18 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $18.79, optimistic scenario $61.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, eToro Group Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by -15.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ETOR use?
Our models discount eToro Group Ltd. at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For eToro Group Ltd. that is -15.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at eToro Group Ltd. grew +11.0 % a year. The price currently implies -15.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into eToro Group Ltd. (-15.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.97 %: that much free cash flow eToro Group Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For eToro Group Ltd. it is $44.86 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $27.18. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is eToro Group Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ETOR trades below its calculated fair value: price $27.18, fair value $44.86, a gap of about +65% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ETOR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($27.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($44.86). For eToro Group Ltd. the two are $17.68 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is eToro Group Ltd. worth?
The market values eToro Group Ltd. at about $3.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $27.18; our models calculate a fair value of $44.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ETOR?
Our models span a range for eToro Group Ltd.: cautious scenario $18.79, base $44.86, optimistic $61.59 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $27.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ETOR?
eToro Group Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $44.86 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 9.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
Balance-sheet figures for eToro Group Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 21.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ETOR from its 52-week high?
eToro Group Ltd. trades at $27.18, about 38% below its 52-week high of $43.93 and 10% above the low of $24.76 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $44.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to eToro Group Ltd.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is eToro Group Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $27.18, calculated fair value $44.86 (+65%), Quality Score 60/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ETOR calculated?
We run eToro Group Ltd. through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $44.86, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. eToro Group Ltd. currently trades 65 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $27.18. Our model-based fair value is $44.86, about +65% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with eToro Group Ltd. right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($18.79 to $61.59). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of eToro Group Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
The market capitalisation of eToro Group Ltd. is $3.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of eToro Group Ltd. is 3.80 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
Earnings per share at eToro Group Ltd. are $2.40 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
The net margin of eToro Group Ltd. is 23.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of eToro Group Ltd. is 21.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of eToro Group Ltd. is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
The operating margin of eToro Group Ltd. is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
Revenue at eToro Group Ltd. is growing −35.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −47.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)?
Earnings per share at eToro Group Ltd. are growing +24.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) hold?
eToro Group Ltd. holds more cash than debt, $970M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Sep 24, 2026