eToro Group (ETOR) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $3.1B
eToro Group
ETOR · US
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −11.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($21.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (15 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
15‑month range $24.76 – $75.97 · fair‑value band $13.08 – $21.80 · the $35.24 price screens above the $17.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
eToro Group (ETOR) currently trades at $35.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.44, implying the stock looks roughly 50.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, eToro Group generated revenue of $12.4B at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue declined 35.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $970M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $13.08 (bear case) to $21.80 (bull case); at $35.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -51%, ETOR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($53.00) versus Asset-Based ($9.82). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
eToro Group Ltd. engages in the trading business. Its multi-asset platform supports trading and investing in equities, crypto assets, commodities, currencies, and options, which can be traded either as assets or as derivatives related to various underlying asset types.
Full company description
eToro Group Ltd. engages in the trading business. Its multi-asset platform supports trading and investing in equities, crypto assets, commodities, currencies, and options, which can be traded either as assets or as derivatives related to various underlying asset types. The company also operates eToro Club, a membership program providing a range of services and tools to enhance a user's investment experience; eToro Academy, an education hub to improve users' understanding of financial markets; and eToro Money, a money management solution that enables users to make deposits and withdrawals, as well as to trade local stocks in local currencies. In addition, it provides various investment tools and services, including charting and analysis tools and extended-hours trading. Further, the company offers CopyTrader, Pro Investor, and Smart Portfolios program to follow and replicate the trading activities of other users or portfolios. eToro Group Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Bnei Brak, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
eToro Group reported revenue of $926M in FY2025 versus $945M in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was $216M in FY2025.
ETOR screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- ETOR or RYAN: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
- ETOR vs. AJG: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
- eToro weighs acquisitions and banking licence – report
- eToro looks to buy two wealth-tech firms, expand into payments: FT
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 425 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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