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Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Eurocash SA PK is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · US · ISIN US29872M1053

ES Eurocash SA PK logo Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Eurocash SA PK

EUSHY · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value $4.79 · Strongly undervalued (+190%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.1% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $3.02 to $9.47
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$12.78 $1.36 Fair Value $4.79 Jun 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.36 – $12.78 · fair‑value band $3.02 – $9.47 · the $1.65 price screens below the $4.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Eurocash S.A. engages in the wholesale distribution of food and other fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) in Poland. It operates through Wholesale, Retail, Projects, and Other segments.

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Eurocash S.A. engages in the wholesale distribution of food and other fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) in Poland. It operates through Wholesale, Retail, Projects, and Other segments. The company's products include basic food, soft and alcoholic drinks, tobacco products, phone cards, pre-paid top-ups; and non-food items, such as cosmetics, household chemicals, OTC medicines, and other. It distributes its products to traditional grocery market, retail stores, convenience stores, gas stations, restaurants, and hotel and café chains. The company operates a network of Europcash Cash & Carry stores; abc stores chain; small supermarkets under the Delikatesy Centrum brand; stores under the Duzy Ben brand; and franchise and partner stores of Eurocash distribution, as well as stores under the Inmedio and Inmedio Trendy brands. Eurocash S.A. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Komorniki, Poland.

Stock analysis

Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY) currently trades at $1.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.79, implying the stock looks roughly 65.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $36.09 per share, and 14 of the 14 models we run sit above the $1.65 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.81, and 0 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $3.02 (bear) to $9.47 (bull), the price of $1.65 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Eurocash SA PK reported revenue of 28.7B PLN in FY2025 versus 26.3B PLN in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was −321M PLN in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $230M · EPS (TTM) $−0.6200 · Net margin −1.1% · Return on equity −51.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Revenue (TTM) $31.2B · Revenue growth (YoY) −3.2% · EPS growth (YoY) +128%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 190%, EUSHY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.02 Fair Value $4.79 Bull $9.47
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $36.22 $50.48 $68.61 79
Growth DCF $36.18 $48.37 $62.84 77
Owner Earnings $8.64 $11.56 $15.26 75
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $36.22 $50.48 $68.61 79
Owner Earnings $8.64 $11.56 $15.26 75
5Y Revenue Exit $23.08 $30.73 $39.87 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $42.72 $67.81 $97.11 72
10Y Revenue Exit $28.27 $36.09 $45.73 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $39.31 $58.22 $83.40 66
Earnings-Based
EPV $10.16 $11.19 $12.02 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $18.60 $24.28 $29.96 66
EV/EBITDA $53.79 $71.19 $88.60 67
EV/Revenue $13.73 $18.94 $24.15 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.35 $1.81 $2.70 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $36.18 $48.37 $62.84 77
Rev-Margin DCF $23.08 $31.31 $41.12 71
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $10.37 $11.66 $12.83 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.0%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.4%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Revenue growth 21 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.0% (2020) → 0.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Eurocash SA PK with another stock

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Grocery Stores · 82 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 15.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.36× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.50× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 44
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 17
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 49
HEALTH (low debt)82 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 57

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Loblaw Companies Limited L C$61.28 C$44.44 −27%
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD €30.79 €53.50 +74%
The Kroger Co KR $62.25 $29.32 −53%
Woolworths Group WOW A$38.57 A$13.69 −65%
George Weston Limited WN C$98.82 C$128.48 +30%
Coles Group COL A$23.23 A$15.86 −32%
Metro Inc MRU C$88.16 C$94.01 +7%
Carrefour SA CA €16.27 €20.64 +27%
CP ALL Public Company TCPD 1.77 SGD 2.34 SGD +32%
BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS 434.75 TRY 276.69 TRY −36%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eurocash SA PK Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EUSHY

Frequently asked questions

Is Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.79 versus a price of $1.65, about +190% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EUSHY?
Our model-based fair value for Eurocash SA PK is $4.79 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.65.
What is the quality score of EUSHY?
Eurocash SA PK has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.79 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.02, optimistic scenario $9.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Eurocash SA PK stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.79, about +190% upside versus a price of $1.65 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.02, optimistic scenario $9.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY)?
Eurocash SA PK reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $31.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Eurocash SA PK it is $4.79 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $1.65. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Eurocash SA PK stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, EUSHY trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.65, fair value $4.79, a gap of about +190% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EUSHY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.79). For Eurocash SA PK the two are $3.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Eurocash SA PK worth?
The market values Eurocash SA PK at about $230M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $1.65; our models calculate a fair value of $4.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EUSHY?
Our models span a range for Eurocash SA PK: cautious scenario $3.02, base $4.79, optimistic $9.47 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $1.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Eurocash SA PK (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −51.1%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EUSHY from its 52-week high?
Eurocash SA PK trades at $1.65, about 56% below its 52-week high of $3.75 and 21% above the low of $1.36 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Eurocash SA PK?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Loblaw Companies Limited, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V, The Kroger Co, Woolworths Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Eurocash SA PK stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $1.65, calculated fair value $4.79 (+190%), Quality Score 49/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EUSHY calculated?
We run Eurocash SA PK through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Eurocash SA PK currently trades 190 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY)?
The closing price on Sep 15, 2026 was $1.65. Our model-based fair value is $4.79, about +190% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Eurocash SA PK right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.02). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($3.02 to $9.47). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Eurocash SA PK

How large is the market capitalisation of Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY)?
The market capitalisation of Eurocash SA PK is $230M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY)?
Earnings per share at Eurocash SA PK are $−0.6200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY)?
The net margin of Eurocash SA PK is −1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Eurocash SA PK is −51.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Eurocash SA PK is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY)?
Revenue at Eurocash SA PK is growing −3.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY)?
Earnings per share at Eurocash SA PK are growing +128% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY) generate?
The free cash flow of Eurocash SA PK is $573M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Eurocash SA PK (EUSHY) carry?
The net debt of Eurocash SA PK is $1.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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