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EVZ Ltd (EVZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of EVZ Ltd A$0.28, price A$0.52, upside -46.2%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · AU · ISIN AU000000EVZ8

EL Thin data Sep 24, 2026

EVZ Ltd

EVZ · AU

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value A$0.2800 · Strongly overvalued (−46%)
!Quality 51/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +10.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 29 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.7350 A$0.1180 Fair Value A$0.2800 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1180 – A$0.7350 · fair‑value band A$0.2500 – A$0.3400 · the A$0.5200 price screens above the A$0.2800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

EVZ Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the engineering services sectors in Australia and Asia. It operates through Energy and Resources; and Building Products segments.

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EVZ Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the engineering services sectors in Australia and Asia. It operates through Energy and Resources; and Building Products segments. The company designs, manufactures, and installs equipment for electricity, oil, and gas facilities, such as constant load power stations, base and backup power generation equipment, clean energy solutions, silos, cooling towers, pipe spooling, pressure vessels, and fabricated structural steel; and large steel tanks for the water, petrochemical, and chemical industries. It also designs syphonic roof drainage systems for various buildings, such as airports, shipping centers, and sporting venues; and supplies and installs metal panel tanks and prefabricated hydraulic systems. In addition, the company offers customer support services, including ongoing maintenance, servicing of equipment, and sourcing of emergency equipment; pressure piping, and structural and mechanical engineering solutions; spare parts; recurrent maintenance services. Further, it provides communications equipment, marine installations, and mobile generation capabilities. Additionally, it is involved in the designing, constructing, on-site installation, maintenance, and shutdown of engineering services to the mining, wood chip, petrochemical, aluminum, glass, cement, defense, and agriculture industries. EVZ Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

Stock analysis

EVZ Ltd (EVZ) currently trades at A$0.5200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2800, implying the stock looks roughly 85.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$0.6500 per share, and 10 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$0.5200 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at A$0.1600, and 14 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.2500 (bear) to A$0.3400 (bull), the price of A$0.5200 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

EVZ Ltd reported revenue of A$108M in FY2025 versus A$57.9M in FY2021, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$1.2M in FY2025, compounding −22.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap A$65.7M (≈ $46.1M) · P/E ratio 26.0 · P/S ratio 0.30 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0200 · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% · Operating margin 4.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 211% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −46%, EVZ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.2500 Fair Value A$0.2800 Bull A$0.3400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0200 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF A$0.5900 A$1.01 A$1.98 76
Growth DCF A$0.5800 A$1.04 A$1.74 76
5Y EBITDA Exit A$0.5100 A$0.8700 A$1.34 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.5900 A$1.01 A$1.98 76
Owner Earnings A$0.4600 A$0.8300 A$1.49 73
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.3800 A$0.5700 A$0.8300 72
5Y EBITDA Exit A$0.5100 A$0.8700 A$1.34 74
5Y P/E Exit A$0.3500 A$0.5100 A$0.7000 71
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.4400 A$0.6500 A$0.9900 66
10Y EBITDA Exit A$0.5400 A$0.8800 A$1.44 67
10Y P/E Exit A$0.4300 A$0.6100 A$0.8800 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.0700 A$0.4000 A$0.5500 63
Lynch FV A$0.1100 A$0.1600 A$0.2100 61
PEG = 1.0 A$0.1100 A$0.1600 A$0.2100 57
EPV A$0.2300 A$0.2500 A$0.2700 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.1600 A$0.2100 A$0.2700 63
P/S Multiple A$0.1300 A$0.1700 A$0.2200 58
P/B Multiple A$0.1300 A$0.1700 A$0.2200 55
EV/EBIT A$0.3500 A$0.4400 A$0.5200 66
EV/EBITDA A$0.5000 A$0.6400 A$0.7700 67
EV/Revenue A$0.2700 A$0.3500 A$0.4300 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1400 A$0.1900 A$0.2900 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.5800 A$1.04 A$1.74 76
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.3800 A$0.5700 A$0.8300 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.2100 A$0.2000 A$0.1700 71
ROIC Compounder A$0.2300 A$0.2500 A$0.2700 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.1700 A$0.2400 A$0.3100 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.4% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−17.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−6% → 2%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 11.8%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.0% a year for the price.

EVZ screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 840 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.33× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.39× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)83 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)29 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $634.90 $163.08 −74%
Vinci SA DG €110.50 €185.62 +68%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,626 $1,122 −31%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,930 ₹1,994 −49%
Ferrovial N.V FER $56.30 $24.01 −57%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 256,792 KRW −30%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €397.00 €203.87 −49%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €92.75 €75.04 −19%
EMCOR Group EME $751.80 $521.87 −31%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $217.52 $106.05 −51%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EVZ Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EVZ

Frequently asked questions

Is EVZ Ltd (EVZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.2800 versus a price of A$0.5200, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EVZ?
Our model-based fair value for EVZ Ltd is A$0.2800 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.5200.
What is the quality score of EVZ?
EVZ Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.2800 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.2500, optimistic scenario A$0.3400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EVZ Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.2800, about −46% upside versus a price of A$0.5200 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.2500, optimistic scenario A$0.3400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
EVZ Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$117M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, EVZ Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -0.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EVZ use?
Our models discount EVZ Ltd at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For EVZ Ltd that is -0.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has EVZ Ltd (EVZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at EVZ Ltd grew +10.3 % a year. The price currently implies -0.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of EVZ Ltd (EVZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into EVZ Ltd (-0.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.88 %: that much free cash flow EVZ Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EVZ Ltd it is A$0.2800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.5200. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is EVZ Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, EVZ trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.5200, fair value A$0.2800, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EVZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.5200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.2800). For EVZ Ltd the two are A$0.2400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EVZ Ltd worth?
The market values EVZ Ltd at about A$65.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.5200; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.2800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EVZ?
Our models span a range for EVZ Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.2500, base A$0.2800, optimistic A$0.3400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price A$0.5200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EVZ?
EVZ Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.2800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 5.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for EVZ Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EVZ from its 52-week high?
EVZ Ltd trades at A$0.5200, about 29% below its 52-week high of A$0.7350 and 211% above the low of A$0.1672 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.2800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to EVZ Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EVZ Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price A$0.5200, calculated fair value A$0.2800 (−46%), Quality Score 51/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EVZ calculated?
We run EVZ Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.2800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. EVZ Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.5200. Our model-based fair value is A$0.2800, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with EVZ Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.3400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of EVZ Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
The market capitalisation of EVZ Ltd is A$65.7M (≈ $46.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of EVZ Ltd is 0.30 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
Earnings per share at EVZ Ltd are A$0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
The net margin of EVZ Ltd is 1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EVZ Ltd is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EVZ Ltd is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
The operating margin of EVZ Ltd is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
Revenue at EVZ Ltd is growing +16.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at EVZ Ltd (EVZ)?
Earnings per share at EVZ Ltd are growing +191% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does EVZ Ltd (EVZ) hold?
EVZ Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$4.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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