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Exxaro Resources Limited (EXX) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · ZA · Market cap 51.4B ZAC

ER Exxaro Resources Limited EXX · JSE
PriceR201.55
Fair ValueR359.50
Upside+78.4%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Medium Range R281.06 – R563.28

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −5.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

R225.90 R132.94 Fair Value R359.50 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range R132.94 – R225.90 · fair‑value band R281.06 – R563.28 · the R201.55 price screens below the R359.50 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Exxaro Resources Limited (EXX) currently trades at R201.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R359.50 — implying the stock looks roughly 78.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Exxaro Resources Limited generated revenue of 41.8B ZAR at a net margin of 18.1%. Revenue declined 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 10.7B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 41.8B ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.5%
Net margin 18.1%
Return on equity 14.1%
Free cash flow 6.6B ZAC FY2025
P/E ratio 6.9
More key figures
Operating margin 15.1%
EPS (TTM) R31.79
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -12.7%
Net cash 10.7B ZAC FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Exxaro Resources Limited engages in coal, pigment manufacturing, and renewable energy businesses in South Africa, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company mines and supplies thermal coal, metallurgical coal, and semi-soft coking coal products primarily in the Waterberg and Mpumalanga regions; manufactures ferrosilicon powder; and provides iron ore. Its energy solutions business consists of 229 megawatts of wind power generation assets. The company was formerly known as Kumba Resources Limited and changed its name to Exxaro Resources Limited in November 2006. Exxaro Resources Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Centurion, South Africa.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Exxaro Resources Limited reported revenue of R41.8B in FY2025 versus R32.8B in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was R7.6B in FY2025, compounding −12.1%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +6.3%/yr
FY21 R32.8B
FY22 R46.4B
FY23 R38.7B
FY24 R40.7B
FY25 R41.8B
Net income −12.1%/yr
FY21 R12.7B
FY22 R13.8B
FY23 R11.3B
FY24 R7.7B
FY25 R7.6B

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Similar stocks

6 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 ¥47.51 ¥30.10 -37%
Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT ₹3,048 ₹66.35 -98%
Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 ¥23.30 ¥26.44 +13%
Yankuang Energy Group 600188 ¥19.84 ¥18.51 -7%
China Coal Energy Company 601898 ¥15.84 ¥20.15 +27%
Coal India Limited COALINDIA ₹449.00 ₹551.93 +23%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Exxaro Resources Limited (EXX) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R359.50 versus a price of R201.55 — about +78% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of EXX?
Our 21-model fair value for Exxaro Resources Limited is R359.50 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R201.55.
What is the quality score of EXX?
Exxaro Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 80/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Exxaro Resources Limited (EXX)?
Exxaro Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 41.8B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EXX?
The net profit margin of Exxaro Resources Limited is about 18.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Exxaro Resources Limited pay a dividend?
Exxaro Resources Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.08% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.