National Vision Holdings (EYE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.3B
Analysis
National Vision Holdings (EYE) currently trades at $16.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.13 — implying the stock looks roughly 51.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
About the company
National Vision Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an optical retailer in the United States. The company offers eyeglasses and contact lenses, and optical accessory products; and provides eye exams through its America's Best, Eyeglass World, Vista Optical, Fred Meyer, Vista Optical military, and DiscountContacts.com. It also offers health maintenance organization and optometric services. In addition, the company sells prescription and non-prescription eyewear, contact lenses and related accessories to retail customers. The company serves a diverse customer base, including price-driven consumers, style leaders, wellness shoppers with vision benefits, managed care customers, outside prescription customers, and progressive lens wearers. The company was formerly known as National Vision, Inc. and changed its name to National Vision Holdings, Inc. in March 2014. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.