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EZCORP, Inc (EZPW) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $2.0B

EI EZCORP, Inc logo EZCORP, Inc EZPW · US
Price$27.90
Fair Value$24.33
Upside-12.8%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range $16.94 – $30.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −13.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 13% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$35.59 $5.56 Fair Value $24.33 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.56 – $35.59 · fair‑value band $16.94 – $30.41 · the $27.90 price screens above the $24.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

EZCORP, Inc (EZPW) currently trades at $27.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.33, implying the stock looks roughly 12.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, EZCORP, Inc generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue grew 45.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. Net debt stands at $295M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $16.94 (bear case) to $30.41 (bull case); at $27.90, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 117% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -13%, EZPW screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $12.36 $18.62 $27.01 80
Residual Income $10.27 $11.29 $15.90 76
Rev-Margin DCF $13.97 $23.45 $34.81 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $11.57 $17.88 $26.70 31
5Y P/E Exit $11.45 $18.68 $26.41 38
10Y P/E Exit $11.67 $17.75 $25.46 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $8.94 $32.55 $43.91 54
Lynch FV $7.74 $11.06 $14.37 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.3400 $0.6100 $0.8400 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.3400 $0.5500 $0.6500 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.82 $17.09 $21.36 63
P/B Multiple $12.91 $17.22 $21.52 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.15 $8.24 $12.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.36 $18.62 $27.01 80
Rev-Margin DCF $13.97 $23.45 $34.81 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.27 $11.29 $15.90 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($18.62) versus Dividend Discount ($0.5500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +45.9%
Net margin 9.9%
Return on equity 14.8%
Free cash flow $110M FY2025
P/E ratio 17.4
More key figures
Operating margin 15.2%
EPS (TTM) $1.85
EPS growth (YoY) +82.7%
Net debt $295M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

EZCORP, Inc. provides pawn services in the United States, Mexico, and Latin America. It operates through U.S. Pawn, Latin America Pawn, and Other Investments segments. The company retails merchandise, primarily collateral forfeited from pawn lending operations and pre-owned merchandise purchased from customers.

Full company description

EZCORP, Inc. provides pawn services in the United States, Mexico, and Latin America. It operates through U.S. Pawn, Latin America Pawn, and Other Investments segments. The company retails merchandise, primarily collateral forfeited from pawn lending operations and pre-owned merchandise purchased from customers. It also provides pawn loans collateralized by tangible personal property, jewelry, consumer electronics, tools, sporting goods, and musical instruments. In addition, the company offers EZ+, a web-based application that allow customers to manage their pawn transactions, layaways, and loyalty rewards online. Further, the company operates under the EZPAWN, Value Pawn & Jewelry, Empeño Fácil, Cash Apoyo Efectivo, GuatePrenda, and MaxiEfectivo brands. EZCORP, Inc. was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

EZCORP, Inc reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $730M in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was $110M in FY2025, compounding +88.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.3B
Latest YoY
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y)
+12.4%
Revenue +15.0%/yr
FY21 $730M
FY22 $886M
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $1.2B
FY25 $1.3B
Net income +88.9%/yr
FY21 $8.6M
FY22 $50.2M
FY23 $38.5M
FY24 $83.1M
FY25 $110M

EZPW screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EZCORP, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EZPW

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −13% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Below median
Revenue growth 46% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.51× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.91× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.33× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 17.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 16 · sector 35
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 59 · sector 32
HEALTH 75 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is EZCORP, Inc (EZPW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $24.33 versus a price of $27.90, about −13% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EZPW?
Our model-based fair value for EZCORP, Inc is $24.33 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $27.90.
What is the quality score of EZPW?
EZCORP, Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of EZCORP, Inc (EZPW)?
EZCORP, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EZPW?
The net profit margin of EZCORP, Inc is about 9.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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