First Acceptance Corp (FACO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of First Acceptance Corp $6.21, price $6.29, upside -1.2%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.4388 – $6.29 · fair‑value band $5.07 – $13.56 · the $6.29 price screens above the $6.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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First Acceptance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an insurance holding company that underwrites non-standard personal automobile insurance and related products in the United States.
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First Acceptance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an insurance holding company that underwrites non-standard personal automobile insurance and related products in the United States. The company issues non-standard automobile insurance policies to individuals based on their inability or unwillingness to obtain insurance coverage from standard carriers due to various factors, including their payment preference, failure to maintain continuous insurance coverage, or driving record. It also underwrites auto insurance, renters insurance, life insurance, as well as roadside assistance. The company primarily distributes its products through its retail locations. First Acceptance Corporation was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
Stock analysis
First Acceptance Corp (FACO) currently trades at $6.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.21, implying the stock looks roughly 1.2% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $7.58 per share, and 2 of the 4 models we run sit above the $6.29 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.63, and 2 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $5.07 (bear) to $13.56 (bull), the price of $6.29 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
First Acceptance Corp reported revenue of $506M in FY2025 versus $285M in FY2021, a compound +15.4%/yr. Reported net income was $30.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $231M · P/E ratio 6.7 · P/S ratio 0.40 · EPS (TTM) $0.9400 · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 16.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% · Operating margin 3.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at −1%, FACO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $5.07Fair Value $6.21Bull $13.56
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6902 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.3% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+20.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.21% vs 2%, picking up
Profit margin 2013 to 2018 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Specialty · 30 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−14% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.20× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Specialty median · lower = cheaper
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Is First Acceptance Corp (FACO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.21 versus a price of $6.29, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of FACO?
Our model-based fair value for First Acceptance Corp is $6.21 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.29.
What is the quality score of FACO?
First Acceptance Corp has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.21 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.07, optimistic scenario $13.56. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the First Acceptance Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.21, about −1% upside versus a price of $6.29 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $5.07, optimistic scenario $13.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
First Acceptance Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $506M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, First Acceptance Corp would have to grow free cash flow by -9.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FACO use?
Our models discount First Acceptance Corp at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For First Acceptance Corp that is -9.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has First Acceptance Corp (FACO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at First Acceptance Corp grew +13.4 % a year. The price currently implies -9.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of First Acceptance Corp (FACO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into First Acceptance Corp (-9.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 19.80 %: that much free cash flow First Acceptance Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For First Acceptance Corp it is $6.21 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $6.29. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is First Acceptance Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FACO trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.29, fair value $6.21, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FACO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.21). For First Acceptance Corp the two are $0.0760 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is First Acceptance Corp worth?
The market values First Acceptance Corp at about $231M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $6.29; our models calculate a fair value of $6.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FACO?
Our models span a range for First Acceptance Corp: cautious scenario $5.07, base $6.21, optimistic $13.56 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $6.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FACO?
First Acceptance Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.21 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.5, P/B 1.2, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 4.7.
What is the PEG ratio of FACO?
The PEG ratio of First Acceptance Corp is 1.53 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
Balance-sheet figures for First Acceptance Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 16.4%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FACO from its 52-week high?
First Acceptance Corp trades at $6.29, at its 52-week high of $6.29 and 94% above the low of $3.24 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to First Acceptance Corp?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Fidelity National Financial, Inc, AXIS Capital Holdings, First American Financial Corporation, Enact Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is First Acceptance Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $6.29, calculated fair value $6.21 (−1%), Quality Score 45/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FACO calculated?
We run First Acceptance Corp through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. First Acceptance Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $6.29. Our model-based fair value is $6.21, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with First Acceptance Corp right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($5.07 to $13.56). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of First Acceptance Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
The market capitalisation of First Acceptance Corp is $231M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of First Acceptance Corp is 0.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
Earnings per share at First Acceptance Corp are $0.9400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
The net margin of First Acceptance Corp is 6.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of First Acceptance Corp is 16.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of First Acceptance Corp is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
The operating margin of First Acceptance Corp is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
Revenue at First Acceptance Corp is growing −13.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at First Acceptance Corp (FACO)?
Earnings per share at First Acceptance Corp are growing −58.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026