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First Acceptance Corporation (FACO) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $198M

FA First Acceptance Corporation logo First Acceptance Corporation FACO · US
Price$6.19
Fair Value$10.65
Upside+72.1%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range $7.99 – $13.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +14.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 72% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($7.99). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$6.19 $0.4388 Fair Value $10.65 Jan 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.4388 – $6.19 · fair‑value band $7.99 – $13.31 · the $6.19 price screens below the $10.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

First Acceptance Corporation (FACO) currently trades at $6.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.65, implying the stock looks roughly 72.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, First Acceptance Corporation generated revenue of $506M at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue declined 13.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 5.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.99 (bear case) to $13.31 (bull case); at $6.19, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 97% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at 72%, FACO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $4.88 $5.76 $10.87 76
P/E Multiple $7.99 $10.65 $13.31 63
P/B Multiple $5.69 $7.58 $9.48 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.99 $10.65 $13.31 63
P/B Multiple $5.69 $7.58 $9.48 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.71 $3.63 $5.42 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.88 $5.76 $10.87 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($7.58) versus Asset-Based ($3.63). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $506M
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.9%
Net margin 6.0%
Return on equity 16.4%
Free cash flow $45.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 5.7
More key figures
Operating margin 3.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.9400
EPS growth (YoY) -58.0%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 93
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

First Acceptance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an insurance holding company that underwrites non-standard personal automobile insurance and related products in the United States.

Full company description

First Acceptance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an insurance holding company that underwrites non-standard personal automobile insurance and related products in the United States. The company issues non-standard automobile insurance policies to individuals based on their inability or unwillingness to obtain insurance coverage from standard carriers due to various factors, including their payment preference, failure to maintain continuous insurance coverage, or driving record. It also underwrites auto insurance, renters insurance, life insurance, as well as roadside assistance. The company primarily distributes its products through its retail locations. First Acceptance Corporation was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

First Acceptance Corporation reported revenue of $506M in FY2025 versus $285M in FY2021, a compound +15.4%/yr. Reported net income was $30.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$506M
Latest YoY
−9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.8%
Revenue +15.4%/yr
FY21 $285M
FY22 $302M
FY23 $488M
FY24 $559M
FY25 $506M
Net income
FY21 −$1.2M
FY22 −$17.5M
FY23 $73.9M
FY24 $26.3M
FY25 $30.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "First Acceptance Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FACO

Peer Group

Insurance - Specialty · 32 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +72% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Specialty median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.39× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.53× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 66
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 65 · sector 57
HEALTH 90 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Specialty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fidelity National Financial, Inc FNF $49.53 $29.08 -41%
AXIS Capital Holdings AXS $114.62 $177.90 +55%
First American Financial Corporation FAF $70.06 $79.33 +13%
Enact Holdings ACT $46.52 $62.79 +35%
MGIC Investment Corporation MTG $29.47 $45.39 +54%
Essent Group ESNT $66.71 $97.33 +46%
Radian Group RDN $39.14 $56.98 +46%
Protector Forsikring ASA PROT kr 485.80 kr 418.04 -14%
Assured Guaranty Ltd AGO $82.49 $147.67 +79%
NMI Holdings NMIH $41.16 $66.55 +62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is First Acceptance Corporation (FACO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.65 versus a price of $6.19, about +72% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FACO?
Our model-based fair value for First Acceptance Corporation is $10.65 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $6.19.
What is the quality score of FACO?
First Acceptance Corporation has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of First Acceptance Corporation (FACO)?
First Acceptance Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $506M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FACO?
The net profit margin of First Acceptance Corporation is about 6.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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