Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited THB 0.57, price THB 0.19, upside +200.0%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1700 THB – 1.43 THB · fair‑value band 0.5118 THB – 0.6631 THB · the 0.1900 THB price screens below the 0.5700 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes wood furniture and rubber wood products in Thailand and internationally. It operates through the Distribution of Wood Products Business and Real Estate Development Business segments.
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Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes wood furniture and rubber wood products in Thailand and internationally. It operates through the Distribution of Wood Products Business and Real Estate Development Business segments. The company offers laminated boards, laminated laths, and joint wood products. It is also involved in the real estate development activities; and the sale of detached houses, townhouses, condominiums, and land. Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Samut Prakan, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY) currently trades at 0.1900 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5700 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 1.43 THB per share, and 9 of the 9 models we run sit above the 0.1900 THB price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.5300 THB, and 0 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.5118 THB (bear) to 0.6631 THB (bull), the price of 0.1900 THB sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited reported revenue of 73.5M THB in FY2025 versus 210M THB in FY2021, a compound −23.1%/yr. Reported net income was −4.1M THB in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 154M THB (≈ $4.6M) · P/S ratio 1.80 · EPS (TTM) −0.0100 THB · Net margin −5.6% · Return on equity −0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.7% · Operating margin −7.7% · Revenue (TTM) 85.4M THB.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 29% fair-value upside, at 200%, FANCY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.5118 THBFair Value 0.5700 THBBull 0.6631 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −16.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−17.7% (2020) → −6.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 316 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FANCY
Frequently asked questions
Is Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5700 THB versus a price of 0.1900 THB, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FANCY?
Our model-based fair value for Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited is 0.5700 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.1900 THB.
What is the quality score of FANCY?
Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.5700 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.5118 THB, optimistic scenario 0.6631 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.5700 THB, about +200% upside versus a price of 0.1900 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.5118 THB, optimistic scenario 0.6631 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 85.4M THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -22.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FANCY use?
Our models discount Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.21, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited grew -22.0 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 42.44 %: that much free cash flow Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited it is 0.5700 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.1900 THB. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FANCY trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.1900 THB, fair value 0.5700 THB, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FANCY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1900 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.5700 THB). For Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited the two are 0.3800 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited at about 154M THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.1900 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.5700 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FANCY?
Our models span a range for Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.5118 THB, base 0.5700 THB, optimistic 0.6631 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.1900 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of FANCY?
The PEG ratio of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited is 0.09 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FANCY from its 52-week high?
Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited trades at 0.1900 THB, about 51% below its 52-week high of 0.3900 THB and 12% above the low of 0.1700 THB (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.5700 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, King Slide Works Co, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.1900 THB, calculated fair value 0.5700 THB (+200%), Quality Score 64/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FANCY calculated?
We run Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.5700 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was 0.1900 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.5700 THB, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.5118 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
The market capitalisation of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited is 154M THB (≈ $4.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited is 1.80 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
Earnings per share at Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited are −0.0100 THB. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
The net margin of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited is −5.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited is −2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
The operating margin of Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited is −7.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
Revenue at Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited is growing +81.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −27.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY)?
Earnings per share at Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited are growing −98.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited (FANCY) hold?
Fancy Wood Industries Public Company Limited holds more cash than debt, 249M THB net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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