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Liberty Flour Mills Inc (LFM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 21, 2026: fair value of Liberty Flour Mills Inc PHP 3.21, price PHP 21.90, upside -85.3%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Non-Cyclicals · PH · ISIN PHY5274K1061

LF Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Liberty Flour Mills Inc

LFM · PSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 3.21 PHP · Strongly overvalued (−85%)
!Quality 52/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +15.6 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.6% net margin (FY2024)
✓Low debt
✓Ranks above peers (7/11)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 14 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

56.21 PHP 7.72 PHP Fair Value 3.21 PHP Sep 2016 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 7.72 PHP – 56.21 PHP · fair‑value band 2.93 PHP – 3.42 PHP · the 21.90 PHP price screens above the 3.21 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Stock analysis

Liberty Flour Mills Inc (LFM) currently trades at 21.90 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.21 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 582.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 7.23 PHP per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the 21.90 PHP price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.13 PHP, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 2.93 PHP (bear) to 3.42 PHP (bull), the price of 21.90 PHP sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Non-Cyclicals sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Liberty Flour Mills Inc reported revenue of 1.2B PHP in FY2024 versus 1.4B PHP in FY2020, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was 130M PHP in FY2024, compounding −9.3%/yr from FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap 6.5B PHP (≈ $103M) · P/E ratio 42.4 · P/S ratio 4.49 · EPS (TTM) 1.01 PHP · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Non-Cyclicals peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −85%, LFM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (1.13 PHP to 9.27 PHP). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 2.93 PHP Fair Value 3.21 PHP Bull 3.42 PHP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.01 PHP per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 4.04 PHP 5.01 PHP 6.63 PHP 76
EPV 2.81 PHP 3.13 PHP 3.39 PHP 74
Residual Income 5.21 PHP 5.17 PHP 4.61 PHP 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 4.04 PHP 5.01 PHP 6.63 PHP 76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3.00 PHP 3.92 PHP 4.50 PHP 65
EPV 2.81 PHP 3.13 PHP 3.39 PHP 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.06 PHP 1.13 PHP 1.24 PHP 67
DDM Multi-Stage 1.06 PHP 1.24 PHP 1.45 PHP 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple 6.96 PHP 9.27 PHP 11.59 PHP 63
P/S Multiple 5.01 PHP 6.68 PHP 8.34 PHP 58
P/B Multiple 5.63 PHP 7.51 PHP 9.38 PHP 55
EV/EBIT 5.46 PHP 7.23 PHP 9.00 PHP 66
EV/EBITDA 6.94 PHP 9.21 PHP 11.47 PHP 67
EV/Revenue 3.94 PHP 5.56 PHP 7.19 PHP 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.67 PHP 4.92 PHP 7.35 PHP 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 5.21 PHP 5.17 PHP 4.61 PHP 74
ROIC Compounder 2.81 PHP 3.13 PHP 3.39 PHP 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 4.91 PHP 7.02 PHP 9.12 PHP 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 32
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−9.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 10%

LFM screens 582% overvalued. Compare with FB →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food & Tobacco · 24 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Food & Tobacco median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 42.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.05× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 56
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 63

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Tobacco

Similar stocks

10 more Food & Tobacco stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
FB FB 43.40 PHP 39.12 PHP −10%
URC URC 58.95 PHP 40.78 PHP −31%
MONDE MONDE 6.16 PHP 0.7500 PHP −88%
CNPF CNPF 33.00 PHP 56.78 PHP +72%
DNL DNL 3.39 PHP 1.89 PHP −44%
RFM RFM 5.11 PHP 7.77 PHP +52%
AXLM AXLM 2.80 PHP 2.00 PHP −29%
EASY BIO,Inc. 353810 6,180 KRW 17,633 KRW +185%
Helixmith Co 084990 2,995 KRW 774.11 KRW −74%
MSC Co 009780 6,740 KRW 18,405 KRW +173%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Liberty Flour Mills Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LFM

Frequently asked questions

Is Liberty Flour Mills Inc (LFM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.21 PHP versus a price of 21.90 PHP, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LFM?
Our model-based fair value for Liberty Flour Mills Inc is 3.21 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 21.90 PHP.
What is the quality score of LFM?
Liberty Flour Mills Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Liberty Flour Mills Inc (LFM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.21 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.93 PHP, optimistic scenario 3.42 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Liberty Flour Mills Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.21 PHP, about −85% upside versus a price of 21.90 PHP (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.93 PHP, optimistic scenario 3.42 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Liberty Flour Mills Inc pay a dividend?
Liberty Flour Mills Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Liberty Flour Mills Inc (LFM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Liberty Flour Mills Inc it is 3.21 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 21.90 PHP. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Liberty Flour Mills Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LFM trades above its calculated fair value: price 21.90 PHP, fair value 3.21 PHP, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LFM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (21.90 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.21 PHP). For Liberty Flour Mills Inc the two are 18.69 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Liberty Flour Mills Inc worth?
The market values Liberty Flour Mills Inc at about 6.5B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 21.90 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 3.21 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LFM?
Our models span a range for Liberty Flour Mills Inc: cautious scenario 2.93 PHP, base 3.21 PHP, optimistic 3.42 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 21.90 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LFM?
Liberty Flour Mills Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 42.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3.21 PHP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1.
How far is LFM from its 52-week high?
Liberty Flour Mills Inc trades at 21.90 PHP, about 37% below its 52-week high of 35.00 PHP and 6% above the low of 20.60 PHP (as of Sep 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.21 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Liberty Flour Mills Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Non-Cyclicals) we also value FB, URC, MONDE, CNPF, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Liberty Flour Mills Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 21.90 PHP, calculated fair value 3.21 PHP (−85%), Quality Score 52/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LFM calculated?
We run Liberty Flour Mills Inc through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.21 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Liberty Flour Mills Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Liberty Flour Mills Inc (LFM)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was 21.90 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 3.21 PHP, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Liberty Flour Mills Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.42 PHP). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Liberty Flour Mills Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Liberty Flour Mills Inc (LFM)?
The market capitalisation of Liberty Flour Mills Inc is 6.5B PHP (≈ $103M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Liberty Flour Mills Inc (LFM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Liberty Flour Mills Inc is 4.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Liberty Flour Mills Inc (LFM)?
Earnings per share at Liberty Flour Mills Inc are 1.01 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 42.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Liberty Flour Mills Inc (LFM)?
The dividend yield of Liberty Flour Mills Inc is 0.7% (payout 14.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Liberty Flour Mills Inc (LFM)?
The net margin of Liberty Flour Mills Inc is 10.6% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Liberty Flour Mills Inc (LFM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Liberty Flour Mills Inc is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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