First National Bank Alaska (FBAK) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.0B
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +6.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $150.18 – $16,067 · fair‑value band $213.15 – $355.25 · the $338.00 price screens above the $284.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
First National Bank Alaska (FBAK) currently trades at $338.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $284.20, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, First National Bank Alaska generated revenue of $220M at a net margin of 36.8%. Revenue grew 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 13.2. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $213.15 (bear case) to $355.25 (bull case); at $338.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at -16%, FBAK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($251.65) versus Asset-Based ($120.43). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
First National Bank Alaska, a commercial bank, provides various banking products and services for business, industry, and individual customers primarily in Alaska.
Full company description
First National Bank Alaska, a commercial bank, provides various banking products and services for business, industry, and individual customers primarily in Alaska. The company offers savings and checking accounts; money market deposits; safe deposit services; certificates of deposit; individual retirement account; intraFi network deposit; and personal, home equity, and construction loans, as well as loans for stability and growth. It also provides investment, retirement, treasury, trust, and wealth management services; merchant services; and escrow and contract collection, and bankcard services, as well as equipment and vehicle, interim construction, inventory financing, escrow receivable, small business, commercial and industrial, real estate 1-4 and multifamily residential, consumer, construction and development, and real estate loans; line of credit; letters of credit; and corporate financing. In addition, the company offers debit and credit cards, online and mobile banking, fraud prevention, and convenience banking services. The company was formerly known as The First National Bank of Anchorage and changed its name to First National Bank Alaska in September 2001. First National Bank Alaska was founded in 1922 and is based in Anchorage, Alaska.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
First National Bank Alaska reported revenue of $214M in FY2025 versus $170M in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was $77.5M in FY2025, compounding +7.3%/yr from FY2021.
FBAK screens 16% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1090 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,350 IDR | 4,637 IDR | -27% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 168,100 KRW | 220,258 KRW | +31% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 3,110 IDR | 3,792 IDR | +22% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,150 IDR | 6,067 IDR | +46% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 8,400 ARS | +64% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 103,800 KRW | 146,032 KRW | +41% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 127,900 KRW | 210,506 KRW | +65% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,500 VND | 45,959 VND | -23% |
| Woori Financial Group 316140 | 33,000 KRW | 60,758 KRW | +84% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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