Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Georg Fischer AG $24.40, price $63.78, upside -61.7%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $15.76 – $76.79 · fair‑value band $17.02 – $38.61 · the $63.78 price screens above the $24.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Georg Fischer AG engages in the provision of piping systems, and casting and machining solutions in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company operates through GF Industry and Infrastructure Flow Solutions and GF Building Flow Solutions.
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Georg Fischer AG engages in the provision of piping systems, and casting and machining solutions in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company operates through GF Industry and Infrastructure Flow Solutions and GF Building Flow Solutions. The GF Industry and Infrastructure Flow Solutions segment focuses on leak-free piping systems, fittings, valves, pipes, automation, fabrication, and jointing technologies. It serves a wide range of industries, including microelectronics, chemical processing, water, marine, data centers, food and beverage, energy and life sciences. The GF Building Flow Solutions segment offers safe drinking water systems, energy-efficient radiant heating and cooling systems, and infrastructure solutions used for increasing productivity in conserving, managing, and providing water indoor climate solutions for the residential and commercial construction, municipality, and utilities sectors. The company was founded in 1802 and is headquartered in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF) currently trades at $63.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.40, 61.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $56.48 per share, and 2 of the 17 models we run sit above the $63.78 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $12.61, and 15 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $17.02 (bear) to $38.61 (bull), the price of $63.78 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Georg Fischer AG reported revenue of CHF 3.0B in FY2025 versus CHF 3.7B in FY2021, a compound −5.4%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 103M in FY2025, compounding −16.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $6.1B · P/E ratio 17.2 · P/S ratio 0.59 · EPS (TTM) $3.71 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 190% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −62%, FCHRF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $17.02Fair Value $24.40Bull $38.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.78 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+12.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9.9% vs −5.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 13%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+66.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CHF, Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +65.0% a year for the price and +2.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 789 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Below median
Fair Value upside−65.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets6.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)12.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)17.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)1.70× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF254.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.8× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)42· sector 26
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Georg Fischer AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FCHRF
Frequently asked questions
Is Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $24.40 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $63.78, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FCHRF?
Our model-based fair value for Georg Fischer AG is $24.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $63.78.
What is the quality score of FCHRF?
Georg Fischer AG has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $24.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario $17.02, optimistic scenario $38.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Georg Fischer AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $24.40, about −62% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $63.78 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $17.02, optimistic scenario $38.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
Georg Fischer AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 3.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Georg Fischer AG pay a dividend?
Georg Fischer AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.12% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Georg Fischer AG would have to grow free cash flow by +66.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FCHRF use?
Our models discount Georg Fischer AG at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.15, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Georg Fischer AG that is +66.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Georg Fischer AG grew -1.2 % a year. The price currently implies +66.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Georg Fischer AG (+66.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.46 %: that much free cash flow Georg Fischer AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Georg Fischer AG it is $24.40 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $63.78. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Georg Fischer AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FCHRF trades above its calculated fair value: price $63.78, fair value $24.40, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FCHRF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($63.78); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($24.40). For Georg Fischer AG the two are $39.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Georg Fischer AG worth?
The market values Georg Fischer AG at about $6.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $63.78; our models calculate a fair value of $24.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FCHRF?
Our models span a range for Georg Fischer AG: cautious scenario $17.02, base $24.40, optimistic $38.61 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $63.78). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FCHRF?
Georg Fischer AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $24.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 12.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Georg Fischer AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FCHRF from its 52-week high?
Georg Fischer AG trades at $63.78, about 17% below its 52-week high of $76.79 and at the low of $63.78 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $24.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Georg Fischer AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Georg Fischer AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $63.78, calculated fair value $24.40 (−62%), Quality Score 56/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FCHRF calculated?
We run Georg Fischer AG through 18 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $24.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Georg Fischer AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $63.78. Our model-based fair value is $24.40, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Georg Fischer AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($38.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($17.02 to $38.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF) come from?
Earnings per share at Georg Fischer AG grew −0.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.3 %, EBIT margin +2.1 %, tax rate −0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Georg Fischer AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
The market capitalisation of Georg Fischer AG is $6.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Georg Fischer AG is 0.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
Earnings per share at Georg Fischer AG are $3.71 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
The dividend yield of Georg Fischer AG is 2.1% (payout 36.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
The net margin of Georg Fischer AG is 3.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Georg Fischer AG is 190% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Georg Fischer AG is 8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
The operating margin of Georg Fischer AG is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
Revenue at Georg Fischer AG is growing −6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF)?
Earnings per share at Georg Fischer AG are growing +65.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Georg Fischer AG (FCHRF) carry?
The net debt of Georg Fischer AG is CHF 1.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 84.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 23, 2026