Fiddlehead Resources Corp (FHR) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CA · Market cap C$5.7M
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 48 days ago
Share price +7.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 81% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (20/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$0.1020). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (23 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
23‑month range C$0.0450 – C$0.1800 · fair‑value band C$0.1020 – C$0.1700 · the C$0.0750 price screens below the C$0.1360 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
Fiddlehead Resources Corp (FHR) currently trades at C$0.0750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1360, implying the stock looks roughly 81.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Fiddlehead Resources Corp generated revenue of C$11.3M at a net margin of -42.8%. Revenue declined 18.6% year over year. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.1020 (bear case) to C$0.1700 (bull case); at C$0.0750, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 81%, FHR screens cheaper than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Fiddlehead Resources Corp., a junior oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas reserves in western Canada. The company focuses on properties in the South Ferrier and Strachan areas of west central Alberta. Fiddlehead Resources Corp.
Full company description
Fiddlehead Resources Corp., a junior oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas reserves in western Canada. The company focuses on properties in the South Ferrier and Strachan areas of west central Alberta. Fiddlehead Resources Corp. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Fiddlehead Resources Corp reported revenue of C$9.4M in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$6.7M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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