FibraHotel (FIHO12) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of FibraHotel MXN 18.78, price MXN 7.51, upside +150.1%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.41 MXN – 10.10 MXN · fair‑value band 11.80 MXN – 29.67 MXN · the 7.51 MXN price screens below the 18.78 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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FibraHotel is a Mexican trust created primarily to acquire, develop, and operate hotels in Mexico. Our objective is to provide attractive returns to our CBFI holders through distributions and the appreciation of our real estate assets.
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FibraHotel is a Mexican trust created primarily to acquire, develop, and operate hotels in Mexico. Our objective is to provide attractive returns to our CBFI holders through distributions and the appreciation of our real estate assets. Also, we will aim to have a high-quality hotel portfolio, through the affiliation to different hotel brands and renowned operators, as well as geographic and segment diversification. FibraHotel was established on July 31, 2012 and incorporated in Mexico.
Stock analysis
FibraHotel (FIHO12) currently trades at 7.51 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.78 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 38.31 MXN per share, and 14 of the 16 models we run sit above the 7.51 MXN price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 6.85 MXN, and 2 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 11.80 MXN (bear) to 29.67 MXN (bull), the price of 7.51 MXN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
FibraHotel reported revenue of 5.4B MXN in FY2024 versus 1.9B MXN in FY2020, a compound +29.2%/yr. Reported net income was 393M MXN in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap 5.9B MXN (≈ $338M) · P/E ratio 16.7 · P/S ratio 1.21 · EPS (TTM) 0.4500 MXN · Dividend yield 8.1% · Net margin 7.3% · Return on equity −1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 150%, FIHO12 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 11.80 MXNFair Value 18.78 MXNBull 29.67 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+14.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.1%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 17%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Hotel & Motel · 35 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside+150% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)11% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)8.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FibraHotel Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FIHO12
Frequently asked questions
Is FibraHotel (FIHO12) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.78 MXN versus a price of 7.51 MXN, about +150% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FIHO12?
Our model-based fair value for FibraHotel is 18.78 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7.51 MXN.
What is the quality score of FIHO12?
FibraHotel has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 18.78 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.80 MXN, optimistic scenario 29.67 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the FibraHotel stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 18.78 MXN, about +150% upside versus a price of 7.51 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 11.80 MXN, optimistic scenario 29.67 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
FibraHotel reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.2B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does FibraHotel pay a dividend?
FibraHotel currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, FibraHotel would have to grow free cash flow by -6.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FIHO12 use?
Our models discount FibraHotel at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For FibraHotel that is -6.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has FibraHotel (FIHO12) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at FibraHotel grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies -6.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of FibraHotel (FIHO12) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into FibraHotel (-6.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 20.08 %: that much free cash flow FibraHotel produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For FibraHotel it is 18.78 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 7.51 MXN. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is FibraHotel stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FIHO12 trades below its calculated fair value: price 7.51 MXN, fair value 18.78 MXN, a gap of about +150% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FIHO12?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7.51 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (18.78 MXN). For FibraHotel the two are 11.27 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is FibraHotel worth?
The market values FibraHotel at about 5.9B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 7.51 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 18.78 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FIHO12?
Our models span a range for FibraHotel: cautious scenario 11.80 MXN, base 18.78 MXN, optimistic 29.67 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 7.51 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FIHO12?
FibraHotel trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 18.78 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 1.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
Balance-sheet figures for FibraHotel (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.2%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FIHO12 from its 52-week high?
FibraHotel trades at 7.51 MXN, about 6% below its 52-week high of 8.02 MXN and 9% above the low of 6.92 MXN (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 18.78 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to FibraHotel?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc, COVH, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is FibraHotel stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 7.51 MXN, calculated fair value 18.78 MXN (+150%), Quality Score 59/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FIHO12 calculated?
We run FibraHotel through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 18.78 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. FibraHotel currently trades 150 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 7.51 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 18.78 MXN, about +150% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with FibraHotel right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (11.80 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (11.80 MXN to 29.67 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of FibraHotel
How large is the market capitalisation of FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
The market capitalisation of FibraHotel is 5.9B MXN (≈ $338M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
The price-to-sales ratio of FibraHotel is 1.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
Earnings per share at FibraHotel are 0.4500 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
The dividend yield of FibraHotel is 8.1% (payout 136%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
The net margin of FibraHotel is 7.3% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
The return on equity (ROE) of FibraHotel is −1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of FibraHotel is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
The operating margin of FibraHotel is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
Revenue at FibraHotel is growing −0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at FibraHotel (FIHO12)?
Earnings per share at FibraHotel are growing −57.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does FibraHotel (FIHO12) carry?
The net debt of FibraHotel is 1.2B MXN (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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