FibraHotel (FIHO12) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · MX · Market cap 5.9B MXN
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price −2.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 81% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (11.53 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.50 MXN – 10.30 MXN · fair‑value band 11.53 MXN – 18.11 MXN · the 7.50 MXN price screens below the 13.59 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
FibraHotel (FIHO12) currently trades at 7.50 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.59 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 81.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, FibraHotel generated revenue of 5.3B MXN at a net margin of -1.4%. Revenue declined 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.6%. Net debt stands at 1.2B MXN. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 11.53 MXN (bear case) to 18.11 MXN (bull case); at 7.50 MXN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 81%, FIHO12 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (35.80 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (8.11 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
FibraHotel is a Mexican trust created primarily to acquire, develop, and operate hotels in Mexico. Our objective is to provide attractive returns to our CBFI holders through distributions and the appreciation of our real estate assets.
Full company description
FibraHotel is a Mexican trust created primarily to acquire, develop, and operate hotels in Mexico. Our objective is to provide attractive returns to our CBFI holders through distributions and the appreciation of our real estate assets. Also, we will aim to have a high-quality hotel portfolio, through the affiliation to different hotel brands and renowned operators, as well as geographic and segment diversification. FibraHotel was established on July 31, 2012 and incorporated in Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
FibraHotel reported revenue of 5.4B MXN in FY2024 versus 1.9B MXN in FY2020, a compound +29.2%/yr. Reported net income was 393M MXN in FY2024.
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Peer Group
REIT - Hotel & Motel · 35 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST | $24.50 | $16.49 | -33% |
| Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP | $133.09 | $48.74 | -63% |
| COVH COVH | €21.80 | €21.79 | -0% |
| Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE | $16.61 | $12.63 | -24% |
| Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK | $14.74 | $20.58 | +40% |
| DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH | $12.85 | $8.43 | -34% |
| Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO | $11.74 | $2.52 | -79% |
| Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB | $19.09 | $25.37 | +33% |
| Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR | $21.49 | $11.63 | -46% |
| RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ | $12.34 | $8.28 | -33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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