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Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 (FINN13) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · MX · Market cap 3.5B MXN

FI Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 FINN13 · MX
Price4.82 MXN
Fair Value3.74 MXN
Upside-22.4%
Quality43/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -11.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
7.57% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: Medium Range 3.74 MXN – 5.48 MXN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −2.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 22% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

5.51 MXN 2.49 MXN Fair Value 3.74 MXN Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.49 MXN – 5.51 MXN · fair‑value band 3.74 MXN – 5.48 MXN · the 4.82 MXN price screens above the 3.74 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 (FINN13) currently trades at 4.82 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.74 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 22.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 generated revenue of 2.6B MXN at a net margin of -11.1%. Revenue declined 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.7%. Net debt stands at 2.3B MXN. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 3.74 MXN (bear case) to 5.48 MXN (bull case); at 4.82 MXN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -22%, FINN13 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 2.43 MXN 6.68 MXN 13.71 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.6500 MXN 3.17 MXN 6.52 MXN 74
Gordon GGM 0.2600 MXN 0.5200 MXN 0.7900 MXN 70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.53 MXN 7.35 MXN 15.75 MXN 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.6500 MXN 3.20 MXN 6.65 MXN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 5.52 MXN 13.55 MXN 23.94 MXN 41
10Y Revenue Exit 1.15 MXN 3.80 MXN 7.87 MXN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 4.44 MXN 11.34 MXN 22.43 MXN 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.2600 MXN 0.5200 MXN 0.7900 MXN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.2600 MXN 0.4500 MXN 0.5500 MXN 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT 2.09 MXN 3.82 MXN 5.56 MXN 53
EV/EBITDA 7.72 MXN 11.33 MXN 14.94 MXN 54
EV/Revenue 0.9900 MXN 2.22 MXN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.15 MXN 6.90 MXN 10.30 MXN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2.43 MXN 6.68 MXN 13.71 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.6500 MXN 3.17 MXN 6.52 MXN 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (7.35 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (0.4500 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.6B MXN
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.7%
Net margin -11.1%
Return on equity -2.7%
Free cash flow 322M MXN FY2025
Operating margin 0.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.4700 MXN
Dividend yield 7.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -9.0%
Net debt 2.3B MXN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 is a Mexican trust formed primarily to acquire, develop, and lease properties for lodging in Mexico. Fibra Inn has an internalized structure, managed by its subsidiary, and therefore does not charge fees they charge fees for asset management services.

Full company description

Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 is a Mexican trust formed primarily to acquire, develop, and lease properties for lodging in Mexico. Fibra Inn has an internalized structure, managed by its subsidiary, and therefore does not charge fees they charge fees for asset management services. Fibra Inn has entered franchise, license and use agreements (demarcaconcadenas hoteleras internacionals para operarrsus marcas globales); in addition to having properties that operate with national brands. These brands have some of the most important loyalty programs in the industry. Investment Trust Certificates, or CBFIs, on the Mexican Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol FINN13. Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 was incorporated in 2012 in Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 reported revenue of 2.7B MXN in FY2025 versus 1.2B MXN in FY2021, a compound +22.7%/yr. Reported net income was −293M MXN in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.7B MXN
Latest YoY
+12.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.6%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Revenue +22.7%/yr
FY21 1.2B MXN
FY22 1.9B MXN
FY23 2.2B MXN
FY24 2.4B MXN
FY25 2.7B MXN
Net income
FY21 −222M MXN
FY22 −147M MXN
FY23 −237M MXN
FY24 −228M MXN
FY25 −293M MXN

FINN13 screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FINN13

Peer Group

REIT - Hotel & Motel · 35 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −22% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.50× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 3 · sector 12
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 0 · sector 6
HEALTH 75 · sector 73
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 65

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST $24.50 $16.49 -33%
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP $133.09 $48.74 -63%
COVH COVH €21.80 €21.79 -0%
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE $16.61 $12.63 -24%
Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK $14.74 $20.58 +40%
DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH $12.85 $8.43 -34%
Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO $11.74 $2.52 -79%
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB $19.09 $25.37 +33%
Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR $21.49 $11.63 -46%
RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ $12.34 $8.28 -33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 (FINN13) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.74 MXN versus a price of 4.82 MXN, about −22% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FINN13?
Our model-based fair value for Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 is 3.74 MXN (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 4.82 MXN.
What is the quality score of FINN13?
Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 (FINN13)?
Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.6B MXN (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FINN13?
The net profit margin of Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 is about -11.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 pay a dividend?
Fideicomiso Irrevocable db/1616 currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.23% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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