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Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk IDR 18, price IDR 133, upside -86.7%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · ID · ISIN ID1000161300

FN Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk

FLMC · JK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 17.72 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−87%)
!Quality 37/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −30.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -159.7% net margin (FY2025)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

625.00 IDR 21.00 IDR Fair Value 17.72 IDR Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 21.00 IDR – 625.00 IDR · fair‑value band 13.22 IDR – 26.45 IDR · the 133.00 IDR price screens above the 17.72 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Falmaco Nonwoven Industri Tbk engages in the manufacture and sale of tissue products and nonwoven fabrics in Indonesia.

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PT Falmaco Nonwoven Industri Tbk engages in the manufacture and sale of tissue products and nonwoven fabrics in Indonesia. The company provides baby wet wipes, antiseptic wet wipes, flushable wet wipes, and refreshing wet towel under the Wetkins brand; and glove, sterile gauze, alcohol swabs, hand sanitizer, alcohol wipes, bed sheet, bedliner, earloop face mask, surgical gown, and contamination prevention suit, as well as sanitizer wipes, surface sanitizing wipes, fogging liquid, protective coverall seal and non-seal, surgical mask, and disposable apron under the Falmed+ brand. It offers feminine hygiene, baby underpad, hand and mouth wet wipes, and facial cotton under the Valore brand; and light duty, medium duty, heavy duty, and rayon multipurpose wipes under the Polymorph brand. PT Falmaco Nonwoven Industri Tbk was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Cimahi, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC) currently trades at 133.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.72 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 650.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 13.22 IDR (bear) to 26.45 IDR (bull), the price of 133.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk reported revenue of 14.4B IDR in FY2025 versus 49.2B IDR in FY2021, a compound −26.5%/yr. Reported net income was −23.0B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 104B IDR (≈ $5.8M) · P/E ratio 8.2 · P/S ratio 4.21 · EPS (TTM) 16.13 IDR · Net margin −286% · Return on equity −180% · Return on assets (EBIT) −19.0% · Operating margin −236%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 156% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −87%, FLMC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 13.22 IDR Fair Value 17.72 IDR Bull 26.45 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (11.84 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 13.22 IDR 17.72 IDR 26.45 IDR 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13.22 IDR 17.72 IDR 26.45 IDR 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 6
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−59.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−37.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−30.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
19.3% (2020) → −112.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

FLMC screens 651% overvalued. Compare with Colgate-Palmolive Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 251 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −31% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −160% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)46 · sector 5
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Colgate-Palmolive Company CL $85.93 $55.95 −35%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹1,950 ₹775.25 −60%
Kenvue Inc KVUE $17.86 $12.73 −29%
Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB $97.70 $83.93 −14%
Henkel AG HEN €68.50 €80.96 +18%
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc EL $98.83 $27.22 −72%
Church & Dwight Co CHD $96.02 $65.12 −32%
Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft, BEI €78.18 €68.95 −12%
Puig Brands, S.A PUIG €17.56 €19.32 +10%
The Clorox Company CLX $87.15 $104.53 +20%

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Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk · Fair Value
17.72 IDR −651%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FLMC

Frequently asked questions

Is Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 17.72 IDR versus a price of 133.00 IDR, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FLMC?
Our model-based fair value for Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk is 17.72 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 133.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of FLMC?
Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 17.72 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13.22 IDR, optimistic scenario 26.45 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 17.72 IDR, about −87% upside versus a price of 133.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 13.22 IDR, optimistic scenario 26.45 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC)?
Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.2B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk it is 17.72 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 133.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FLMC trades above its calculated fair value: price 133.00 IDR, fair value 17.72 IDR, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FLMC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (133.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (17.72 IDR). For Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk the two are 115.28 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk worth?
The market values Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk at about 104B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 133.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 17.72 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FLMC?
Our models span a range for Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk: cautious scenario 13.22 IDR, base 17.72 IDR, optimistic 26.45 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 133.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FLMC?
Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 17.72 IDR is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −180.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FLMC from its 52-week high?
Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk trades at 133.00 IDR, about 44% below its 52-week high of 238.00 IDR and 156% above the low of 52.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 17.72 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, Kimberly-Clark Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 133.00 IDR, calculated fair value 17.72 IDR (−87%), Quality Score 37/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FLMC calculated?
We run Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 17.72 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 133.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 17.72 IDR, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (26.45 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (13.22 IDR to 26.45 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC)?
The market capitalisation of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk is 104B IDR (≈ $5.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk is 4.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC)?
Earnings per share at Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk are 16.13 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC)?
The net margin of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk is −286% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk is −180% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk is −19.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC)?
The operating margin of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk is −236% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC)?
Revenue at Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −37.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC) generate?
The free cash flow of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk is −2.4B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk (FLMC) carry?
The net debt of Falmaco Nonwoven Industri PT Tbk is 7.2B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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