PT Falmaco Nonwoven Industri Tbk (FLMC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 40.6B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +46.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (26.45 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (13.22 IDR to 26.45 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 21.00 IDR – 625.00 IDR · fair‑value band 13.22 IDR – 26.45 IDR · the 76.00 IDR price screens above the 17.72 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
PT Falmaco Nonwoven Industri Tbk (FLMC) currently trades at 76.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.72 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 76.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 14.4B IDR. Revenue declined 56.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -71.6%. Net debt stands at 7.2B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 13.22 IDR (bear case) to 26.45 IDR (bull case); at 76.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -77%, FLMC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Falmaco Nonwoven Industri Tbk engages in the manufacture and sale of tissue products and nonwoven fabrics in Indonesia.
Full company description
PT Falmaco Nonwoven Industri Tbk engages in the manufacture and sale of tissue products and nonwoven fabrics in Indonesia. The company provides baby wet wipes, antiseptic wet wipes, flushable wet wipes, and refreshing wet towel under the Wetkins brand; and glove, sterile gauze, alcohol swabs, hand sanitizer, alcohol wipes, bed sheet, bedliner, earloop face mask, surgical gown, and contamination prevention suit, as well as sanitizer wipes, surface sanitizing wipes, fogging liquid, protective coverall seal and non-seal, surgical mask, and disposable apron under the Falmed+ brand. It offers feminine hygiene, baby underpad, hand and mouth wet wipes, and facial cotton under the Valore brand; and light duty, medium duty, heavy duty, and rayon multipurpose wipes under the Polymorph brand. PT Falmaco Nonwoven Industri Tbk was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Cimahi, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Falmaco Nonwoven Industri Tbk reported revenue of 14.4B IDR in FY2025 versus 49.2B IDR in FY2021, a compound −26.5%/yr. Reported net income was −23.0B IDR in FY2025.
FLMC screens 77% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $146.80 | $108.16 | -26% |
| Unilever PLC ULN | 1,080 MXN | 1,273 MXN | +18% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,144 | ₹1,000 | -53% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 279.00 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹1,088 | ₹367.64 | -66% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹846.75 | ₹233.05 | -72% |
| APR Co 278470 | 375,000 KRW | 151,222 KRW | -60% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹429.45 | ₹181.60 | -58% |
| Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA | 38.07 MXN | 50.09 MXN | +32% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,730 IDR | 1,934 IDR | +12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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