Foseco India Limited (FOSECOIND) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹39.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price +6.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹2,038). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹1,125 – ₹6,467 · fair‑value band ₹1,223 – ₹2,038 · the ₹5,531 price screens above the ₹1,630 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Foseco India Limited (FOSECOIND) currently trades at ₹5,531, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,630, implying the stock looks roughly 70.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Foseco India Limited generated revenue of ₹7.0B at a net margin of 12.1%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹3.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹1,223 (bear case) to ₹2,038 (bull case); at ₹5,531, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -71%, FOSECOIND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹2,603) versus Dividend Discount (₹342.42). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Foseco India Limited engages in manufacturing of additives and consumables for the metallurgical industry in India and internationally.
Full company description
Foseco India Limited engages in manufacturing of additives and consumables for the metallurgical industry in India and internationally. It offers feeder sleeves and risers, coatings for sand molds and cores, filters and gating systems, metal treatment for nonferrous alloys, crucibles and retorts, binders and molding materials, and ferrous metal treatment, as well as melt shop refractories and flow control and die coatings for permanent mold die casting. The company also provides foundry services, such as advice, practice magazines, white papers, training and support, and technical services, including analytical services and casting simulation support. It primarily serves the requirements of ferrous and non-ferrous foundries to automotive, tractors, M&HCV, 2 wheelers, general engineering, valves and pumps, power, railways and marine, construction, and mining equipment. The company was founded in 1932 and is based in Pune, India. Foseco India Limited operates as a subsidiary of Vesuvius plc.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Foseco India Limited reported revenue of ₹6.4B in FY2025 versus ₹3.4B in FY2021, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹723M in FY2025, compounding +22.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
FOSECOIND screens 71% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 341 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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