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Falco Resources Ltd (FPC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Falco Resources Ltd C$0.10, price C$0.54, upside -81.5%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CA · ISIN CA30606C1086

FR Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Falco Resources Ltd

FPC · V

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$0.1000 · Strongly overvalued (−81.5%)
!Quality 26/100
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

C$0.6100 C$0.0950 Fair Value C$0.1000 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0950 – C$0.6100 · fair‑value band C$0.0700 – C$0.1400 · the C$0.5400 price screens above the C$0.1000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Falco Resources Ltd. engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Canada. It primarily explores for base and precious metals, gold, zinc, copper, and silver deposits. The company's principal property is the Horne 5 Project located in Rouyn-Noranda, Québec.

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Falco Resources Ltd. engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Canada. It primarily explores for base and precious metals, gold, zinc, copper, and silver deposits. The company's principal property is the Horne 5 Project located in Rouyn-Noranda, Québec. The company was formerly known as Falco Pacific Resource Group Inc. and changed its name to Falco Resources Ltd. in July 2014. Falco Resources Ltd. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

Stock analysis

Falco Resources Ltd (FPC) currently trades at C$0.5400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1000, implying the stock looks roughly 440.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0700 (bear) to C$0.1400 (bull), the price of C$0.5400 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Falco Resources Ltd reported revenue of C$0 in FY2024 versus C$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −C$3.4M in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap C$213M (≈ $151M) · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0100 · Return on equity −4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.3% · EPS growth (YoY) +79.0% · Free cash flow −C$5.1M · Net debt C$32.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −81%, FPC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0700 Fair Value C$0.1000 Bull C$0.1400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0700 C$0.1000 C$0.1400 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0700 C$0.1000 C$0.1400 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 27
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

FPC screens 440% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 450 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.97× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 61.10 SAR 67.21 SAR +10%
Vale S.A VALE $13.61 $9.87 −27%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.08 ¥19.15 +12%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹588.95 ₹647.85 +10%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥57.18 ¥29.56 −48%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Boliden AB BOL kr 521.00 kr 464.45 −11%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥35.19 ¥38.71 +10%
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$12.06 C$4.46 −63%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥46.90 ¥23.62 −50%

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Falco Resources Ltd · Fair Value
C$0.1000 −440%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Falco Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FPC

Frequently asked questions

Is Falco Resources Ltd (FPC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.1000 versus a price of C$0.5400, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FPC?
Our model-based fair value for Falco Resources Ltd is C$0.1000 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.5400.
What is the quality score of FPC?
Falco Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Falco Resources Ltd (FPC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.1000 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0700, optimistic scenario C$0.1400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Falco Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.1000, about −81% upside versus a price of C$0.5400 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0700, optimistic scenario C$0.1400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Falco Resources Ltd (FPC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Falco Resources Ltd it is C$0.1000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$0.5400. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Falco Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, FPC trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.5400, fair value C$0.1000, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FPC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.5400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.1000). For Falco Resources Ltd the two are C$0.4400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Falco Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Falco Resources Ltd at about C$213M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$0.5400; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.1000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FPC?
Our models span a range for Falco Resources Ltd: cautious scenario C$0.0700, base C$0.1000, optimistic C$0.1400 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$0.5400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Falco Resources Ltd (FPC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Falco Resources Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −4.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FPC from its 52-week high?
Falco Resources Ltd trades at C$0.5400, about 11% below its 52-week high of C$0.6100 and 77% above the low of C$0.3050 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.1000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Falco Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, Vale S.A, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Falco Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$0.5400, calculated fair value C$0.1000 (−81%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FPC calculated?
We run Falco Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.1000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Falco Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Falco Resources Ltd (FPC)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was C$0.5400. Our model-based fair value is C$0.1000, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Falco Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.1400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$0.0700 to C$0.1400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Falco Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Falco Resources Ltd (FPC)?
The market capitalisation of Falco Resources Ltd is C$213M (≈ $151M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Falco Resources Ltd (FPC)?
Earnings per share at Falco Resources Ltd are C$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Falco Resources Ltd (FPC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Falco Resources Ltd is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Falco Resources Ltd (FPC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Falco Resources Ltd is −3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast are earnings growing at Falco Resources Ltd (FPC)?
Earnings per share at Falco Resources Ltd are growing +79.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Falco Resources Ltd (FPC) generate?
The free cash flow of Falco Resources Ltd is −C$5.1M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Falco Resources Ltd (FPC) carry?
The net debt of Falco Resources Ltd is C$32.5M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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