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Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Friedrich Vorwerk Group $37.89, price $20.37, upside +86.1%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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FV
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Friedrich Vorwerk Group
FRVWY · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $37.89 · Strongly undervalued (+86.1%)
✓Quality 66/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +18.3 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.1% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 73/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.62 – $29.78 · fair‑value band $23.94 – $66.17 · the $20.37 price screens below the $37.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Friedrich Vorwerk Group SE provides various solutions for transformation and transportation of energy in Germany and Europe. The company operates through Natural Gas, Electricity, Clean Hydrogen, and Adjacent Opportunities segments.
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Friedrich Vorwerk Group SE provides various solutions for transformation and transportation of energy in Germany and Europe. The company operates through Natural Gas, Electricity, Clean Hydrogen, and Adjacent Opportunities segments. The Natural Gas segment comprises infrastructure services and product solutions for the transport and conversion of raw natural gas into processed natural gas; and engages in transporting the natural gas through high-pressure pipelines to processing in filtering and separation plants, compressor stations, storage and metering systems, LNG terminals, and gas pressure control and metering systems. The Electricity segment provides infrastructure for the underground transport and conversion of electricity that is generated from non-fossil energy sources, such as wind, sun, water, and renewable raw materials. This segment is also involved in landing offshore electricity and installing high-voltage underground cables through which electricity is transported to transmission grids. The Clean Hydrogen segment provides product solutions and infrastructure services for the conversion of energy from energy sources into hydrogen, and its transportation to consumers, which is done through conversion of renewable energy by electrolysis; and processing and transportation of the clean hydrogen produced through storage systems, compressor stations, pipelines, and gas pressure control and measurement systems. The Adjacent Opportunities segment provides technologies, such as the treatment and prification of biogenic and synthetic gases; heat extraction technologies used in district heating; solutions for the transportation of drinking and wastewater; and special solutions for the chemical and petrochemical industries. Friedrich Vorwerk Group SE was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Tostedt, Germany.
Stock analysis
Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY) currently trades at $20.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.89, implying the stock looks roughly 46.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $40.61 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the $20.37 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $10.34, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $23.94 (bear) to $66.17 (bull), the price of $20.37 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Friedrich Vorwerk Group reported revenue of €677M in FY2025 versus €279M in FY2021, a compound +24.8%/yr. Reported net income was €83.1M in FY2025, compounding +32.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.6B · P/E ratio 14.9 · P/S ratio 1.83 · EPS (TTM) $1.37 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 12.3% · Return on equity 40.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 86%, FRVWY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $23.94
Fair Value $37.89
Bull $66.17
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5066 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$25.76
$35.95
$66.42
78
Growth DCF
$24.35
$38.06
$63.26
77
EPV
$10.88
$11.88
$12.71
74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$25.76
$35.95
$66.42
78
Owner Earnings
$14.33
$25.86
$47.24
73
5Y Revenue Exit
$19.58
$29.87
$51.30
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$23.04
$36.86
$63.92
73
5Y P/E Exit
$23.42
$45.91
$76.21
68
10Y Revenue Exit
$21.29
$38.92
$49.12
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$24.06
$45.72
$82.45
65
10Y P/E Exit
$24.31
$46.46
$82.05
61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$7.95
$55.45
$77.81
63
Lynch FV
$22.74
$32.48
$42.22
61
PEG = 1.0
$22.74
$32.48
$42.22
57
EPV
$10.88
$11.88
$12.71
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.6300
$1.14
$1.56
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.6300
$1.04
$1.21
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$18.41
$24.55
$30.69
63
P/S Multiple
$14.28
$19.04
$23.80
58
P/B Multiple
$13.57
$18.09
$22.62
55
EV/EBIT
$22.37
$28.63
$34.89
66
EV/EBITDA
$21.45
$27.40
$33.36
67
EV/Revenue
$15.58
$20.72
$25.86
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$2.01
$2.69
$4.02
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$24.35
$38.06
$63.26
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$20.09
$33.66
$59.92
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$6.48
$10.34
$24.21
68
ROIC Compounder
$11.33
$12.87
$14.49
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$28.43
$40.61
$52.80
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
66/100
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Profitability
75
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
24
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
100/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+35.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.8%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ −5.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 16%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 105% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.7% a year for the price and +8.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+13.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+11.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+10.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+9.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+8.1%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 789 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,658 | $1,116 | −33% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,876 | ₹1,994 | −49% |
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| Ferrovial N.V FER | $55.77 | $21.74 | −61% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €407.40 | €203.86 | −50% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $769.03 | $525.05 | −32% |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS | €95.00 | €62.20 | −35% |
| Bouygues SA EN | €43.14 | €66.31 | +54% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $37.89 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $20.37, about +86% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FRVWY?
Our model-based fair value for Friedrich Vorwerk Group is $37.89 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $20.37.
What is the quality score of FRVWY?
Friedrich Vorwerk Group has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $37.89 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $23.94, optimistic scenario $66.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Friedrich Vorwerk Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $37.89, about +86% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $20.37 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $23.94, optimistic scenario $66.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
Friedrich Vorwerk Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €712M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Friedrich Vorwerk Group pay a dividend?
Friedrich Vorwerk Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Friedrich Vorwerk Group would have to grow free cash flow by +29.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FRVWY use?
Our models discount Friedrich Vorwerk Group at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.86, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Friedrich Vorwerk Group that is +29.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Friedrich Vorwerk Group grew +18.3 % a year. The price currently implies +29.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Friedrich Vorwerk Group (+29.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.98 %: that much free cash flow Friedrich Vorwerk Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Friedrich Vorwerk Group it is $37.89 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $20.37. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Friedrich Vorwerk Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FRVWY trades below its calculated fair value: price $20.37, fair value $37.89, a gap of about +86% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FRVWY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($20.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($37.89). For Friedrich Vorwerk Group the two are $17.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Friedrich Vorwerk Group worth?
The market values Friedrich Vorwerk Group at about $1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $20.37; our models calculate a fair value of $37.89 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FRVWY?
Our models span a range for Friedrich Vorwerk Group: cautious scenario $23.94, base $37.89, optimistic $66.17 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $20.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FRVWY?
Friedrich Vorwerk Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $37.89 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.6, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 9.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Friedrich Vorwerk Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 40.4%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FRVWY from its 52-week high?
Friedrich Vorwerk Group trades at $20.37, about 32% below its 52-week high of $29.78 and 12% above the low of $18.12 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $37.89 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Friedrich Vorwerk Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Friedrich Vorwerk Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $20.37, calculated fair value $37.89 (+86%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FRVWY calculated?
We run Friedrich Vorwerk Group through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $37.89, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Friedrich Vorwerk Group currently trades 46 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $20.37. Our model-based fair value is $37.89, about +86% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Friedrich Vorwerk Group right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($23.94). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($23.94 to $66.17). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Friedrich Vorwerk Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
The market capitalisation of Friedrich Vorwerk Group is $1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Friedrich Vorwerk Group is 1.83 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
Earnings per share at Friedrich Vorwerk Group are $1.37 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
The dividend yield of Friedrich Vorwerk Group is 1.1% (payout 16.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
The net margin of Friedrich Vorwerk Group is 12.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Friedrich Vorwerk Group is 40.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Friedrich Vorwerk Group is 12.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
The operating margin of Friedrich Vorwerk Group is 14.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
Revenue at Friedrich Vorwerk Group is growing +4.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY)?
Earnings per share at Friedrich Vorwerk Group are growing +88.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Friedrich Vorwerk Group (FRVWY) hold?
Friedrich Vorwerk Group holds more cash than debt, €248M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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