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Federal Screw Works (FSCR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Federal Screw Works stock $18.60, price $6.20, upside +200.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 3 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

FS Federal Screw Works logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Federal Screw Works

FSCR · US
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 67% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $18.60 · Strongly undervalued
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 89% above the price ($11.70).
Quality 43/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.0 %/yr in USD)
Moderate debt
Loss-making · -2.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 17/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$32.97 $0.6659 Fair Value $18.60 Dec 2003 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6659 – $32.97 · fair‑value band $11.70 – $25.50 · the $6.20 price screens below the $18.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Federal Screw Works manufactures and sells industrial component parts primarily to the automobile industry in the United States. It operates through Big Rapids, Romulus, Traverse City, and Novex Tool divisions.

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The company offers cold formed and machined pins, including piston pins, planetary and differential gear shafts, and oil pump and steering shafts for the automotive, refrigeration, and small engine industries; and cold formed machined products, such as suspension ball studs, fluid line adapters, and precision formed and machined valve lifter bodies to the automotive industry.

It also provides close tolerance machined products that are used in transmission valves, ball joints, steering gear bulkhead assemblies, torque converter hubs, and piston pins; and engineered nut products comprising prevailing torque nuts, free spinning nuts, slotted nuts, nut retainer assemblies, and nut washer assemblies to the automotive industry.

In addition, the company offers cold form tooling products, which include assemblies, sleeves, dies, and punches; and complex cold formed parts, such as tie rod housings, valve lifter bodies, and suspension components. Federal Screw Works was founded in 1917 and is based in Romulus, Michigan.

Stock analysis

Federal Screw Works (FSCR) currently trades at $6.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.60, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $11.70 (bear) to $25.50 (bull), the price of $6.20 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Federal Screw Works reported revenue of $102M in FY2026 versus $85.2M in FY2022, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.8M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $8.6M Micro · P/S ratio 0.14 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3600 · Net margin −3.7% · Return on equity −44.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.7% · Revenue (TTM) $59.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 17 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 200%, FSCR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $11.70 Fair Value $18.60 Bull $25.50
Price $6.20 · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA $20.72 $32.94 $45.16 66
EV/EBIT n/a n/a $2.50 61
NCAV (Graham) $1.43 $2.17 $2.71 54
All 3 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a n/a $2.50 61
EV/EBITDA $20.72 $32.94 $45.16 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.43 $2.17 $2.71 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 23
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 9
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 46
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 89
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 32
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 23
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 20
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.8% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.1% (2021) → 1.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 128 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −2.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 3.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −4.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.50× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.15× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 17.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.60× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 58
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)75 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥29.88 ¥33.85 +13% vs FSCR
Techtronic Industries Company 0669 HK$142.60 HK$156.86 +10% vs FSCR
Snap-on Incorporated SNA $367.22 $353.47 −4% vs FSCR
SFS Group SFSN CHF 140.40 CHF 118.30 −16% vs FSCR
RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC $474.45 $381.54 −20% vs FSCR
The Timken Company TKR $102.03 $72.31 −29% vs FSCR
The Toro Company TTC $104.84 $70.12 −33% vs FSCR
Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO $275.35 $159.78 −42% vs FSCR
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $114.85 $63.24 −45% vs FSCR
Kinik Company 1560 735.00 TWD 125.92 TWD −83% vs FSCR

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Federal Screw Works: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Federal Screw Works Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FSCR

Frequently asked questions

Is Federal Screw Works (FSCR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.60 versus a price of $6.20, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FSCR?
Our model-based fair value for Federal Screw Works is $18.60 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.20.
What is the quality score of FSCR?
Federal Screw Works has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $18.60 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.70, optimistic scenario $25.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Federal Screw Works stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $18.60, about +200% upside versus a price of $6.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $11.70, optimistic scenario $25.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
Federal Screw Works reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $59.2M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Federal Screw Works it is $18.60 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $6.20. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Federal Screw Works stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, FSCR trades below its calculated fair value: price $6.20, fair value $18.60, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FSCR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($18.60). For Federal Screw Works the two are $12.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Federal Screw Works worth?
The market values Federal Screw Works at about $8.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $6.20; our models calculate a fair value of $18.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FSCR?
Our models span a range for Federal Screw Works: cautious scenario $11.70, base $18.60, optimistic $25.50 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $6.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of FSCR?
The PEG ratio of Federal Screw Works is 1.60 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Federal Screw Works (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −44.6%, debt of 0.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FSCR from its 52-week high?
Federal Screw Works trades at $6.20, about 38% below its 52-week high of $10.00 and at the low of $6.20 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $18.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Federal Screw Works?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Federal Screw Works stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $6.20, calculated fair value $18.60 (+200%), Quality Score 43/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FSCR calculated?
We run Federal Screw Works through 3 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $18.60 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Federal Screw Works currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $6.20. Our model-based fair value is $18.60, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Federal Screw Works right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($11.70). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($11.70 to $25.50) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Federal Screw Works

How large is the market capitalisation of Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
The market capitalisation of Federal Screw Works is $8.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Federal Screw Works is 0.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
Earnings per share at Federal Screw Works are $−0.3600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
The net margin of Federal Screw Works is −3.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Federal Screw Works is −44.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Federal Screw Works is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
The operating margin of Federal Screw Works is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
Revenue at Federal Screw Works is growing −4.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Federal Screw Works (FSCR)?
Earnings per share at Federal Screw Works are growing +250% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Federal Screw Works (FSCR) generate?
The free cash flow of Federal Screw Works is −$2.6M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Federal Screw Works (FSCR) carry?
The net debt of Federal Screw Works is $22.0M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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