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L.B. Foster Company (FSTR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $451M

LB L.B. Foster Company logo L.B. Foster Company FSTR · US
Price$41.27
Fair Value$15.15
Upside-63.3%
Quality60/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range $11.36 – $18.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $20.69 to $15.15 (−26.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($18.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$45.17 $9.05 Fair Value $15.15 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.05 – $45.17 · fair‑value band $11.36 – $18.94 · the $41.27 price screens above the $15.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

L.B. Foster Company (FSTR) currently trades at $41.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.15, implying the stock looks roughly 63.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, L.B. Foster Company generated revenue of $563M at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue grew 23.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. Net debt stands at $62.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.36 (bear case) to $18.94 (bull case); at $41.27, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 108% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -63%, FSTR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $16.89 $22.15 $30.87 80
Residual Income $11.84 $11.51 $9.76 76
Rev-Margin DCF $14.94 $22.98 $33.15 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $16.31 $21.83 $31.79 38
Owner Earnings $1.31 $2.68 $5.16 31
5Y Revenue Exit $14.94 $22.46 $33.69 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $19.10 $29.55 $43.75 41
5Y P/E Exit $10.53 $14.95 $20.45 38
10Y Revenue Exit $14.97 $20.88 $27.37 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $17.73 $25.06 $33.12 37
10Y P/E Exit $12.94 $16.45 $19.80 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.91 $7.36 $8.75 54
EPV $5.44 $6.68 $7.71 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.36 $15.15 $18.94 63
P/S Multiple $9.20 $12.26 $15.33 58
P/B Multiple $9.20 $12.26 $15.33 55
EV/EBIT $23.02 $31.92 $40.81 53
EV/EBITDA $25.27 $34.91 $44.55 54
EV/Revenue $15.38 $23.55 $31.71 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.38 $11.23 $16.76 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $16.89 $22.15 $30.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.94 $22.98 $33.15 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.84 $11.51 $9.76 76
ROIC Compounder $5.44 $6.68 $7.71 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.02 $11.46 $14.90 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($22.15) versus Earnings-Based ($6.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $563M
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.9%
Net margin 2.0%
Return on equity 6.4%
Free cash flow $25.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 41.8
More key figures
Operating margin 1.7%
EPS (TTM) $1.03
EPS growth (YoY) -87.8%
Net debt $62.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 92
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

L.B. Foster Company provides engineered and manufactured products and services for building and supporting infrastructure in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Rail, Technologies, and Services; and Infrastructure Solutions.

Full company description

L.B. Foster Company provides engineered and manufactured products and services for building and supporting infrastructure in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Rail, Technologies, and Services; and Infrastructure Solutions. The Rail, Technologies, and Services segment offers new rail to passenger and short line freight railroads, industrial companies, and rail contractors, as well as new and used rails; rail accessories, such as track spikes, bolts, angle bars, tie plates, and other products; insulated rail joints and related accessories; fixation fasteners, coverboards, and special accessories; power rail; and trackwork products. This segment also provides friction management products and application systems; mobile and wayside systems; railroad condition monitoring systems and equipment including wheel impact load detection systems, wayside data collection and management systems, and rockfall, flood, earthworks, and bridge strike monitoring; and aftermarket services. The Infrastructure Solutions segment manufactures precast concrete products, including restrooms, concession stands, and other protective storage buildings under the CXT brand for national, state, and municipal parks; and sound walls, bridge beams, and other wet/dry utilities concrete products. This segment also provides steel bridge products; corrosion protection solutions; cuts, threads, and paints pipes; threading services for oil and gas production; fabricated steel and aluminum products; and protective pipeline coating services. L.B. Foster Company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

L.B. Foster Company reported revenue of $540M in FY2025 versus $514M in FY2021, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was $7.5M in FY2025, compounding +20.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$540M
Latest YoY
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Revenue +1.3%/yr
FY21 $514M
FY22 $497M
FY23 $544M
FY24 $531M
FY25 $540M
Net income +20.1%/yr
FY21 $3.6M
FY22 −$45.6M
FY23 $1.5M
FY24 $42.9M
FY25 $7.5M

FSTR screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "L.B. Foster Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FSTR

Peer Group

Railroads · 111 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.57× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.80× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 17.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 100 · sector 20
PAST 25 · sector 31
HEALTH 88 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Union Pacific Corporation UNP $301.75 $144.60 -52%
CSX Corporation CSX $49.41 $12.85 -74%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP $92.91 $35.00 -62%
Canadian National Railway Company CNI $128.22 $92.63 -28%
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $327.47 $117.90 -64%
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB $259.71 $144.80 -44%
Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 ¥4.82 ¥5.65 +17%
CRRC Corporation 601766 ¥5.65 ¥9.53 +69%
Daqin Railway Co 601006 ¥4.85 ¥6.24 +29%
Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 167,700 KRW 125,182 KRW -25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is L.B. Foster Company (FSTR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.15 versus a price of $41.27, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FSTR?
Our model-based fair value for L.B. Foster Company is $15.15 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $41.27.
What is the quality score of FSTR?
L.B. Foster Company has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of L.B. Foster Company (FSTR)?
L.B. Foster Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $563M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FSTR?
The net profit margin of L.B. Foster Company is about 2.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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