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LB Foster Company (FSTR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of LB Foster Company $15.15, price $37.52, upside -59.6%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · US · ISIN US3500601097

LF LB Foster Company logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

LB Foster Company

FSTR · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $15.15 · Strongly overvalued (−60%)
!Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 25 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$45.17 $9.05 Fair Value $15.15 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.05 – $45.17 · fair‑value band $11.36 – $18.94 · the $37.52 price screens above the $15.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

L.B. Foster Company provides engineered and manufactured products and services for building and supporting infrastructure in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Rail, Technologies, and Services; and Infrastructure Solutions.

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L.B. Foster Company provides engineered and manufactured products and services for building and supporting infrastructure in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Rail, Technologies, and Services; and Infrastructure Solutions. The Rail, Technologies, and Services segment offers new rail to passenger and short line freight railroads, industrial companies, and rail contractors, as well as new and used rails; rail accessories, such as track spikes, bolts, angle bars, tie plates, and other products; insulated rail joints and related accessories; fixation fasteners, coverboards, and special accessories; power rail; and trackwork products. This segment also provides friction management products and application systems; mobile and wayside systems; railroad condition monitoring systems and equipment including wheel impact load detection systems, wayside data collection and management systems, and rockfall, flood, earthworks, and bridge strike monitoring; and aftermarket services. The Infrastructure Solutions segment manufactures precast concrete products, including restrooms, concession stands, and other protective storage buildings under the CXT brand for national, state, and municipal parks; and sound walls, bridge beams, and other wet/dry utilities concrete products. This segment also provides steel bridge products; corrosion protection solutions; cuts, threads, and paints pipes; threading services for oil and gas production; fabricated steel and aluminum products; and protective pipeline coating services. L.B. Foster Company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Stock analysis

LB Foster Company (FSTR) currently trades at $37.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.15, implying the stock looks roughly 147.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $24.00 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the $37.52 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $6.68, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $11.36 (bear) to $18.94 (bull), the price of $37.52 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

LB Foster Company reported revenue of $540M in FY2025 versus $514M in FY2021, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was $7.5M in FY2025, compounding +20.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $451M · P/E ratio 36.4 · P/S ratio 0.51 · EPS (TTM) $1.03 · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% · Operating margin 1.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −60%, FSTR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $11.36 Fair Value $15.15 Bull $18.94
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7563 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $18.42 $24.52 $35.53 81
Growth DCF $19.05 $24.87 $34.51 79
Owner Earnings $3.41 $5.37 $8.89 75
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $18.42 $24.52 $35.53 81
Owner Earnings $3.41 $5.37 $8.89 75
5Y Revenue Exit $15.86 $23.43 $34.73 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $20.02 $30.52 $44.80 75
5Y P/E Exit $11.44 $15.91 $21.50 71
10Y Revenue Exit $16.40 $22.41 $28.99 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $19.15 $26.59 $34.74 69
10Y P/E Exit $14.36 $17.98 $21.42 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.91 $7.36 $8.75 67
EPV $5.44 $6.68 $7.71 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.36 $15.15 $18.94 63
P/S Multiple $9.20 $12.26 $15.33 58
P/B Multiple $9.20 $12.26 $15.33 55
EV/EBIT $23.02 $31.92 $40.81 66
EV/EBITDA $25.27 $34.91 $44.55 67
EV/Revenue $15.38 $23.55 $31.71 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.38 $11.23 $16.76 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $19.05 $24.87 $34.51 79
Rev-Margin DCF $15.86 $24.00 $34.35 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.84 $11.51 $9.76 71
ROIC Compounder $5.44 $6.68 $7.71 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.02 $11.46 $14.90 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.4% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+46.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+46.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1% vs −12%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.3% a year for the price.

FSTR screens 148% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 115 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.24× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Railroads median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.57× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.80× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 17.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.36× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)25 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Union Pacific Corporation UNP $274.07 $153.47 −44%
CSX Corporation CSX $47.19 $12.85 −73%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP $88.28 $37.64 −57%
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $315.01 $133.01 −58%
Canadian National Railway Company CNI $119.49 $98.68 −17%
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB $289.71 $289.60 +0%
Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 ¥4.71 ¥5.65 +20%
CRRC Corporation 601766 ¥5.98 ¥9.53 +59%
Daqin Railway Co 601006 ¥4.71 ¥5.48 +16%
Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 115,900 KRW 127,490 KRW +10%

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LB Foster Company · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LB Foster Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FSTR

Frequently asked questions

Is LB Foster Company (FSTR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.15 versus a price of $37.52, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FSTR?
Our model-based fair value for LB Foster Company is $15.15 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $37.52.
What is the quality score of FSTR?
LB Foster Company has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $15.15 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.36, optimistic scenario $18.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the LB Foster Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $15.15, about −60% upside versus a price of $37.52 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $11.36, optimistic scenario $18.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
LB Foster Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $563M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, LB Foster Company would have to grow free cash flow by +11.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FSTR use?
Our models discount LB Foster Company at 11.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.16, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For LB Foster Company that is +11.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has LB Foster Company (FSTR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at LB Foster Company grew +1.7 % a year. The price currently implies +11.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of LB Foster Company (FSTR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into LB Foster Company (+11.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.17 %: that much free cash flow LB Foster Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For LB Foster Company it is $15.15 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $37.52. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is LB Foster Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FSTR trades above its calculated fair value: price $37.52, fair value $15.15, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FSTR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($37.52); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($15.15). For LB Foster Company the two are $22.37 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is LB Foster Company worth?
The market values LB Foster Company at about $451M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $37.52; our models calculate a fair value of $15.15 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FSTR?
Our models span a range for LB Foster Company: cautious scenario $11.36, base $15.15, optimistic $18.94 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $37.52). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FSTR?
LB Foster Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $15.15 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 2.6, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 11.8.
What is the PEG ratio of FSTR?
The PEG ratio of LB Foster Company is 0.36 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
Balance-sheet figures for LB Foster Company (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.4%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FSTR from its 52-week high?
LB Foster Company trades at $37.52, about 17% below its 52-week high of $45.17 and 47% above the low of $25.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $15.15 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to LB Foster Company?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Norfolk Southern Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is LB Foster Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $37.52, calculated fair value $15.15 (−60%), Quality Score 60/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FSTR calculated?
We run LB Foster Company through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $15.15, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. LB Foster Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $37.52. Our model-based fair value is $15.15, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with LB Foster Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($18.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of LB Foster Company

How large is the market capitalisation of LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
The market capitalisation of LB Foster Company is $451M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of LB Foster Company is 0.51 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
Earnings per share at LB Foster Company are $1.03 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
The net margin of LB Foster Company is 1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of LB Foster Company is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of LB Foster Company is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
The operating margin of LB Foster Company is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
Revenue at LB Foster Company is growing +23.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at LB Foster Company (FSTR)?
Earnings per share at LB Foster Company are growing −87.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does LB Foster Company (FSTR) carry?
The net debt of LB Foster Company is $62.7M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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