Presidio Production Company (FTW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Presidio Production Company $5.82, price $10.29, upside -43.4%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
24‑month range $9.50 – $13.38 · fair‑value band $4.37 – $7.78 · the $10.29 price screens above the $5.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Presidio Production Company, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the United States.
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Presidio Production Company, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company holds operated and non-operated proved developed producing wells that produce oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids located throughout Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas. It also provides field services, including compression, FLIR surveys, emissions reduction equipment, tubing scanning, and line locating services, with compression and FLIR surveys. The company is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
Stock analysis
Presidio Production Company (FTW) currently trades at $10.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.82, implying the stock looks roughly 76.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $20.34 per share, and 10 of the 21 models we run sit above the $10.29 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $2.37, and 11 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $4.37 (bear) to $7.78 (bull), the price of $10.29 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Presidio Production Company reported revenue of $169M in FY2025 versus $230M in FY2023, a compound −14.2%/yr. Reported net income was $55.9M in FY2025, compounding −23.6%/yr from FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap $320M · P/E ratio 30.3 · P/S ratio 10.0 · EPS (TTM) $0.3700 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 33.0% · Return on equity −29.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −43%, FTW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $4.37Fair Value $5.82Bull $7.78
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0161 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.26/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.8% a year for the price.
Compare Presidio Production Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 307 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Below median
Fair Value upside+33% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)61% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth26% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)30.3× · Priciest 25%
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)1.79× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF51.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA3.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 14
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 10
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)66· sector 74
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Presidio Production Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FTW
Frequently asked questions
Is Presidio Production Company (FTW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.82 versus a price of $10.29, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FTW?
Our model-based fair value for Presidio Production Company is $5.82 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.29.
What is the quality score of FTW?
Presidio Production Company has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.82 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.37, optimistic scenario $7.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Presidio Production Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.82, about −43% upside versus a price of $10.29 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.37, optimistic scenario $7.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
Presidio Production Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $178M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Presidio Production Company pay a dividend?
Presidio Production Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.28% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Presidio Production Company would have to grow free cash flow by +28.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew -14.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FTW use?
Our models discount Presidio Production Company at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Presidio Production Company that is +28.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Presidio Production Company (FTW) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at Presidio Production Company grew -14.2 % a year. The price currently implies +28.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Presidio Production Company (FTW) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Presidio Production Company (+28.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.24 %: that much free cash flow Presidio Production Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Presidio Production Company it is $5.82 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $10.29. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Presidio Production Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FTW trades above its calculated fair value: price $10.29, fair value $5.82, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FTW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.82). For Presidio Production Company the two are $4.47 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Presidio Production Company worth?
The market values Presidio Production Company at about $320M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $10.29; our models calculate a fair value of $5.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FTW?
Our models span a range for Presidio Production Company: cautious scenario $4.37, base $5.82, optimistic $7.78 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $10.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FTW?
Presidio Production Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 3.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Presidio Production Company (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FTW from its 52-week high?
Presidio Production Company trades at $10.29, about 40% below its 52-week high of $17.04 and 9% above the low of $9.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Presidio Production Company?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Presidio Production Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $10.29, calculated fair value $5.82 (−43%), Quality Score 52/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FTW calculated?
We run Presidio Production Company through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Presidio Production Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was $10.29. Our model-based fair value is $5.82, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Presidio Production Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Presidio Production Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The market capitalisation of Presidio Production Company is $320M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Presidio Production Company is 10.0 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
Earnings per share at Presidio Production Company are $0.3700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The dividend yield of Presidio Production Company is 3.3% (payout 91.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The net margin of Presidio Production Company is 33.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Presidio Production Company is −29.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Presidio Production Company is 13.8% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The operating margin of Presidio Production Company is 58.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
Revenue at Presidio Production Company is growing −1.7% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Presidio Production Company (FTW) carry?
The net debt of Presidio Production Company is $267M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 43.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026