Presidio Production Company (FTW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Presidio Production Company stock $6.01, price $10.20, that is 41.1% below the price, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 20 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
25‑month range $9.50 – $13.38 · fair‑value band $4.34 – $8.36 · the $10.20 price screens above the $6.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Presidio Production Company, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the United States.
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The company holds operated and non-operated proved developed producing wells that produce oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids located throughout Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas.
It also provides field services, including compression, FLIR surveys, emissions reduction equipment, tubing scanning, and line locating services, with compression and FLIR surveys. The company is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
Stock analysis
Presidio Production Company (FTW) currently trades at $10.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.01, 41% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $20.22 per share, and 11 of the 20 models we run sit above the $10.20 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $4.08, and 9 of the 20 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $4.34 (bear) to $8.36 (bull), the price of $10.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Presidio Production Company reported revenue of $169M in FY2025 versus $230M in FY2023, a compound −14.2%/yr. Reported net income was $55.9M in FY2025, compounding −23.6%/yr from FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap $321M Small · P/E ratio 27.6 · P/S ratio 9.10 · EPS (TTM) $0.3700 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 33.0% · Return on equity −29.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.8% (3-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 83 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −41%, FTW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$4.34Fair Value $6.01Bull$8.36
Price $10.20 · Downside -41.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0274 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$1.99$2.64$3.7971
EPV$9.24$10.63$11.8270
Growth DCF$2.07$2.69$3.7169
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$1.99$2.64$3.7971
Owner Earnings$28.10$37.89$55.1567
5Y Revenue Exit$3.48$5.43$8.2662
5Y EBITDA Exit$6.38$10.43$15.8164
5Y P/E Exit$10.87$18.20$26.9161
10Y Revenue Exit$2.74$4.08$5.5758
10Y EBITDA Exit$4.54$7.07$9.8359
10Y P/E Exit$7.17$11.69$16.1155
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$12.74$15.57$17.5261
EPV$9.24$10.63$11.8270
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$17.18$18.67$20.9363
DDM Multi-Stage$17.18$21.04$26.2261
Multiples
P/E Multiple$19.67$26.23$32.7863
P/S Multiple$5.11$6.81$8.5158
EV/EBITn/a$2.52$5.3958
EV/EBITDA$1.88$5.49$9.0959
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$2.07$2.69$3.7169
Rev-Margin DCF$3.48$5.47$7.8763
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder$9.24$10.63$11.8264
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$14.15$20.22$26.2861
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
Plus one other filing such as a grant, option exercise or tax withholding. It is not a market purchase or sale.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.26/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
The revenue jump in 2026 (+32.4%) comes with 25,656% more shares (acquisition or merger paid in stock). Per share it is about −99.5%. The comparison above is unreliable in such a year.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.7% a year for the price and +6.3% for the forecasts.
Compare Presidio Production Company with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 239 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−41.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets14.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)33.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)61.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)26.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)27.6× · Priciest 25%
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)66· sector 72
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Presidio Production Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FTW
Frequently asked questions
Is Presidio Production Company (FTW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.01 versus a price of $10.20, about 41% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FTW?
Our model-based fair value for Presidio Production Company is $6.01 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.20.
What is the quality score of FTW?
Presidio Production Company has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.01 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.34, optimistic scenario $8.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Presidio Production Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.01, about 41% lower versus a price of $10.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.34, optimistic scenario $8.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
Presidio Production Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $179M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Presidio Production Company pay a dividend?
Presidio Production Company currently shows a dividend yield of 3.31% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Presidio Production Company (FTW) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Presidio Production Company pays a dividend of $0.338 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.3%. The next ex-dividend date is Dec 2, 2026. The payout ratio is 91.4% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.61 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Presidio Production Company would have to grow free cash flow by +24.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew -14.2 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FTW use?
Our models discount Presidio Production Company at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.20, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Presidio Production Company that is +24.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Presidio Production Company (FTW) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at Presidio Production Company grew -14.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +24.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Presidio Production Company (FTW) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Presidio Production Company (+24.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.26 %: that much free cash flow Presidio Production Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Presidio Production Company it is $6.01 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $10.20. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Presidio Production Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, FTW trades above its calculated fair value: price $10.20, fair value $6.01, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FTW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.01). For Presidio Production Company the two are $4.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Presidio Production Company worth?
The market values Presidio Production Company at about $321M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $10.20; our models calculate a fair value of $6.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FTW?
Our models span a range for Presidio Production Company: cautious scenario $4.34, base $6.01, optimistic $8.36 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $10.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FTW?
Presidio Production Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.6 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.01 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Presidio Production Company (as of Nov 8, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FTW from its 52-week high?
Presidio Production Company trades at $10.20, about 24% below its 52-week high of $13.38 and 7% above the low of $9.52 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Presidio Production Company?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Presidio Production Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $10.20, calculated fair value $6.01 (−41%), Quality Score 57/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FTW calculated?
We run Presidio Production Company through 20 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $6.01 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Presidio Production Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $10.20. Our model-based fair value is $6.01, about 41% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Presidio Production Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($4.34 to $8.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Presidio Production Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The market capitalisation of Presidio Production Company is $321M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Presidio Production Company is 9.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
Earnings per share at Presidio Production Company are $0.3700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The dividend yield of Presidio Production Company is 3.3% (payout 91.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The net margin of Presidio Production Company is 33.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Presidio Production Company is −29.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Presidio Production Company is 13.8% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
The operating margin of Presidio Production Company is 61.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Presidio Production Company (FTW)?
Revenue at Presidio Production Company is growing +26.3% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Presidio Production Company (FTW) carry?
The net debt of Presidio Production Company is $267M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 43.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026