Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Group 6 Metals Ltd A$5.26, price A$3.09, upside +70.2%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0230 – A$3.89 · fair‑value band A$2.91 – A$10.55 · the A$3.09 price screens below the A$5.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Group 6 Metals Limited operates as resources exploration and development company in Tasmania and Europe. It explores for tungsten concentrate. The company focuses on the Dolphin Tungsten mine located in King Island, Tasmania. The company was formerly known as King Island Scheelite Limited and changed its name to Group 6 Metals Limited in November 2021.
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Group 6 Metals Limited operates as resources exploration and development company in Tasmania and Europe. It explores for tungsten concentrate. The company focuses on the Dolphin Tungsten mine located in King Island, Tasmania. The company was formerly known as King Island Scheelite Limited and changed its name to Group 6 Metals Limited in November 2021. Group 6 Metals Limited was incorporated in 1966 and is based in King Island, Australia.
Stock analysis
Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M) currently trades at A$3.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$5.26, implying the stock looks roughly 41.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$25.77 per share, and 16 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$3.09 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$1.88, and 8 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: A$2.91 (bear) to A$10.55 (bull), the price of A$3.09 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Group 6 Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$129M in FY2026 versus A$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was A$148M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$765M (≈ $531M) · P/E ratio 5.0 · P/S ratio 5.73 · EPS (TTM) A$0.6200 · Net margin 115% · Return on equity 198% · Return on assets (EBIT) −29.0% · Operating margin 63.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 70%, G6M screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$2.91Fair Value A$5.26Bull A$10.55
Price A$3.09 · Upside +70.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.1648 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+507.7%
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
’02
’03
’04
’05
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
22.8% (2002) → 50.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 380 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+65.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)197.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets34.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)114.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)63.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth671.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.15× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$5.26 versus a price of A$3.09, about +70% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of G6M?
Our model-based fair value for Group 6 Metals Ltd is A$5.26 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$3.09.
What is the quality score of G6M?
Group 6 Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$5.26 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$2.91, optimistic scenario A$10.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Group 6 Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$5.26, about +70% upside versus a price of A$3.09 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$2.91, optimistic scenario A$10.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
Group 6 Metals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$129M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Group 6 Metals Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +7.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 8 years revenue grew +163.3 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of G6M use?
Our models discount Group 6 Metals Ltd at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.00, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Group 6 Metals Ltd that is +7.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M) delivered so far?
Over the past 8 years revenue at Group 6 Metals Ltd grew +163.3 % a year. The price currently implies +7.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Group 6 Metals Ltd (+7.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.82 %: that much free cash flow Group 6 Metals Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Group 6 Metals Ltd it is A$5.26 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of A$3.09. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Group 6 Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, G6M trades below its calculated fair value: price A$3.09, fair value A$5.26, a gap of about +70% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of G6M?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$3.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$5.26). For Group 6 Metals Ltd the two are A$2.17 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Group 6 Metals Ltd worth?
The market values Group 6 Metals Ltd at about A$765M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is A$3.09; our models calculate a fair value of A$5.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about G6M?
Our models span a range for Group 6 Metals Ltd: cautious scenario A$2.91, base A$5.26, optimistic A$10.55 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price A$3.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of G6M?
Group 6 Metals Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.0 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$5.26 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.1, P/S 6.1, EV/EBITDA 10.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
Balance-sheet figures for Group 6 Metals Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 197.6%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is G6M from its 52-week high?
Group 6 Metals Ltd trades at A$3.09, about 21% below its 52-week high of A$3.89 and 29% above the low of A$2.39 (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$5.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Group 6 Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Fortescue Ltd, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Group 6 Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price A$3.09, calculated fair value A$5.26 (+70%), Quality Score 77/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of G6M calculated?
We run Group 6 Metals Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$5.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Group 6 Metals Ltd currently trades 41 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was A$3.09. Our model-based fair value is A$5.26, about +70% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Group 6 Metals Ltd right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The model range is unusually wide (A$2.91 to A$10.55). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Group 6 Metals Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
The market capitalisation of Group 6 Metals Ltd is A$765M (≈ $531M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Group 6 Metals Ltd is 5.73 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
Earnings per share at Group 6 Metals Ltd are A$0.6200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
The net margin of Group 6 Metals Ltd is 115% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Group 6 Metals Ltd is 198% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Group 6 Metals Ltd is −29.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
The operating margin of Group 6 Metals Ltd is 63.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M)?
Revenue at Group 6 Metals Ltd is growing +672% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Group 6 Metals Ltd (G6M) hold?
Group 6 Metals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$27.4M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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