Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Empresas Gasco S.A CLP 1,817, price CLP 1,400, upside +29.8%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 659.04 CLP – 1,776 CLP · fair‑value band 1,445 CLP – 2,352 CLP · the 1,400 CLP price screens below the 1,817 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Empresas Gasco S.A. provides energy solutions based on liquified gas in Chile and internationally. It operates through Chile Energy Solutions, International Business Energy Solutions, and Procurement segments.
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Empresas Gasco S.A. provides energy solutions based on liquified gas in Chile and internationally. It operates through Chile Energy Solutions, International Business Energy Solutions, and Procurement segments. The company distributes and commercializes liquefied gas and liquefied natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and real estate customers; distributes natural gas under the concession regime; and develops and maintains photovoltaic solar energy and gas-fired power generation projects. The company was founded in 1856 and is based in Santiago, Chile.
Stock analysis
Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO) currently trades at 1,400 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,817 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 23.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 1,926 CLP per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the 1,400 CLP price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 834.66 CLP, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 1,445 CLP (bear) to 2,352 CLP (bull), the price of 1,400 CLP sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Empresas Gasco S.A reported revenue of 619B CLP in FY2025 versus 452B CLP in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was 18.0B CLP in FY2025, compounding −37.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 235B CLP (≈ $245M) · P/E ratio 19.5 · P/S ratio 0.57 · EPS (TTM) 71.83 CLP · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% · Operating margin 5.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 30%, GASCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1,445 CLPFair Value 1,817 CLPBull 2,352 CLP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (52.74 CLP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.4% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in CLP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in CLP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−10.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 8%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+30% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.34× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
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Is Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,817 CLP versus a price of 1,400 CLP, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GASCO?
Our model-based fair value for Empresas Gasco S.A is 1,817 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,400 CLP.
What is the quality score of GASCO?
Empresas Gasco S.A has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,817 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,445 CLP, optimistic scenario 2,352 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Empresas Gasco S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,817 CLP, about +30% upside versus a price of 1,400 CLP (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1,445 CLP, optimistic scenario 2,352 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
Empresas Gasco S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 619B CLP (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Empresas Gasco S.A it is 1,817 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,400 CLP. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Empresas Gasco S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GASCO trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,400 CLP, fair value 1,817 CLP, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GASCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,400 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,817 CLP). For Empresas Gasco S.A the two are 417.14 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Empresas Gasco S.A worth?
The market values Empresas Gasco S.A at about 235B CLP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,400 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 1,817 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GASCO?
Our models span a range for Empresas Gasco S.A: cautious scenario 1,445 CLP, base 1,817 CLP, optimistic 2,352 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,400 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GASCO?
Empresas Gasco S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,817 CLP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Empresas Gasco S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.5%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GASCO from its 52-week high?
Empresas Gasco S.A trades at 1,400 CLP, about 21% below its 52-week high of 1,776 CLP and 1% above the low of 1,380 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,817 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Empresas Gasco S.A?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, NiSource Inc, Uniper SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Empresas Gasco S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,400 CLP, calculated fair value 1,817 CLP (+30%), Quality Score 41/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GASCO calculated?
We run Empresas Gasco S.A through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,817 CLP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Empresas Gasco S.A currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1,400 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 1,817 CLP, about +30% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Empresas Gasco S.A right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (1,445 CLP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The price sits below our cautious bear case: the market assumes less than even our pessimistic scenario. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Empresas Gasco S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
The market capitalisation of Empresas Gasco S.A is 235B CLP (≈ $245M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Empresas Gasco S.A is 0.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
Earnings per share at Empresas Gasco S.A are 71.83 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
The net margin of Empresas Gasco S.A is 2.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Empresas Gasco S.A is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Empresas Gasco S.A is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
The operating margin of Empresas Gasco S.A is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
Revenue at Empresas Gasco S.A is growing −0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO)?
Earnings per share at Empresas Gasco S.A are growing −19.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO) generate?
The free cash flow of Empresas Gasco S.A is −27.7B CLP (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO) carry?
The net debt of Empresas Gasco S.A is 222B CLP (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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