Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CL · Market cap 242B CLP
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 2,451 CLP to 1,926 CLP (−21.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 34% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- Our model range runs from 1,445 CLP (bear) to 2,408 CLP (bull), base 1,926 CLP. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 41/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 659.04 CLP – 1,776 CLP · fair‑value band 1,445 CLP – 2,408 CLP · the 1,442 CLP price screens below the 1,926 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Empresas Gasco S.A (GASCO) currently trades at 1,442 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,926 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 33.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Empresas Gasco S.A generated revenue of 619B CLP at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue declined 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at 222B CLP. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,445 CLP (bear case) to 2,408 CLP (bull case); at 1,442 CLP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at 34%, GASCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (2,122 CLP) versus Earnings-Based (834.66 CLP). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Empresas Gasco S.A. provides energy solutions based on liquified gas in Chile and internationally. It operates through Chile Energy Solutions, International Business Energy Solutions, and Procurement segments.
Full company description
Empresas Gasco S.A. provides energy solutions based on liquified gas in Chile and internationally. It operates through Chile Energy Solutions, International Business Energy Solutions, and Procurement segments. The company distributes and commercializes liquefied gas and liquefied natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and real estate customers; distributes natural gas under the concession regime; and develops and maintains photovoltaic solar energy and gas-fired power generation projects. The company was founded in 1856 and is based in Santiago, Chile.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Empresas Gasco S.A reported revenue of 619B CLP in FY2025 versus 452B CLP in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was 18.0B CLP in FY2025, compounding −37.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €28.84 | €35.80 | +24% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $177.68 | $85.67 | -52% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $47.07 | $28.59 | -39% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €42.80 | €49.13 | +15% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 | HK$7.03 | HK$5.08 | -28% |
| Italgas S.p.A IG | €9.98 | €8.11 | -19% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹171.71 | ₹147.74 | -14% |
| Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL | ₹723.90 | ₹101.36 | -86% |
| ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 | ¥17.30 | ¥25.71 | +49% |
| UGI Corporation UGI | $35.84 | $27.13 | -24% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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