EN DE

Grenevia S.A. (GEA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · PL · Market cap 1.9B PLN (≈ $506M) · ISIN PLFAMUR00012

What is Grenevia S.A. really worth?

GS Grenevia S.A. GEA · WAR
Price from Jul 6, 20263.27 PLN
Fair Value11.69 PLN
Upside+257.5%
Quality67/100

A solid business, trading 72% below our fair value of 11.69 PLN.

As of Aug 27, 2026, the fair value of Grenevia S.A. is 11.69 PLN per share against a price of 3.27 PLN, so the fair value sits 257% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

Watch Grenevia S.A. for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +16.1 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 27.8% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/12)

Risks

!Moderate moat 57/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range 8.77 PLN – 14.62 PLN

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (8.77 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

3.91 PLN 1.78 PLN Fair Value 11.69 PLN Mar 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.78 PLN – 3.91 PLN · fair‑value band 8.77 PLN – 14.62 PLN · the 3.27 PLN price screens below the 11.69 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Grenevia S.A. (GEA) currently trades at 3.27 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.69 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 72.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 19.03 PLN per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the 3.27 PLN price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2.79 PLN, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grenevia S.A. generated revenue of 1.1B PLN at a net margin of 27.8%. Revenue declined 20.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.9%. Net debt stands at 148M PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 8.77 PLN (bear case) to 14.62 PLN (bull case); at 3.27 PLN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 257%, GEA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.3206 PLN per share, which is 3.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 14.21 PLN 22.86 PLN 43.20 PLN 77
Growth DCF 13.72 PLN 24.20 PLN 39.03 PLN 76
Residual Income 3.79 PLN 4.33 PLN 6.48 PLN 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 14.21 PLN 22.86 PLN 43.20 PLN 77
Owner Earnings 5.27 PLN 8.95 PLN 15.34 PLN 74
5Y Revenue Exit 9.19 PLN 14.69 PLN 22.22 PLN 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 12.94 PLN 23.14 PLN 36.64 PLN 73
5Y P/E Exit 11.12 PLN 19.03 PLN 28.59 PLN 70
10Y Revenue Exit 10.69 PLN 16.60 PLN 25.55 PLN 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 13.22 PLN 22.56 PLN 38.08 PLN 66
10Y P/E Exit 12.08 PLN 19.66 PLN 31.35 PLN 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3.79 PLN 23.22 PLN 32.39 PLN 63
Lynch FV 6.65 PLN 9.51 PLN 12.36 PLN 61
PEG = 1.0 6.65 PLN 9.51 PLN 12.36 PLN 57
EPV 6.61 PLN 7.34 PLN 7.95 PLN 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 4.12 PLN 7.43 PLN 10.23 PLN 68
DDM Multi-Stage 4.12 PLN 6.79 PLN 7.94 PLN 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 8.77 PLN 11.69 PLN 14.62 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 6.27 PLN 8.37 PLN 10.46 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 7.10 PLN 9.47 PLN 11.83 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 11.01 PLN 14.27 PLN 17.52 PLN 66
EV/EBITDA 12.97 PLN 16.88 PLN 20.79 PLN 67
EV/Revenue 6.52 PLN 8.78 PLN 11.04 PLN 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.08 PLN 2.79 PLN 4.17 PLN 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 13.72 PLN 24.20 PLN 39.03 PLN 76
Rev-Margin DCF 9.19 PLN 14.59 PLN 22.22 PLN 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3.79 PLN 4.33 PLN 6.48 PLN 75
ROIC Compounder 7.49 PLN 9.59 PLN 12.27 PLN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 9.58 PLN 13.69 PLN 17.79 PLN 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (19.03 PLN) versus Asset-Based (2.79 PLN). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

Notify me when GEA reaches fair value

Put GEA on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 7.0
P/S ratio 0.93 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 0.4700 PLN price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.0
Net margin 13.3% FY2025
Return on equity 12.9% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 10.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.1B PLN TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −20.1% 3y avg +22.9%
EPS growth (YoY) −16.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 625M PLN FY2025
Net debt 148M PLN FY2024 · ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Grenevia S.A. engages in the manufacturing and delivery of power equipment for mining facilities worldwide. It offers longwall systems, machinery and equipment for road header systems; a range of products for transport and handling systems for underground soft-rock mining to extract thermal coal, coking coal, and other minerals; and design and delivery …

Full company description

Grenevia S.A. engages in the manufacturing and delivery of power equipment for mining facilities worldwide. It offers longwall systems, machinery and equipment for road header systems; a range of products for transport and handling systems for underground soft-rock mining to extract thermal coal, coking coal, and other minerals; and design and delivery services of IT systems for monitoring machinery operation. The company also provides wind power and industrial gearboxes, as well as overhaul, testing and technical consulting, and gearbox services; machinery and equipment for underground mining; and power solutions for the energy sector. In addition, it is involved in the leasing of land for photovoltaic farms and wind power plants; development and sale of RES projects; and sale of green energy in the form of cPPAs. The company was formerly known as Famur S.A. and changed its name to Grenevia S.A. in April 2023. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Katowice, Poland. Grenevia S.A. is a subsidiary of TDJ Equity I sp. z o.o.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grenevia S.A. reported revenue of 2.4B PLN in FY2025 versus 1.0B PLN in FY2021, a compound +24.0%/yr. Reported net income was 320M PLN in FY2025, compounding +75.2%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.4B PLN
Latest YoY
+28.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +11.6% (approximate, leans on 2025) · in PLN
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+11.6%
Dividend yield0.0%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 11.6% vs 10Y 11.2%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24.7% (2020) → 18.3% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop86% (2021) · in PLN
⚠ Rate leans on 2025: that final year sits 51% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain) and could not be adjusted
Revenue +24.0%/yr
FY21 1.0B PLN
FY22 1.3B PLN
FY23 1.7B PLN
FY24 1.9B PLN
FY25 2.4B PLN
Net income +75.2%/yr
FY21 34.0M PLN
FY22 158M PLN
FY23 212M PLN
FY24 311M PLN
FY25 320M PLN

Watch GEA: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Grenevia S.A. · Fair Value
11.69 PLN +72%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grenevia S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GEA.WAR

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 150 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth −20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 16.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.45× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 12
FUTURE0 · sector 29
PAST52 · sector 31
HEALTH83 · sector 93
DIVIDEND100 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $800.25 $307.83 −62%
Deere & Company DE $693.53 $182.29 −74%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 351.40 kr 288.08 −18%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $122.45 $94.80 −23%
Daimler Truck Holding DTG €45.73 €47.70 +4%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 272.80 kr 144.14 −47%
Exor N.V EXO €72.10 €123.44 +71%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥19.06 ¥20.84 +9%
Traton SE 8TRA €37.92 €52.60 +39%
Metso Oyj METSO €16.75 €10.73 −36%

Compare Grenevia S.A. with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screener Filter by region, size and sector Compare tool Two stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator (Options) Splits an option premium into intrinsic and extrinsic (time) value. Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula & Calculator Apply Peter Lynch's fair value formula in seconds: fair P/E ≈ earnings growth (+ dividend) - free, with formula and example.

Frequently asked questions

Is Grenevia S.A. (GEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11.69 PLN versus the last price from Jul 6, 2026 of 3.27 PLN, about +257% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GEA?
Our model-based fair value for Grenevia S.A. is 11.69 PLN (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 6, 2026): 3.27 PLN.
What is the quality score of GEA?
Grenevia S.A. has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grenevia S.A. (GEA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11.69 PLN (as of Aug 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.77 PLN, optimistic scenario 14.62 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grenevia S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11.69 PLN, about +257% upside versus the last price from Jul 6, 2026 of 3.27 PLN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 8.77 PLN, optimistic scenario 14.62 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grenevia S.A. (GEA)?
Grenevia S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B PLN (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GEA?
The net profit margin of Grenevia S.A. is about 27.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Free · no account needed

Watch Grenevia S.A. in the live analysis

One click puts Grenevia S.A. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.