G8 Education Limited (GEDUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of G8 Education Limited $1.06, price $0.89, upside +19.8%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
20‑month range $0.7892 – $0.8850 · fair‑value band $0.7900 – $1.49 · the $0.8850 price screens below the $1.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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G8 Education Limited provides early childhood education and care services in Australia. It operates childcare centers; and offers its services under various brands. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Varsity Lakes, Australia.
Stock analysis
G8 Education Limited (GEDUF) currently trades at $0.8850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.06, implying the stock looks roughly 16.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $0.9800 per share, and 7 of the 10 models we run sit above the $0.8850 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.3200, and 3 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.7900 (bear) to $1.49 (bull), the price of $0.8850 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
G8 Education Limited reported revenue of A$947M in FY2025 versus A$845M in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$303M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $670M · P/E ratio 17.7 · P/S ratio 0.72 · EPS (TTM) $0.0500 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin −32.0% · Return on equity −42.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 38% fair-value upside, at 20%, GEDUF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.7900Fair Value $1.06Bull $1.49
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0224 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.1% (2021) → 13.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−0.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in AUD, Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.9% a year for the price and −3.1% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 123 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Below median
Fair Value upside+19.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets4.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−32.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)15.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−9.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.30× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)17.7× · Pricier than median
P/B1.28× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is G8 Education Limited (GEDUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.06 versus a price of $0.8850, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GEDUF?
Our model-based fair value for G8 Education Limited is $1.06 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.8850.
What is the quality score of GEDUF?
G8 Education Limited has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.06 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.7900, optimistic scenario $1.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the G8 Education Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.06, about +20% upside versus a price of $0.8850 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.7900, optimistic scenario $1.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
G8 Education Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$947M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does G8 Education Limited pay a dividend?
G8 Education Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, G8 Education Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -4.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +2.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GEDUF use?
Our models discount G8 Education Limited at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For G8 Education Limited that is -4.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has G8 Education Limited (GEDUF) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at G8 Education Limited grew +2.9 % a year. The price currently implies -4.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into G8 Education Limited (-4.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.10 %: that much free cash flow G8 Education Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For G8 Education Limited it is $1.06 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.8850. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is G8 Education Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GEDUF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.8850, fair value $1.06, a gap of about +20% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GEDUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.8850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.06). For G8 Education Limited the two are $0.1750 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is G8 Education Limited worth?
The market values G8 Education Limited at about $670M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.8850; our models calculate a fair value of $1.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GEDUF?
Our models span a range for G8 Education Limited: cautious scenario $0.7900, base $1.06, optimistic $1.49 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.8850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GEDUF?
G8 Education Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.06 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 4.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
Balance-sheet figures for G8 Education Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −42.1%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GEDUF from its 52-week high?
G8 Education Limited trades at $0.8850, at its 52-week high of $0.8850 and at the low of $0.8850 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to G8 Education Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is G8 Education Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.8850, calculated fair value $1.06 (+20%), Quality Score 57/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GEDUF calculated?
We run G8 Education Limited through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. G8 Education Limited currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.8850. Our model-based fair value is $1.06, about +20% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with G8 Education Limited right now?
A fairly wide model range ($0.7900 to $1.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of G8 Education Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
The market capitalisation of G8 Education Limited is $670M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of G8 Education Limited is 0.72 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
Earnings per share at G8 Education Limited are $0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
The dividend yield of G8 Education Limited is 2.3% (payout 40.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
The net margin of G8 Education Limited is −32.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of G8 Education Limited is −42.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of G8 Education Limited is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
The operating margin of G8 Education Limited is 15.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
Revenue at G8 Education Limited is growing −9.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at G8 Education Limited (GEDUF)?
Earnings per share at G8 Education Limited are growing +16.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does G8 Education Limited (GEDUF) carry?
The net debt of G8 Education Limited is A$117M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026