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Genesis Energy LP (GEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Genesis Energy LP stock $0.22, price $12.86, that is 98.3% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Energy US

GE Genesis Energy LP logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

Genesis Energy LP

GEL · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 98% below what the stock costs today.

Generates free cash flow
Positive coverage
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +41%, profit +59%.
Quality 42/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +3.6 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
5.6% dividend yield · Payout strained
Insiders bought $201,636 (6M)
Fair value $0.2200 · Strongly overvalued (−98.3%)
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 35/100
Thin data
Extreme value⟳ Cyclical
Watch Genesis Energy LP for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$18.06 $5.94 Fair Value $0.2200 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.94 – $18.06 · the $12.86 price screens above the $0.2200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Genesis Energy, L.P. engages in the midstream segment of the crude oil and natural gas industry in the United States. It operates through Offshore Pipeline Transportation; Marine Transportation; and Onshore Facilities and Transportation segments.

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The Offshore Pipeline Transportation segment engages in offshore crude oil and natural gas pipeline transportation and handling operations, as well as provision of a suite of services to integrated and large independent energy companies.

This segment also owns interests in offshore crude oil and natural gas pipeline systems, platforms, and related infrastructure.

The Marine Transportation segment includes inland marine fleet, which transports intermediate refined petroleum products, such as asphalt; offshore marine fleet, which transports crude oil and refined petroleum products; and M/T American Phoenix, a modern, double-hulled tanker.

The Onshore Facilities and Transportation segment provides transportation and facilities services to crude oil refiners and producers by purchasing, transporting, storing, blending, and marketing crude oil and refined products; and owns a portfolio of logistical assets consisting of pipelines, trucks, tanks and terminals, barges and rail unloading facilities.

This segment also owns and operates onshore common carrier crude oil pipeline systems and operational crude oil rail unloading facilities; and is involved in processing of high sulfur gas streams for refineries, as well as selling of related by-product, sodium hydrosulfide.

Genesis Energy, L.P. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Stock analysis

Genesis Energy LP (GEL) currently trades at $12.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2200, 98% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 82/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Genesis Energy LP reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.6B Small · P/E ratio 67.7 · P/S ratio 0.83 · EPS (TTM) $0.1900 · Dividend yield 5.6% · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity 22.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at −98%, GEL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF n/a $0.2200 >$0.8800 77
Growth DCF n/a $0.6600 >$2.64 75
5Y EBITDA Exit n/a n/a $6.13 72
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF n/a $0.2200 >$0.8800 77
5Y EBITDA Exit n/a n/a $6.13 72
10Y EBITDA Exit n/a n/a $2.61 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a n/a $1.53 61
EV/EBITDA n/a n/a $5.90 62
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a $0.6600 >$2.64 75

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 13
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 32
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 1
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 83
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 74
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 22
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 11
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $201,636, on May 18, 2026.

  • BuyGarland G GaspardSenior Vice President12,340 shares at $16.34$201,636May 18, 2026

Plus 11 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−13.5% (2020) → 15.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+44.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +40.7% a year for the price.

GEL screens overvalued: fair value 98% below the price. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Midstream · 81 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −98.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 4.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 17.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 41.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 5.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 67.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.86× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 17.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.05× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 52
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 55
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 79

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $55.91 $70.89 +27% vs GEL
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $277.95 $341.70 +23% vs GEL
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $29.96 $28.04 −6% vs GEL
Energy Transfer LP, ET $18.92 $15.12 −20% vs GEL
ONEOK, Inc OKE $85.19 $59.87 −30% vs GEL
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $37.03 $24.66 −33% vs GEL
Enbridge Inc ENB $46.89 $25.62 −45% vs GEL
TC Energy Corporation TRP $61.92 $17.35 −72% vs GEL
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $264.59 $64.92 −75% vs GEL
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $64.08 $11.72 −82% vs GEL

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Genesis Energy LP: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Genesis Energy LP Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GEL

Frequently asked questions

Is Genesis Energy LP (GEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2200 versus a price of $12.86, about 98% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GEL?
Our model-based fair value for Genesis Energy LP is $0.2200 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.86.
What is the quality score of GEL?
Genesis Energy LP has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2200 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 6 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Genesis Energy LP stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2200, about 98% lower versus a price of $12.86 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
Genesis Energy LP reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Genesis Energy LP pay a dividend?
Genesis Energy LP currently shows a dividend yield of 5.64% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Genesis Energy LP (GEL) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Genesis Energy LP pays a dividend of $0.725 per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 30, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1997. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.00 times. Our assessment: Payout strained. The dividend exceeds reported earnings (though reported profit is often depressed by one-off charges), and free cash flow only just covers it (or coverage is unknown). Not an emergency, but little room for error.
What growth is priced into Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Genesis Energy LP would have to grow free cash flow by +44.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.2 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GEL use?
Our models discount Genesis Energy LP at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.77, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Genesis Energy LP that is +44.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Genesis Energy LP (GEL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Genesis Energy LP grew -2.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +44.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Genesis Energy LP (GEL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Genesis Energy LP (+44.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.61 %: that much free cash flow Genesis Energy LP produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Genesis Energy LP it is $0.2200 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $12.86. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF).
Is Genesis Energy LP stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, GEL trades above its calculated fair value: price $12.86, fair value $0.2200, a gap of about −98% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2200). For Genesis Energy LP the two are $12.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Genesis Energy LP worth?
The market values Genesis Energy LP at about $1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $12.86; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2200 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of GEL?
Genesis Energy LP trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 67.7 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2200 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2016 to 2023), reported earnings: 26.2. Other multiples: PEG 3.1, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 9.3.
What is the PEG ratio of GEL?
The PEG ratio of Genesis Energy LP is 3.05 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Genesis Energy LP (as of Nov 6, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GEL from its 52-week high?
Genesis Energy LP trades at $12.86, about 29% below its 52-week high of $18.06 and 3% above the low of $12.49 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Genesis Energy LP?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Enbridge Inc, The Williams Companies, Inc, Enterprise Products Partners L.P., Kinder Morgan, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Genesis Energy LP stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $12.86, calculated fair value $0.2200 (−98%), Quality Score 42/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GEL calculated?
We run Genesis Energy LP through 6 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.2200 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Genesis Energy LP itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $12.86. Our model-based fair value is $0.2200, about 98% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Genesis Energy LP right now?
Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Genesis Energy LP

How large is the market capitalisation of Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
The market capitalisation of Genesis Energy LP is $1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Genesis Energy LP is 0.83 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
Earnings per share at Genesis Energy LP are $0.1900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 67.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
The dividend yield of Genesis Energy LP is 5.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
The net margin of Genesis Energy LP is −0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Genesis Energy LP is 22.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Genesis Energy LP is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
The operating margin of Genesis Energy LP is 17.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
Revenue at Genesis Energy LP is growing +41.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Genesis Energy LP (GEL)?
Earnings per share at Genesis Energy LP are growing +58.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Genesis Energy LP (GEL) carry?
The net debt of Genesis Energy LP is $3.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 34.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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