Genesis Energy, L.P. (GEL) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $1.8B
Genesis Energy, L.P.
GEL · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $3.50 to $24.13 (+589.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($18.77). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.02 – $18.30 · fair‑value band $18.77 – $24.13 · the $15.08 price screens below the $24.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Genesis Energy, L.P. (GEL) currently trades at $15.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.13, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Genesis Energy, L.P. generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. Net debt stands at $3.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $18.77 (bear case) to $24.13 (bull case); at $15.08, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 60%, GEL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($12.14) versus Asset-Based ($1.30). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Genesis Energy, L.P. engages in the midstream segment of the crude oil and natural gas industry in the United States. It operates through Offshore Pipeline Transportation; Marine Transportation; and Onshore Facilities and Transportation segments.
Full company description
Genesis Energy, L.P. engages in the midstream segment of the crude oil and natural gas industry in the United States. It operates through Offshore Pipeline Transportation; Marine Transportation; and Onshore Facilities and Transportation segments. The Offshore Pipeline Transportation segment engages in offshore crude oil and natural gas pipeline transportation and handling operations, as well as provision of a suite of services to integrated and large independent energy companies. This segment also owns interests in offshore crude oil and natural gas pipeline systems, platforms, and related infrastructure. The Marine Transportation segment includes inland marine fleet, which transports intermediate refined petroleum products, such as asphalt; offshore marine fleet, which transports crude oil and refined petroleum products; and M/T American Phoenix, a modern, double-hulled tanker. The Onshore Facilities and Transportation segment provides transportation and facilities services to crude oil refiners and producers by purchasing, transporting, storing, blending, and marketing crude oil and refined products; and owns a portfolio of logistical assets consisting of pipelines, trucks, tanks and terminals, barges and rail unloading facilities. This segment also owns and operates onshore common carrier crude oil pipeline systems and operational crude oil rail unloading facilities; and is involved in processing of high sulfur gas streams for refineries, as well as selling of related by-product, sodium hydrosulfide. Genesis Energy, L.P. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Genesis Energy, L.P. reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.2M in FY2025.
Watch GEL: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Genesis Energy, L.P. Declares Quarterly Distribution
- 3 Reasons GEL is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $56.46 | $47.20 | -16% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $73.38 | $12.03 | -84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $38.31 | $24.74 | -35% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$97.79 | C$42.00 | -57% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $32.54 | $11.12 | -66% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $19.91 | $17.69 | -11% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $93.52 | $64.05 | -32% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $273.35 | $79.61 | -71% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $57.17 | $37.05 | -35% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $255.83 | $211.18 | -17% |
Compare Genesis Energy, L.P. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Energy stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Genesis Energy, L.P. (GEL) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of GEL?
What is the quality score of GEL?
What is the revenue of Genesis Energy, L.P. (GEL)?
What is the net profit margin of GEL?
Does Genesis Energy, L.P. pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Genesis Energy, L.P. and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.