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PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, (GEMS) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · ID · Market cap 38.4T IDR

PG PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, GEMS · JK
Price6,600 IDR
Fair Value8,838 IDR
Upside+33.9%
Quality68/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range 6,493 IDR – 16,052 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 8,849 IDR to 8,838 IDR (−0.1%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +3.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 34% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (6,493 IDR to 16,052 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

13,545 IDR 1,247 IDR Fair Value 8,838 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,247 IDR – 13,545 IDR · fair‑value band 6,493 IDR – 16,052 IDR · the 6,600 IDR price screens below the 8,838 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, (GEMS) currently trades at 6,600 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8,838 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 33.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, generated revenue of 2.4B IDR at a net margin of 10.7%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.9%. Net debt stands at 22.3M IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 6,493 IDR (bear case) to 16,052 IDR (bull case); at 6,600 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 34%, GEMS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 9,559 IDR 17,134 IDR 31,202 IDR 80
Residual Income 6,132 IDR 8,838 IDR 94,689 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 7,214 IDR 12,264 IDR 18,757 IDR 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 9,559 IDR 17,856 IDR 33,006 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 11,363 IDR 21,282 IDR 39,318 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 7,214 IDR 12,264 IDR 19,299 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 6,493 IDR 10,822 IDR 16,232 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 8,297 IDR 14,609 IDR 21,643 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 7,755 IDR 12,986 IDR 20,741 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 7,395 IDR 11,723 IDR 18,216 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 8,657 IDR 14,609 IDR 22,906 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 5,230 IDR 25,070 IDR 34,449 IDR 54
Lynch FV 6,673 IDR 9,559 IDR 12,445 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 6,673 IDR 9,559 IDR 12,445 IDR 46
EPV 8,297 IDR 9,920 IDR 11,182 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 8,297 IDR 11,002 IDR 13,707 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 6,493 IDR 8,838 IDR 11,002 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 2,886 IDR 3,968 IDR 4,870 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 8,477 IDR 11,182 IDR 14,068 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 5,591 IDR 7,395 IDR 9,198 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 6,313 IDR 8,838 IDR 11,543 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,082 IDR 1,443 IDR 2,164 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 9,559 IDR 17,134 IDR 31,202 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 7,214 IDR 12,264 IDR 18,757 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 6,132 IDR 8,838 IDR 94,689 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 9,379 IDR 12,084 IDR 15,691 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 8,657 IDR 12,264 IDR 16,052 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (12,986 IDR) versus Asset-Based (1,443 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.4B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.4%
Net margin 10.7%
Return on equity 37.9%
Free cash flow 225M IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 7.5
More key figures
Operating margin 14.9%
EPS (TTM) 799.47 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -22.9%
Net debt 22.3M IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 90
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, engages in coal mining business in Indonesia, China, India, the Philippines, South Korea, New Zealand, Cambodia, Malaysia, Hongkong, and Vietnam. The company operates in two segments, Coal Trading and Coal Mining.

Full company description

PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, engages in coal mining business in Indonesia, China, India, the Philippines, South Korea, New Zealand, Cambodia, Malaysia, Hongkong, and Vietnam. The company operates in two segments, Coal Trading and Coal Mining. It offers management consultancy; mining; and venture capital services, as well as develops a mine-mouth power plant. The company was formerly known as PT Bumi Kencana Eka Sakti and changed its name to PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk in November 2010. PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, reported revenue of 2.4B IDR in FY2025 versus 1.6B IDR in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was 255M IDR in FY2025, compounding −7.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.4B IDR
Latest YoY
−11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.6%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+23.4%
Revenue +10.7%/yr
FY21 1.6B IDR
FY22 2.9B IDR
FY23 2.9B IDR
FY24 2.7B IDR
FY25 2.4B IDR
Net income −7.5%/yr
FY21 348M IDR
FY22 680M IDR
FY23 518M IDR
FY24 474M IDR
FY25 255M IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GEMS

Peer Group

Thermal Coal · 101 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +34% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Return on assets 16% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.10× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 5.46× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.63× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 17.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 79 · sector 27
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 21
HEALTH 95 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 31

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, (GEMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8,838 IDR versus a price of 6,600 IDR, about +34% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GEMS?
Our model-based fair value for PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, is 8,838 IDR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 6,600 IDR.
What is the quality score of GEMS?
PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, (GEMS)?
PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GEMS?
The net profit margin of PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, through its subsidiaries, is about 10.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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