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Gencor Industries, Inc (GENC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $220M

GI Gencor Industries, Inc logo Gencor Industries, Inc GENC · US
Price$14.47
Fair Value$15.86
Upside+9.6%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range $13.10 – $19.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −4.8% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $13.10 (bear) to $19.83 (bull), base $15.86. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$24.63 $8.76 Fair Value $15.86 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.76 – $24.63 · fair‑value band $13.10 – $19.83 · the $14.47 price screens below the $15.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Gencor Industries, Inc (GENC) currently trades at $14.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.86, implying the stock looks roughly 9.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Gencor Industries, Inc generated revenue of $103M at a net margin of 12.6%. Revenue declined 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $26.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $13.10 (bear case) to $19.83 (bull case); at $14.47, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 10%, GENC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2.87 $3.06 $3.28 80
Residual Income $12.49 $12.51 $11.83 76
ROIC Compounder $7.64 $8.30 $8.84 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.86 $3.08 $3.33 38
Owner Earnings $12.42 $15.58 $19.25 31
5Y Revenue Exit $7.78 $11.96 $17.23 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $8.67 $13.55 $19.09 41
5Y P/E Exit $12.05 $19.57 $27.17 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.27 $8.18 $11.94 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.97 $9.10 $13.10 37
10Y P/E Exit $7.78 $12.58 $18.14 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $8.63 $20.87 $26.97 54
PEG = 1.0 $3.70 $5.28 $6.86 46
EPV $7.64 $8.30 $8.84 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $19.99 $26.65 $33.32 63
P/S Multiple $14.03 $18.71 $23.39 58
P/B Multiple $16.18 $21.58 $26.97 55
EV/EBIT $16.64 $21.47 $26.30 53
EV/EBITDA $15.09 $19.41 $23.72 54
EV/Revenue $12.49 $16.92 $21.35 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.58 $11.50 $17.17 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.87 $3.06 $3.28 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $12.49 $12.51 $11.83 76
ROIC Compounder $7.64 $8.30 $8.84 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.26 $21.79 $28.33 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($21.79) versus Growth DCF ($3.06). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $103M
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.5%
Net margin 12.6%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow $1.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 16.9
More key figures
Operating margin 12.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.8900
EPS growth (YoY) -36.9%
Net cash $26.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gencor Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of heavy machinery used in the production of highway construction materials and environmental control equipment.

Full company description

Gencor Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of heavy machinery used in the production of highway construction materials and environmental control equipment. The company offers hot-mix asphalt plants, hot-mix storage silos, fabric filtration systems, cold feed bins, and other plant components, as well as counter flow drum mix technology and batch plants. It also provides combustion systems for rotary dryers, kilns, fume and liquid incinerators, and fuel heaters; Hy-Way Heat and beverley lines of thermal fluid heat transfer systems, and specialty storage tanks; and asphalt pavers under the Blaw-Knox brand. In addition, the company services and sells spare parts for its equipment. It sells its products primarily to the highway construction industry through its sales representatives, and independent dealers and agents worldwide. The company was formerly known as Mechtron International Corporation and changed its name to Gencor Industries, Inc. in 1987. Gencor Industries, Inc. is based in Orlando, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gencor Industries, Inc reported revenue of $115M in FY2025 versus $85.3M in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was $15.7M in FY2025, compounding +28.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$115M
Latest YoY
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY21 $85.3M
FY22 $103M
FY23 $105M
FY24 $113M
FY25 $115M
Net income +28.2%/yr
FY21 $5.8M
FY22 −$372K
FY23 $14.7M
FY24 $14.6M
FY25 $15.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gencor Industries, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GENC

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -12% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 199.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 15.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 46 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 25 · sector 32
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 40

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $952.41 $307.83 -68%
Deere & Company DE $597.24 $187.86 -69%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 336.60 kr 288.08 -14%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $126.20 $94.80 -25%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 251.90 kr 144.14 -43%
Exor N.V EXO €69.40 €219.41 +216%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥18.65 ¥20.84 +12%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.39 ¥11.79 +41%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$41.00 HK$53.51 +31%
Yutong Bus Co 600066 ¥32.29 ¥42.00 +30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gencor Industries, Inc (GENC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.86 versus a price of $14.47, about +10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GENC?
Our model-based fair value for Gencor Industries, Inc is $15.86 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $14.47.
What is the quality score of GENC?
Gencor Industries, Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gencor Industries, Inc (GENC)?
Gencor Industries, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $103M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GENC?
The net profit margin of Gencor Industries, Inc is about 12.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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