Griffon Corporation (GFF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $4.2B
Griffon Corporation
GFF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +19.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($29.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $14.70 – $107.22 · fair‑value band $17.55 – $29.25 · the $107.22 price screens above the $23.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Griffon Corporation (GFF) currently trades at $107.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.40, implying the stock looks roughly 78.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Griffon Corporation generated revenue of $2.5B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue declined 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.9%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $17.55 (bear case) to $29.25 (bull case); at $107.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -78%, GFF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($45.99) versus Asset-Based ($1.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Griffon Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides home and building, and consumer and professional products in the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia, and internationally.
Full company description
Griffon Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides home and building, and consumer and professional products in the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia, and internationally. The Home and Building Products segment manufactures and markets residential and sectional commercial garage doors, rolling steel service doors, fire doors, shutters, steel security grilles, and room dividers. This segment also sells garage door openers. Its Consumer and Professional Products segment manufactures and markets long-handled engineered tools, including shovels, spades, scoops, rakes, hoes, cultivators, weeders, post hole diggers, scrapers, edgers, and forks; wheelbarrows and lawn carts; snow tools comprising pushers, roof rakes, sled sleigh shovels, and ice scrapers; and pruning products, such as pruners, loppers, shears, and other tools. This segment also offers striking tools, including axes, picks, mattocks, mauls, wood splitters, sledgehammers, pry bars, and repair handles; hand tools comprising hammers, screwdrivers, pliers, adjustable wrenches, handsaws, tape measures, levels, clamps, trowels, and other hand tools; indoor and outdoor planters and lawn accessories; and garden hoses and hose reels. In addition, this segment provides home organization products, including wire and wood shelving, containers, storage cabinets, and other closet and home organization accessories; residential, industrial, and commercial fans; and cleaning products, such as brooms, brushes, squeegees, and other cleaning products. It serves independent professional installing dealers and home center retail chains; and industrial distributors, homebuilders, and e-commerce platforms, as well as mass market, specialty, and hardware retailers. The company was formerly known as Instrument Systems Corporation and changed its name to Griffon Corporation in 1995. Griffon Corporation was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Griffon Corporation reported revenue of $2.5B in FY2025 versus $2.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was $51.1M in FY2025, compounding −10.4%/yr from FY2021.
GFF screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Three Griffon Executives Sold Into an Earnings Pop. Here's What to Know
- A Griffon Insider Sold Into an Earnings Jump but Kept $80 Million in Stock. Here's What to Know
- Griffon's CEO Sold Into an Earnings Pop. Here's What Long-Term Investors Should Know
- GFF Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Pricing and Volume Growth
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $469.98 | $212.34 | -55% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.81 | $45.65 | -68% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $68.61 | $17.35 | -75% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €76.62 | €101.60 | +33% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 523.20 | CHF 307.66 | -41% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $543.93 | $363.09 | -33% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €70.76 | -19% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $78.04 | $54.36 | -30% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,420 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 36.03 | kr 25.37 | -30% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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