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Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $689M

Price$5.60
Fair Value$2.87
Upside-48.8%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $2.38 – $3.73

Analysis

Greenfire Resources Ltd (GFR) currently trades at $5.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.87 — implying the stock looks roughly 48.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta, Canada. The company's principal asset includes the Hangingstone Facilities which consist of the Expansion Asset and the Demo Asset located in south of Fort McMurray, Alberta. Greenfire Resources Ltd. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.