Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (GKP) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · GB · Market cap £379M
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from £2.89 to £1.57 (−45.7%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range £1.59 – £2.33 · the £1.76 price screens above the £1.57 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (GKP) currently trades at £1.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.57 — implying the stock looks roughly 10.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited generated revenue of £193M at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue grew 37.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £76.9M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited, together with its subsidiaries, explores, evaluates, develops, and produces oil and gas in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. The company holds an 80% interest in the Shaikan Field, which covers an area of approximately 280 square kilometers located northwest of Erbil. It also provides management, support, geological, geophysical, and engineering services. Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Pembroke, Bermuda.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited reported revenue of £168M in FY2025 versus £301M in FY2021, a compound −13.6%/yr. Reported net income was £15.5M in FY2025, compounding −44.6%/yr from FY2021.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.